Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Jessica Pegula v Diana Shnaider

2026-08-01 18:00 UTC — WTA Washington Open

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Jessica Pegula (Local)

Predicción 75.94%1.32momio equitativo
EV -2.04%
Ventaja -1.58%
Kelly -7.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.29

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.49%75.73%76.11%76.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.221.251.251.2981.97%80.08%80.00%77.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Diana Shnaider (Visitante)

Predicción 24.06%4.16momio equitativo
EV +0.083%
Ventaja +0.020%
Kelly +0.026%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.08%24.27%23.89%27.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.914.004.1629.41%25.59%25.00%24.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Jessica Pegula (Local): 75.94%; Diana Shnaider (Visitante): 24.06%. Para Diana Shnaider (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.157. 2 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.160, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.083%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +0.083%E +0.020%K +0.026%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 05:44
LowVig.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +0.083%E +0.020%K +0.026%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 05:44
Pinnacle1.27I 78.74%NM 76.57%EV -3.55%E -2.80%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.43%EV -0.157%E -0.038%K -0.050%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-01 06:49
Winamax (DE)1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.31%E -3.42%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -1.36%E -0.332%K -0.439%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-01 07:09
BetAnything1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.36%E -0.332%K -0.439%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 05:44
FanDuel1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.59%E -5.36%K -28.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -1.36%E -0.332%K -0.439%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 07:09
theScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.59%E -5.36%K -28.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -1.36%E -0.332%K -0.439%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 07:50
Betclic (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.31%E -3.42%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.77%E -0.941%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 07:09
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.77%E -0.941%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 05:05
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.77%E -0.941%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 05:04
Bet Right1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.77%E -0.941%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 06:54
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.77%E -0.941%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 06:54
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.77%E -0.941%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 06:54
BetUS1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.77%E -0.941%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 06:54
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.77%E -0.941%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 06:19
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.77%E -0.941%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 06:19
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.77%E -0.941%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 06:19
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.77%E -0.941%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 06:19
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.77%E -0.941%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 06:19
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.77%E -0.941%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 06:19
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.77%E -0.941%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 06:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.77%E -0.941%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 06:24
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.77%E -0.941%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 06:24
Bally Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.77%E -0.941%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 06:24
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.77%E -0.941%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 06:24
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.77%E -0.941%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 06:24
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.77%E -0.941%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 06:24
Winamax (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.83%E -4.70%K -24.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.77%E -0.941%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 07:09
Unibet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.59%E -5.36%K -28.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.77%E -0.941%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 07:09
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.35%E -6.03%K -33.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.77%E -0.941%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 06:54
betfred_uk1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.35%E -6.03%K -33.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.77%E -0.941%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 07:50
Betr (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.83%E -4.70%K -24.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -4.97%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 06:54
DraftKings1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.31%E -3.42%K -16.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.17%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 05:04
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.17%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 07:10
LiveScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.83%E -4.70%K -24.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.17%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 06:19
Virgin Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.83%E -4.70%K -24.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.17%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 06:24
NetBet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.35%E -6.03%K -33.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.17%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-01 08:09
Dabble (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.31%E -3.42%K -16.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.37%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 07:55
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.37%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 07:08
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.37%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 07:09
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.37%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 05:39
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.37%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 07:55
PMU (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -6.59%E -5.36%K -28.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -7.37%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 06:19
1xBet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.00%EV -3.55%E -2.80%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.00%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 06:54
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.58%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 07:09
ReBet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.83%E -4.70%K -24.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.58%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 07:09
TAB1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.83%E -4.70%K -24.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.58%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 07:59
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.04%E -1.58%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -9.78%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 07:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.78%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 06:49
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.35%E -6.03%K -33.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.78%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 06:48
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.35%E -6.03%K -33.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.78%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 06:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.98%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 05:14
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.98%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 05:09
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.39%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-01 06:44
betano_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.39%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-01 06:38
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -2.79%E -2.18%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -15.80%E -4.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 05:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -2.79%E -2.18%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -15.80%E -4.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 05:14
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -2.04%E -1.58%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -18.20%E -5.35%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 04:57
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-08-01 08:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-08-01 08:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-08-01 08:20
Matchbook1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-08-01 08:15
ProphetX1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60%1.7%2026-08-01 07:40
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%2.6%2026-08-01 07:35
Novig1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%3.0%2026-08-01 07:55