Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Diana Shnaider v Liudmila Samsonova

2026-07-31 19:10 UTC — WTA Washington Open

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Diana Shnaider (Local)

Predicción 53.49%1.87momio equitativo
EV +0.558%
Ventaja +0.297%
Kelly +0.634%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.53%53.22%53.66%54.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.731.781.791.8857.80%56.05%55.87%53.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Liudmila Samsonova (Visitante)

Predicción 46.51%2.15momio equitativo
EV -2.33%
Ventaja -1.11%
Kelly -2.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.74%46.78%46.34%49.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.912.012.022.1052.36%49.72%49.50%47.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Diana Shnaider (Local): 53.49%; Liudmila Samsonova (Visitante): 46.51%. Para Diana Shnaider (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.87. 3 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 1.88, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.558%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
FanDuel1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV +0.558%E +0.297%K +0.634%G +0.004%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -10.23%E -5.30%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 04:20
SportsBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV +0.558%E +0.297%K +0.634%G +0.004%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -10.70%E -5.57%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 04:19
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV +0.023%E +0.013%K +0.027%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -9.77%E -5.03%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 05:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.12%E -1.16%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -11.16%E -5.84%K -12.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-31 04:20
Pinnacle1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.65%E -1.46%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -3.26%E -1.57%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-31 04:03
1xBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.37%EV -3.19%E -1.76%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.63%EV -7.44%E -3.74%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 07:45
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.72%E -2.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.65%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 04:39
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.72%E -2.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 03:54
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.72%E -2.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 04:00
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.72%E -2.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 04:00
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.72%E -2.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 03:55
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.72%E -2.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 03:59
Dabble (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.72%E -2.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 07:50
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.72%E -2.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 07:54
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.72%E -2.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 08:20
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.72%E -2.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 06:09
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.72%E -2.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.30%E -4.77%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-31 06:10
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -3.72%E -2.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -11.16%E -5.84%K -12.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 04:20
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -3.72%E -2.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -11.16%E -5.84%K -12.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 04:20
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.26%E -2.38%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.05%E -2.99%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 06:09
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.26%E -2.38%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.05%E -2.99%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 06:10
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.26%E -2.38%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.05%E -2.99%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 06:10
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.26%E -2.38%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.05%E -2.99%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 06:10
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.26%E -2.38%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.05%E -2.99%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 06:10
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.26%E -2.38%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.05%E -2.99%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 06:10
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.26%E -2.38%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.05%E -2.99%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 06:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.26%E -2.38%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.05%E -2.99%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 06:10
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.26%E -2.38%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.05%E -2.99%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 06:10
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.26%E -2.38%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.05%E -2.99%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 06:13
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.26%E -2.38%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.05%E -2.99%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 06:10
Bally Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.26%E -2.38%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.05%E -2.99%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 06:14
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.79%E -2.69%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.33%E -1.11%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-31 05:19
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -4.79%E -2.69%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -2.79%E -1.34%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 06:19
PointsBet (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.79%E -2.69%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 04:20
PlayUp1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.79%E -2.69%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 08:14
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.79%E -2.69%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.91%E -3.99%K -8.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-31 03:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.79%E -2.69%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.91%E -3.99%K -8.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-31 03:49
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.33%E -3.01%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.33%E -1.11%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 07:45
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.33%E -3.01%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.33%E -1.11%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 07:45
BetAnything1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.33%E -3.01%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.33%E -1.11%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 07:45
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.33%E -3.01%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.65%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 09:39
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.33%E -3.01%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.65%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 05:29
Betr (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.33%E -3.01%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-31 05:29
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.33%E -3.01%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-31 06:09
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.33%E -3.01%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-31 06:09
PMU (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -5.86%E -3.33%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -8.37%E -4.25%K -8.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-31 06:10
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -6.40%E -3.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -4.19%E -2.03%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-31 09:10
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.40%E -3.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.65%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 06:25
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.40%E -3.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.65%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 03:45
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.40%E -3.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.65%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 03:44
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.40%E -3.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.65%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 07:09
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.40%E -3.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-31 03:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.40%E -3.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-31 03:50
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.40%E -3.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.30%E -4.77%K -9.79%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-31 04:18
betano_uk1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.40%E -3.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.30%E -4.77%K -9.79%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-31 04:19
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.93%E -3.98%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.65%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-31 03:35
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.93%E -3.98%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.65%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-31 08:55
ReBet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.99%EV -7.46%E -4.32%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.01%EV -5.58%E -2.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-31 07:15
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -7.46%E -4.32%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -6.05%E -2.99%K -5.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-31 06:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-07-31 09:40
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-07-31 09:40
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-31 09:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-07-31 09:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-07-31 09:15
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 53.79%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.21%1.6%2026-07-31 08:25
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43%2.6%2026-07-31 09:05