Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kimberly Birrell v Petra Marcinko

Início: 2026-08-30 22:20 UTC

Final: Kimberly Birrell 2–1 Petra Marcinko

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kimberly Birrell (Local)

Previsão 51.79%1.93odd justa
EV -2.64%
Vantagem -1.41%
Kelly -3.00%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.07%51.81%51.84%54.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.751.831.831.8857.14%54.70%54.64%53.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Petra Marcinko (Visitante)

Previsão 48.21%2.07odd justa
EV +0.767%
Vantagem +0.367%
Kelly +0.703%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.09

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.57%48.19%48.16%48.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.911.971.972.0952.36%50.77%50.76%47.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Kimberly Birrell (Local): 51.79%; Petra Marcinko (Visitante): 48.21%. Para Petra Marcinko (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.07. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.09, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.767%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
GTbets🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -9.37%E -5.36%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV +0.767%E +0.367%K +0.703%G +0.005%5.0%2026-08-27 20:35
Pinnacle🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.19%EV -3.68%E -1.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.81%EV -2.13%E -1.05%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-30 22:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.75%E -3.16%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.61%E -1.29%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 22:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.75%E -3.16%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.61%E -1.29%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 22:10
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.75%E -3.16%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.61%E -1.29%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 22:10
Coolbet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -2.64%E -1.41%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -3.57%E -1.79%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 19:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -3.68%E -1.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -3.57%E -1.79%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-29 13:50
ReBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.20%E -2.27%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.57%E -1.79%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 19:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -4.71%E -2.56%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -3.57%E -1.79%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 13:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -4.71%E -2.56%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -3.57%E -1.79%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 22:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.57%E -1.79%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 16:35
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.57%E -1.79%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 22:10
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.57%E -1.79%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 11:35
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.57%E -1.79%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 22:10
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.57%E -1.79%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 10:45
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.34%E -4.71%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.57%E -1.79%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 11:42
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.54%E -2.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 20:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.54%E -2.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 19:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.54%E -2.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 16:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.54%E -2.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 16:34
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.54%E -2.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 16:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.54%E -2.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 12:35
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.75%E -3.16%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.54%E -2.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 22:10
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.54%E -2.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 07:35
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -3.16%E -1.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -5.02%E -2.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 07:34
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.02%E -2.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 16:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.02%E -2.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 16:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.02%E -2.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 16:35
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.02%E -2.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 16:34
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.02%E -2.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 16:35
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.02%E -2.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 16:35
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.02%E -2.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.02%E -2.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 16:35
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.02%E -2.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 16:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.02%E -2.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.02%E -2.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 16:35
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -3.16%E -1.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -5.50%E -2.81%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 07:35
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.71%E -2.56%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.50%E -2.81%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 07:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.50%E -2.81%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 22:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.50%E -2.81%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 13:45
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.50%E -2.81%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 13:46
NordicBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -6.27%E -3.46%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -5.50%E -2.81%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 13:49
Betsson🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -6.27%E -3.46%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -5.50%E -2.81%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 13:50
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.20%E -2.27%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.98%E -3.07%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 13:40
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.20%E -2.27%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.98%E -3.07%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 13:39
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.20%E -2.27%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.98%E -3.07%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 21:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.20%E -2.27%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.98%E -3.07%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 13:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.20%E -2.27%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.98%E -3.07%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 13:40
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.20%E -2.27%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.98%E -3.07%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 13:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.98%E -3.07%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 13:45
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.98%E -3.07%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 13:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.75%E -3.16%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.98%E -3.07%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 22:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -6.27%E -3.46%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.98%E -3.07%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 16:34
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.98%E -3.07%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 15:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.98%E -3.07%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 22:10
BetAnything🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.98%E -3.07%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 19:30
DraftKings🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -4.71%E -2.56%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -6.47%E -3.33%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 13:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.95%E -3.60%K -7.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 19:05
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.91%E -4.14%K -8.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 10:44
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.91%E -4.14%K -8.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 07:35
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.91%E -4.14%K -8.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 22:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.91%E -4.14%K -8.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 20:05
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.91%E -4.14%K -8.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.91%E -4.14%K -8.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 13:46
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-08-30 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-08-30 22:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-08-30 21:55
Matchbook◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-08-30 21:55
ProphetX◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-30 22:10
Novig◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-08-30 22:10
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-08-30 21:40
Smarkets◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%2.5%2026-08-30 22:10