Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Diana Shnaider v Anastasia Potapova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-30 23:37 UTC

Score final : Diana Shnaider 2–0 Anastasia Potapova

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Diana Shnaider (Local)

Prévision 52.66%1.90cote équitable
EV -3.10%
Avantage -1.69%
Kelly -3.70%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.84

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.48%52.75%52.63%55.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.731.791.801.8457.80%55.77%55.56%54.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Anastasia Potapova (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.34%2.11cote équitable
EV +1.78%
Avantage +0.828%
Kelly +1.55%
Croissance +0.028%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.59%47.25%47.37%48.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.901.992.002.1552.63%50.31%50.00%46.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Diana Shnaider (Local) : 52.66% ; Anastasia Potapova (Visiteur) : 47.34%. Pour Anastasia Potapova (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.11. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.15, soit une espérance positive de +1.78%.

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -8.90%E -5.14%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV +1.78%E +0.828%K +1.55%G +0.028%4.3%2026-07-29 06:30
DraftKings🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -6.26%E -3.52%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -2.48%E -1.20%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 23:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -3.10%E -1.69%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -2.95%E -1.44%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-30 21:15
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.95%E -1.44%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 21:14
Dabble (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.79%E -3.84%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.95%E -1.44%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 23:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -4.68%E -2.59%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -3.90%E -1.92%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-30 23:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -4.68%E -2.59%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -3.90%E -1.92%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-30 23:35
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.16%E -2.28%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.37%E -2.17%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-30 23:35
FanDuel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.68%E -2.59%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.37%E -2.17%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 19:20
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.26%E -3.52%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.37%E -2.17%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-30 21:19
ReBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.68%E -2.59%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.85%E -2.41%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 21:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.68%E -2.59%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.85%E -2.41%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 21:14
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.16%E -2.28%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.32%E -2.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-30 23:14
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.68%E -2.59%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.32%E -2.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 11:00
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.68%E -2.59%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.32%E -2.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 11:00
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.68%E -2.59%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.32%E -2.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 11:00
Casumo🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.68%E -2.59%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.32%E -2.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 10:59
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.68%E -2.59%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.32%E -2.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.68%E -2.59%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.32%E -2.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 10:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.68%E -2.59%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.32%E -2.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 10:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.68%E -2.59%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.32%E -2.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 10:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.68%E -2.59%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.32%E -2.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 11:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.68%E -2.59%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.32%E -2.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 11:00
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.68%E -2.59%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.32%E -2.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 10:59
Bally Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.68%E -2.59%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.32%E -2.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 10:59
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.32%E -2.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 22:45
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.32%E -2.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 08:55
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.32%E -2.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.32%E -2.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 19:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.32%E -2.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 21:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.32%E -2.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 11:00
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.32%E -2.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 21:20
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.32%E -2.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 20:35
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.79%E -3.84%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.32%E -2.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-29 18:40
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.79%E -3.84%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.32%E -2.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-30 21:35
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.84%E -4.48%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.32%E -2.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-30 23:35
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.84%E -4.48%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.32%E -2.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-30 23:35
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.90%E -5.14%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.32%E -2.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-30 19:20
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.90%E -5.14%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.32%E -2.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-30 19:20
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.27%E -3.17%K -6.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-30 21:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -5.74%E -3.21%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -6.27%E -3.17%K -6.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-30 10:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -5.74%E -3.21%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -6.27%E -3.17%K -6.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-30 11:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -4.68%E -2.59%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -6.74%E -3.42%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 22:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -6.26%E -3.52%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -6.74%E -3.42%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-30 22:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.69%E -3.94%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-30 23:25
BetAnything🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.69%E -3.94%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-30 10:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.26%E -3.52%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.69%E -3.94%K -8.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-30 21:20
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.84%E -4.48%K -10.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.69%E -3.94%K -8.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-30 19:12
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.84%E -4.48%K -10.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.69%E -3.94%K -8.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-30 19:13
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -8.37%E -4.81%K -11.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -7.69%E -3.94%K -8.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-30 23:35
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -4.16%E -2.28%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -8.16%E -4.21%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-30 21:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -4.16%E -2.28%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -8.16%E -4.21%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-30 21:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -6.79%E -3.84%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -8.16%E -4.21%K -8.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-30 11:00
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.58%E -5.02%K -10.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-30 23:30
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.58%E -5.02%K -10.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-30 23:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.58%E -5.02%K -10.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-30 23:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.58%E -5.02%K -10.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-30 23:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.58%E -5.02%K -10.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-30 21:20
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.58%E -5.02%K -10.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-30 21:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -6.26%E -3.52%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.37%EV -10.06%E -5.29%K -11.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-30 23:33
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%0.4%2026-07-30 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-07-30 23:20
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-07-30 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.3%2026-07-30 23:35
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%2.5%2026-07-30 23:35
ProphetX1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%2.5%2026-07-30 23:35
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%4.9%2026-07-30 23:35