Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Kamilla Rakhimova v Barbora Krejcikova

Inicio: 2026-08-30 15:04 UTC

Final: Kamilla Rakhimova 2–0 Barbora Krejcikova

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Kamilla Rakhimova (Local)

Predicción 26.24%3.81momio equitativo
EV +4.95%
Ventaja +1.24%
Kelly +1.65%
Crecimiento +0.082%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.81%26.32%26.24%28.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.703.704.0030.30%27.05%27.03%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Barbora Krejcikova (Visitante)

Predicción 73.76%1.36momio equitativo
EV -1.90%
Ventaja -1.43%
Kelly -5.74%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.27%73.68%73.76%76.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.241.281.291.3380.65%78.12%77.52%75.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Kamilla Rakhimova (Local): 26.24%; Barbora Krejcikova (Visitante): 73.76%. Para Kamilla Rakhimova (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.81. 18 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.95%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetRivers🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +4.95%E +1.24%K +1.65%G +0.082%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 13:55
ATG (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +4.95%E +1.24%K +1.65%G +0.082%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 13:55
Svenska Spel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +4.95%E +1.24%K +1.65%G +0.082%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 13:55
Grosvenor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +4.95%E +1.24%K +1.65%G +0.082%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 13:55
Casumo🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +4.95%E +1.24%K +1.65%G +0.082%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 13:55
Virgin Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +4.95%E +1.24%K +1.65%G +0.082%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 13:55
betPARX🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +4.95%E +1.24%K +1.65%G +0.082%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 13:54
LiveScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +4.95%E +1.24%K +1.65%G +0.082%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 13:55
Bally Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +4.95%E +1.24%K +1.65%G +0.082%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 13:55
Unibet (NL)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +4.95%E +1.24%K +1.65%G +0.082%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 13:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +4.95%E +1.24%K +1.65%G +0.082%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 13:55
TABtouch🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +4.95%E +1.24%K +1.65%G +0.082%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 13:55
Unibet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +4.95%E +1.24%K +1.65%G +0.082%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +4.95%E +1.24%K +1.65%G +0.082%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +4.95%E +1.24%K +1.65%G +0.082%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 13:55
SportsBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +2.33%E +0.596%K +0.802%G +0.019%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.06%E -5.60%K -27.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 15:06
PMU (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV +2.33%E +0.596%K +0.802%G +0.019%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -8.53%E -6.88%K -35.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 13:55
Winamax (DE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV +1.01%E +0.263%K +0.356%G +0.004%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -4.85%E -3.76%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-30 11:29
FanDuel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.299%E -0.079%K -0.107%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.58%E -4.36%K -19.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 03:20
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -0.299%E -0.079%K -0.107%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 09:15
Coolbet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -1.61%E -0.429%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -3.37%E -2.57%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-29 15:40
LowVig.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -1.61%E -0.429%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-30 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -1.61%E -0.429%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-30 14:00
Winamax (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.61%E -0.429%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.85%E -3.76%K -16.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 11:29
Bovada🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.61%E -0.429%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.85%E -3.76%K -16.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 14:24
betano_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.61%E -0.429%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.85%E -3.76%K -16.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 13:54
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.61%E -0.429%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.85%E -3.76%K -16.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 14:00
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.61%E -0.429%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-28 08:34
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.61%E -0.429%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-28 08:53
1xBet🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -1.87%E -0.501%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -5.58%E -4.36%K -19.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 14:50
Pinnacle🎯3.71I 26.95%NM 26.24%EV -2.66%E -0.717%K -0.982%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.76%EV -2.63%E -1.99%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-30 14:55
ReBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.92%E -0.790%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.85%E -3.76%K -16.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 13:10
BetAnything🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.92%E -0.790%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.85%E -3.76%K -16.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 14:25
Betclic (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -4.23%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 14:50
Unibet (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.23%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.85%E -3.76%K -16.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 13:55
MyBookie.ag🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.23%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.85%E -3.76%K -16.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 15:19
Marathon Bet🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 26.02%EV -4.50%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.98%EV -5.58%E -4.36%K -19.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 14:55
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.55%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.85%E -3.76%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 08:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.55%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.85%E -3.76%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 08:09
TAB🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.55%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.58%E -4.36%K -19.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 12:25
NetBet (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.55%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.06%E -5.60%K -27.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 14:30
GTbets🎯3.58I 27.93%NM 26.19%EV -6.07%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.81%EV -6.32%E -4.98%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 16:10
Betsson🎯3.58I 27.93%NM 26.19%EV -6.07%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.81%EV -6.32%E -4.98%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 03:26
NordicBet🎯3.58I 27.93%NM 26.19%EV -6.07%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.81%EV -6.32%E -4.98%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 03:25
Bet Right🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.86%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 14:55
theScore Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.86%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.85%E -3.76%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 03:26
LeoVegas🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -6.86%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.58%E -4.36%K -19.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 05:30
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.17%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.17%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 08:30
Neds🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.17%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 08:30
PlayUp🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.17%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 13:10
Betr (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.17%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.85%E -3.76%K -16.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 03:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.17%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.85%E -3.76%K -16.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 14:40
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.17%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.85%E -3.76%K -16.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-28 09:41
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.17%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.85%E -3.76%K -16.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 04:45
Coral🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.17%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.58%E -4.36%K -19.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-28 08:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.17%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.58%E -4.36%K -19.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-28 08:30
DraftKings🎯3.47I 28.82%NM 27.25%EV -8.96%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.75%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 04:05
Caesars🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.79%E -3.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.85%E -3.76%K -16.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-28 14:26
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -13.42%E -4.07%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -1.90%E -1.43%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 05:30
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -13.42%E -4.07%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -1.90%E -1.43%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 05:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -13.42%E -4.07%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -1.90%E -1.43%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 05:31
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -13.42%E -4.07%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -1.90%E -1.43%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 05:30
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -13.42%E -4.07%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -2.63%E -1.99%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 14:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-08-30 14:05
Kalshi◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-08-30 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%0.8%2026-08-30 13:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%0.8%2026-08-30 13:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%0.8%2026-08-30 13:15
Matchbook◎3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%0.8%2026-08-30 13:15
Novig◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47%1.7%2026-08-30 14:00
Smarkets◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.61%2.3%2026-08-30 14:05