Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Magda Linette v Francesca Jones

Inizio: 2026-09-02 01:08 UTC

Finale: Magda Linette 1–2 Francesca Jones

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

65 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Magda Linette (Casa)

Previsione 50.19%1.99quota equa
EV -3.63%
Vantaggio -1.89%
Kelly -3.95%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.92

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.47%50.26%50.26%51.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.831.891.891.9254.64%52.96%52.91%52.08%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Francesca Jones (Trasferta)

Previsione 49.81%2.01quota equa
EV -1.88%
Vantaggio -0.953%
Kelly -1.94%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.97

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.68%49.74%49.74%50.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.851.901.901.9754.05%52.50%52.63%50.76%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Magda Linette (Casa): 50.19%; Francesca Jones (Trasferta): 49.81%. Per Francesca Jones (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.01. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 1.97, con un valore atteso del -1.88%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (65 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.64%EV -3.63%E -1.89%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.36%EV -1.88%E -0.953%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-01 22:45
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV -3.63%E -1.89%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%EV -2.38%E -1.21%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-01 21:16
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -3.63%E -1.89%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -3.37%E -1.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-01 10:15
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.37%E -1.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 00:15
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.37%E -1.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 00:59
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 00:16
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 06:55
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 23:25
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 00:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 06:51
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 10:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 05:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 05:48
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 10:10
GTbets🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.36%E -2.82%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 10:35
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.36%E -3.38%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 00:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.36%E -3.38%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 08:09
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.36%E -3.38%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 08:10
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.86%E -3.67%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 08:10
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -4.64%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -3.37%E -1.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 08:10
FanDuel🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -4.64%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -3.87%E -2.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 08:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.64%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.37%E -2.28%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 08:10
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.64%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 23:44
MyBookie.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.36%E -2.82%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 01:05
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.36%E -2.82%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 05:50
Unibet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.36%E -2.82%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.36%E -2.82%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:51
Virgin Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.36%E -2.82%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.36%E -2.82%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 21:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.14%E -2.72%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.37%E -2.28%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 00:16
Unibet (UK)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.14%E -2.72%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 01:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.72%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.86%E -3.10%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 06:51
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.72%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.86%E -3.10%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 06:51
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.72%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.86%E -3.10%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 06:55
Casumo🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.72%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.86%E -3.10%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 06:55
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.72%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.86%E -3.10%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 06:51
TABtouch🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.72%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.86%E -3.10%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 06:51
Grosvenor🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.72%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.86%E -3.10%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 06:55
betPARX🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.72%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.86%E -3.10%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 06:51
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.72%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.86%E -3.10%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 06:51
Bally Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.72%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.86%E -3.10%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 06:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.72%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.86%E -3.10%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 06:51
Betclic (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.37%E -1.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 00:49
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.37%E -2.28%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 00:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 00:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.36%E -3.38%K -7.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 06:51
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.36%E -3.38%K -7.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 01:05
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.36%E -3.38%K -7.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 01:05
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -6.14%E -3.28%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -4.37%E -2.28%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 22:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.14%E -3.28%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.36%E -2.82%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 21:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.14%E -3.28%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.36%E -2.82%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 00:05
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.14%E -3.28%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.86%E -3.67%K -7.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 00:19
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.14%E -3.28%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.86%E -3.67%K -7.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 14:47
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.14%E -3.28%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.86%E -3.67%K -7.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 13:30
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.14%E -3.28%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.86%E -3.67%K -7.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 00:35
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.14%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.87%E -1.47%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 21:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.14%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.87%E -1.47%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 21:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.14%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.87%E -1.47%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 21:25
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.14%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.87%E -1.47%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 21:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.14%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.87%E -2.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 00:20
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -7.14%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.37%E -2.28%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 01:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -7.14%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.36%E -3.38%K -7.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 00:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.14%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.86%E -4.25%K -9.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 08:10
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.14%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.86%E -4.25%K -9.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 08:09
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 07:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-09-02 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-09-02 00:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-09-02 00:56
Matchbook◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-09-02 00:55
ProphetX◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-09-02 01:05
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-09-01 14:05
Smarkets◎1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%2.3%2026-09-02 00:55
Novig◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%2.6%2026-09-02 00:50