Idioma:Español
Yuliia Starodubtseva v Elena Rybakina
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Yuliia Starodubtseva (Local)
Predicción 13.15%7.61momio equitativo
EV +11.74%
Ventaja +1.38%
Kelly +1.57%
Crecimiento +0.184%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.27%13.03%13.17%14.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
6.507.307.308.5015.38%13.69%13.70%11.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Elena Rybakina (Visitante)
Predicción 86.85%1.15momio equitativo
EV -2.72%
Ventaja -2.43%
Kelly -22.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
85.41%86.97%86.83%88.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.071.091.091.1293.46%91.50%91.74%89.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Yuliia Starodubtseva (Local): 13.15%; Elena Rybakina (Visitante): 86.85%. Para Yuliia Starodubtseva (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 7.61. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 8.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +11.74%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +11.74%E +1.38%K +1.57%G +0.184% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -6.20%E -5.74%K -77.47%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 04:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 8.11I 12.33%NM 11.85%EV +6.62%E +0.816%K +0.931%G +0.062% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.15%EV -5.33%E -4.89%K -59.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-06 00:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +5.17%E +0.646%K +0.739%G +0.038% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.33%E -4.89%K -59.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 00:56 |
| ReBet🎯 | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV +2.54%E +0.326%K +0.374%G +0.009% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -4.46%E -4.06%K -44.61%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-06 00:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV +1.23%E +0.159%K +0.183%G +0.002% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -6.20%E -5.74%K -77.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 00:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV -0.088%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -4.46%E -4.06%K -44.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -1.40%E -0.187%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.59%E -3.24%K -32.66%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-06 00:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.40%E -0.187%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.46%E -4.06%K -44.61%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 00:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.40%E -0.187%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.46%E -4.06%K -44.61%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.40%E -0.187%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.46%E -4.06%K -44.61%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.40%E -0.187%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.33%E -4.89%K -59.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.40%E -0.187%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.33%E -4.89%K -59.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.40%E -0.187%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.33%E -4.89%K -59.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.40%E -0.187%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.33%E -4.89%K -59.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.40%E -0.187%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.33%E -4.89%K -59.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.40%E -0.187%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.33%E -4.89%K -59.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.40%E -0.187%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.33%E -4.89%K -59.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.40%E -0.187%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.33%E -4.89%K -59.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.40%E -0.187%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.33%E -4.89%K -59.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.40%E -0.187%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.33%E -4.89%K -59.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.40%E -0.187%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.33%E -4.89%K -59.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.40%E -0.187%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.33%E -4.89%K -59.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.40%E -0.187%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.33%E -4.89%K -59.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.40%E -0.187%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.33%E -4.89%K -59.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -1.40%E -0.187%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -7.07%E -6.60%K -100.95%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.76%EV -2.06%E -0.277%K -0.319%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.24%EV -5.33%E -4.89%K -59.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.84%EV -2.72%E -0.367%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.16%EV -5.33%E -4.89%K -59.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 00:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.34I 13.62%NM 13.24%EV -3.51%E -0.478%K -0.553%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.76%EV -2.72%E -2.43%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-05 23:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 7.33I 13.64%NM 12.84%EV -3.64%E -0.496%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.16%EV -6.20%E -5.74%K -77.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-05 23:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.27I 13.76%NM 12.93%EV -4.43%E -0.609%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.07%EV -6.20%E -5.74%K -77.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 00:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.27I 13.76%NM 12.93%EV -4.43%E -0.609%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.07%EV -6.20%E -5.74%K -77.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 00:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -4.69%E -0.647%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -3.59%E -3.24%K -32.66%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-06 00:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -4.69%E -0.647%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -3.59%E -3.24%K -32.66%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-06 00:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -4.69%E -0.647%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.46%E -4.06%K -44.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 00:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -4.69%E -0.647%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.46%E -4.06%K -44.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 00:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -4.69%E -0.647%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -5.33%E -4.89%K -59.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -5.35%E -0.743%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -5.33%E -4.89%K -59.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 00:56 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -5.35%E -0.743%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -6.20%E -5.74%K -77.47%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.31%EV -6.66%E -0.938%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.69%EV -5.33%E -4.89%K -59.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 00:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.98%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.46%E -4.06%K -44.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.98%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.46%E -4.06%K -44.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.98%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.46%E -4.06%K -44.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| Neds🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.98%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.46%E -4.06%K -44.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| 888sport🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.98%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.46%E -4.06%K -44.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.98%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.46%E -4.06%K -44.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.98%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.46%E -4.06%K -44.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.98%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.46%E -4.06%K -44.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.98%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.33%E -4.89%K -59.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.98%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.33%E -4.89%K -59.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.98%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.33%E -4.89%K -59.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.98%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.33%E -4.89%K -59.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| Caesars🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.98%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.20%E -5.74%K -77.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-05 22:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.98%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.20%E -5.74%K -77.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.92I 14.45%NM 13.72%EV -9.03%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.28%EV -4.46%E -4.06%K -44.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-05 23:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.53%EV -9.29%E -1.35%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.47%EV -6.20%E -5.74%K -77.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 00:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -11.26%E -1.67%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.33%E -4.89%K -59.22%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 00:56 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -14.55%E -2.24%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.59%E -3.24%K -32.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -14.55%E -2.24%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.46%E -4.06%K -44.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 1.0% | 2026-09-06 00:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 1.0% | 2026-09-06 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 1.0% | 2026-09-06 00:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 1.0% | 2026-09-06 00:45 |
| Novig◎ | 7.41I 13.50%NM 13.33% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.67% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 00:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.51% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.49% | 1.4% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.74% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.26% | 3.2% | 2026-09-06 00:35 |