Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Yulia Putintseva v Belinda Bencic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-01 18:48 UTC

Score final : Yulia Putintseva 2–1 Belinda Bencic

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Yulia Putintseva (Local)

Prévision 20.50%4.88cote équitable
EV +2.50%
Avantage +0.501%
Kelly +0.626%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.22%20.55%20.47%22.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.204.564.505.0023.81%21.93%22.22%20.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Belinda Bencic (Visiteur)

Prévision 79.50%1.26cote équitable
EV -3.01%
Avantage -2.47%
Kelly -13.69%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
77.49%79.45%79.53%80.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.171.201.201.2285.47%83.52%83.33%81.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Yulia Putintseva (Local) : 20.50% ; Belinda Bencic (Visiteur) : 79.50%. Pour Yulia Putintseva (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.88. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.00, soit une espérance positive de +2.50%.

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Winamax (DE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +2.50%E +0.501%K +0.626%G +0.016%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -5.40%E -4.53%K -28.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-31 21:20
Coolbet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +0.453%E +0.092%K +0.116%G +0.001%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -3.81%E -3.15%K -18.12%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-01 18:35
Winamax (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV +0.453%E +0.092%K +0.116%G +0.001%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -5.40%E -4.53%K -28.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 21:20
Betclic (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV +0.453%E +0.092%K +0.116%G +0.001%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.99%E -5.97%K -41.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 18:35
BoyleSports🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -1.60%E -0.333%K -0.420%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.60%E -3.83%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 18:39
MyBookie.ag🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -1.60%E -0.333%K -0.420%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.40%E -4.53%K -28.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 21:24
Unibet (UK)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -1.60%E -0.333%K -0.420%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.40%E -4.53%K -28.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 08:05
Unibet (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -1.60%E -0.333%K -0.420%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.40%E -4.53%K -28.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 21:20
LowVig.ag🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV -2.62%E -0.552%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -3.01%E -2.47%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-01 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV -2.62%E -0.552%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -3.01%E -2.47%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-01 15:00
Bovada🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -2.62%E -0.552%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.60%E -3.83%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 16:04
FanDuel🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -2.62%E -0.552%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.60%E -3.83%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 17:20
SportsBet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -2.62%E -0.552%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.40%E -4.53%K -28.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 17:20
Pinnacle🎯4.73I 21.14%NM 20.50%EV -3.03%E -0.641%K -0.813%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.50%EV -3.01%E -2.47%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-01 14:55
1xBet🎯4.72I 21.19%NM 20.27%EV -3.24%E -0.686%K -0.870%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.73%EV -4.60%E -3.83%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 18:35
NordicBet🎯4.69I 21.32%NM 20.10%EV -3.85%E -0.821%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.90%EV -6.19%E -5.25%K -34.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 21:20
Betsson🎯4.69I 21.32%NM 20.10%EV -3.85%E -0.821%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.90%EV -6.19%E -5.25%K -34.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 21:20
theScore Bet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -4.67%E -1.00%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -5.40%E -4.53%K -28.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 03:04
Bet Right🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.70%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.60%E -3.83%K -23.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 18:35
Marathon Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -5.70%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.40%E -4.53%K -28.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 17:55
LeoVegas🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -5.70%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.19%E -5.25%K -34.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 18:30
NetBet (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -5.70%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.19%E -5.25%K -34.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 17:49
DraftKings🎯4.58I 21.83%NM 20.62%EV -6.11%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.38%EV -5.40%E -4.53%K -28.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 17:10
Betr (AU)🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -6.72%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -5.40%E -4.53%K -28.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 18:35
BetRivers🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.75%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.60%E -3.83%K -23.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 11:54
PlayUp🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.75%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.60%E -3.83%K -23.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 15:55
ATG (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.75%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.60%E -3.83%K -23.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 11:54
Svenska Spel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.75%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.60%E -3.83%K -23.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 11:55
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.75%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.60%E -3.83%K -23.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 15:55
Grosvenor🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.75%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.60%E -3.83%K -23.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 11:54
Casumo🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.75%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.60%E -3.83%K -23.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 11:54
Virgin Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.75%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.60%E -3.83%K -23.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 11:54
betPARX🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.75%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.60%E -3.83%K -23.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 11:55
LiveScore Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.75%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.60%E -3.83%K -23.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 11:54
Bally Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.75%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.60%E -3.83%K -23.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 11:54
Unibet (NL)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.75%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.60%E -3.83%K -23.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 11:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.75%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.60%E -3.83%K -23.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 11:55
TABtouch🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.75%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.60%E -3.83%K -23.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 11:55
Unibet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.75%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.60%E -3.83%K -23.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 11:55
Unibet (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.75%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.60%E -3.83%K -23.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 11:54
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.75%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.60%E -3.83%K -23.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.75%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.60%E -3.83%K -23.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 11:54
betano_uk🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.75%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.60%E -3.83%K -23.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 14:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.75%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.60%E -3.83%K -23.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 15:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -7.75%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.40%E -4.53%K -28.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 18:35
BetMGM🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -7.75%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.40%E -4.53%K -28.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 01:31
Fliff🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -7.75%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.40%E -4.53%K -28.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 18:20
Coral🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.75%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.19%E -5.25%K -34.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 03:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.75%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.19%E -5.25%K -34.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 03:50
betfred_uk🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.75%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.19%E -5.25%K -34.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 18:35
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.75%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.99%E -5.97%K -41.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 15:50
BetAnything🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -9.80%E -2.23%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.01%E -2.47%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 18:30
PMU (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -9.80%E -2.23%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.60%E -3.83%K -23.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 11:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -9.80%E -2.23%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.60%E -3.83%K -23.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-28 02:35
Neds🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -9.80%E -2.23%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.60%E -3.83%K -23.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-28 02:45
TAB🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -9.80%E -2.23%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.60%E -3.83%K -23.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 15:04
Caesars🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.80%E -2.23%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.19%E -5.25%K -34.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 17:29
Fanatics🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -10.82%E -2.49%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -3.81%E -3.15%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 14:45
888sport🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -13.90%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.01%E -2.47%K -13.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -13.90%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.01%E -2.47%K -13.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -13.90%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.01%E -2.47%K -13.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 14:55
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -13.90%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.01%E -2.47%K -13.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 14:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-09-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-09-01 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-09-01 18:40
Matchbook◎5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-09-01 18:40
Kalshi◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%1.3%2026-09-01 18:35
ProphetX◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%1.3%2026-09-01 18:40
Smarkets◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%2.0%2026-09-01 18:40
Novig◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.48%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.52%2.6%2026-09-01 18:20