Idioma:Español
Lucie Havlickova v Anna Bondár
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Lucie Havlickova (Local)
Predicción 39.48%2.53momio equitativo
EV -1.30%
Ventaja -0.518%
Kelly -0.863%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.50%39.38%39.50%41.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.432.412.5043.48%41.19%41.49%40.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Anna Bondár (Visitante)
Predicción 60.52%1.65momio equitativo
EV -1.96%
Ventaja -1.21%
Kelly -3.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.67%60.62%60.50%62.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.501.551.561.6266.67%64.32%64.31%61.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Lucie Havlickova (Local): 39.48%; Anna Bondár (Visitante): 60.52%. Para Lucie Havlickova (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.53. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.50, con un valor esperado de -1.30%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.30%E -0.518%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.41%E -4.84%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 17:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.30%E -0.518%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.41%E -4.84%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 16:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.30%E -0.518%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -8.01%E -5.27%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 17:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.30%E -0.518%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -8.01%E -5.27%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 17:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.30%E -0.518%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -8.01%E -5.27%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 17:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.30%E -0.518%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.62%E -5.71%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 17:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.30%E -0.518%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.62%E -5.71%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 17:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.30%E -0.518%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.62%E -5.71%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.30%E -0.518%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.62%E -5.71%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 17:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.30%E -0.518%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.62%E -5.71%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 17:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.30%E -0.518%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.62%E -5.71%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 17:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.30%E -0.518%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.62%E -5.71%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 17:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.30%E -0.518%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.62%E -5.71%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 17:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.30%E -0.518%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.62%E -5.71%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 17:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.30%E -0.518%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.62%E -5.71%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 17:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.30%E -0.518%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.62%E -5.71%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 17:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.30%E -0.518%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.22%E -6.15%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 10:43 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.08%E -0.841%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -6.20%E -4.00%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -2.08%E -0.841%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -8.62%E -5.71%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 17:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -2.48%E -1.00%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -6.20%E -4.00%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 16:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -2.48%E -1.00%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -6.20%E -4.00%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -2.87%E -1.17%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -5.59%E -3.58%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 16:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.27%E -1.33%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.38%E -2.77%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-01 15:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.27%E -1.33%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.99%E -3.18%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-01 17:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.27%E -1.33%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -9.22%E -6.15%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-01 16:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -3.66%E -1.50%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -2.57%E -1.59%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 15:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -4.06%E -1.67%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -6.20%E -4.00%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -4.45%E -1.84%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.38%E -2.77%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-01 15:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.45%E -1.84%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.99%E -3.18%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -4.85%E -2.01%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -1.96%E -1.21%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-01 16:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -4.85%E -2.01%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -1.96%E -1.21%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-01 16:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -5.24%E -2.18%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.96%E -1.21%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.24%E -2.18%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.17%E -1.98%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 15:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.24%E -2.18%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.38%E -2.77%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 15:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.24%E -2.18%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.38%E -2.77%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.24%E -2.18%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.99%E -3.18%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 15:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.24%E -2.18%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.99%E -3.18%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 15:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.24%E -2.18%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.99%E -3.18%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.24%E -2.18%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.99%E -3.18%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 15:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.24%E -2.18%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.99%E -3.18%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 11:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.24%E -2.18%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.99%E -3.18%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 11:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.24%E -2.18%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.99%E -3.18%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 11:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.24%E -2.18%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.59%E -3.58%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.24%E -2.18%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.59%E -3.58%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 11:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.24%E -2.18%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.20%E -4.00%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 17:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.24%E -2.18%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.41%E -4.84%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 16:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.34%EV -5.64%E -2.36%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.66%EV -6.20%E -4.00%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 15:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.34%EV -5.64%E -2.36%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.66%EV -6.20%E -4.00%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 15:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.03%E -2.53%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.99%E -3.18%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 11:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.03%E -2.53%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.99%E -3.18%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 16:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.03%E -2.53%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.99%E -3.18%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 16:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -6.43%E -2.71%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.20%E -4.00%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -6.43%E -2.71%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.20%E -4.00%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 11:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.22%E -3.07%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.38%E -2.77%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 15:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.22%E -3.07%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.38%E -2.77%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 15:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.22%E -3.07%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.20%E -4.00%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 17:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.96%E -1.21%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 15:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.57%E -1.59%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 15:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.57%E -1.59%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 15:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.57%E -1.59%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 15:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 0.4% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 0.7% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 0.8% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 0.8% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 0.8% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Novig◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-09-01 18:41 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-09-01 17:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.02% | 1.8% | 2026-09-01 18:15 |