Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Leylah Fernandez v Alexandra Eala

Início: 2026-07-29 15:07 UTC

Final: Leylah Fernandez 0–2 Alexandra Eala

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Leylah Fernandez (Local)

Previsão 46.79%2.14odd justa
EV -0.809%
Vantagem -0.381%
Kelly -0.722%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.74%46.95%46.85%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.832.012.002.1254.64%49.67%50.00%47.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Alexandra Eala (Visitante)

Previsão 53.21%1.88odd justa
EV -1.03%
Vantagem -0.552%
Kelly -1.19%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.86

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%53.05%53.15%55.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.701.781.791.8658.82%56.34%55.87%53.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Leylah Fernandez (Local): 46.79%; Alexandra Eala (Visitante): 53.21%. Para Leylah Fernandez (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.14. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.12, com valor esperado de -0.809%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -0.809%E -0.381%K -0.722%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.69%E -2.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-29 14:55
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.74%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.94%E -4.59%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 15:05
Dabble (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -1.74%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -8.48%E -4.93%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 15:05
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -1.74%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -8.48%E -4.93%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 15:05
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -1.74%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.54%E -5.61%K -13.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 15:00
DraftKings🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -2.68%E -1.29%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -8.48%E -4.93%K -11.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 15:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.15%E -1.52%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 15:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.15%E -1.52%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 15:05
BetAnything🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.15%E -1.52%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 15:05
FanDuel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.62%E -1.76%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.28%E -2.97%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 15:00
Bet Right🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.62%E -1.76%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.35%E -3.61%K -8.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 15:05
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.08%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-29 15:05
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.08%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.82%E -3.29%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 14:55
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.08%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.35%E -3.61%K -8.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 14:55
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.15%E -1.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-29 14:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 10:04
ReBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 14:05
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 06:24
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 06:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 06:25
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 06:25
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 06:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 06:25
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 06:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 06:25
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 06:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 06:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 06:25
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 06:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -1.03%E -0.552%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-29 13:00
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.62%E -1.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 15:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 15:05
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 07:55
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 13:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 06:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 10:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.28%E -2.97%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 06:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.28%E -2.97%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 06:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.28%E -2.97%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 15:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.82%E -3.29%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-29 15:00
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.82%E -3.29%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-29 12:34
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.94%E -4.59%K -10.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-29 15:05
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.94%E -4.59%K -10.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-29 14:59
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.94%E -4.59%K -10.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-29 15:05
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.94%E -4.59%K -10.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-29 15:00
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.94%E -4.59%K -10.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-29 14:58
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.94%E -4.59%K -10.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-29 15:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.94%E -4.59%K -10.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-29 14:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.94%E -4.59%K -10.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-29 14:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -7.36%E -3.72%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.15%E -1.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -7.36%E -3.72%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 12:30
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -7.36%E -3.72%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 12:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.49%EV -7.36%E -3.72%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -8.48%E -4.93%K -11.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-29 14:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -7.83%E -3.97%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -6.35%E -3.61%K -8.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-29 06:25
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-29 15:05
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-29 15:00
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-29 15:05
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-29 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-29 12:30
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -9.01%E -5.27%K -12.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-29 15:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -14.38%E -7.86%K -17.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -2.62%E -1.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-29 15:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-07-29 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-07-29 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-07-29 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-07-29 15:05
ProphetX2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-07-29 15:05
Novig2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28%1.4%2026-07-29 15:05
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.47%3.3%2026-07-29 15:05