Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Hanne Vandewinkel v Karolina Pliskova

Início: 2026-08-30 18:54 UTC

Final: Hanne Vandewinkel 1–2 Karolina Pliskova

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Hanne Vandewinkel (Local)

Previsão 50.43%1.98odd justa
EV -2.67%
Vantagem -1.38%
Kelly -2.87%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.93

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.94%50.53%50.40%52.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.821.861.861.9354.95%53.67%53.76%51.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Karolina Pliskova (Visitante)

Previsão 49.57%2.02odd justa
EV -0.369%
Vantagem -0.184%
Kelly -0.366%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.01

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.66%49.47%49.60%51.06%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.851.931.942.0154.05%51.73%51.55%49.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Hanne Vandewinkel (Local): 50.43%; Karolina Pliskova (Visitante): 49.57%. Para Karolina Pliskova (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.02. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.01, com valor esperado de -0.369%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.67%E -1.38%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.30%E -4.49%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 05:50
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -3.17%E -1.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -0.865%E -0.432%K -0.865%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-30 18:40
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV -3.17%E -1.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%EV -2.85%E -1.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-30 18:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -3.17%E -1.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -3.84%E -1.98%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-28 10:30
Pinnacle🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.77%EV -3.67%E -1.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.23%EV -2.35%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-30 16:55
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -3.67%E -1.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.84%E -1.98%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-30 16:20
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.67%E -1.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 15:06
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.67%E -1.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 06:20
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.67%E -1.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 09:41
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.67%E -1.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 16:15
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -3.84%E -1.98%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 06:20
FanDuel🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -4.33%E -2.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 06:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.83%E -2.52%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 10:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 06:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.68%E -2.48%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.83%E -2.52%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 11:25
Bet Right🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.68%E -2.48%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 15:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.19%E -2.76%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.84%E -1.98%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 18:30
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.19%E -2.76%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 18:50
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.69%E -3.04%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.34%E -1.71%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 02:26
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.69%E -3.04%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.34%E -1.71%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 02:38
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -5.69%E -3.04%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -4.83%E -2.52%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 18:50
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -5.69%E -3.04%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -4.83%E -2.52%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 18:10
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -5.69%E -3.04%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -4.83%E -2.52%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 02:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -5.69%E -3.04%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -4.83%E -2.52%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 02:40
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.69%E -3.04%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 04:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.69%E -3.04%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 18:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.69%E -3.04%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 17:50
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.69%E -3.04%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.31%E -3.91%K -8.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 15:50
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.69%E -3.04%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.31%E -3.91%K -8.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 14:41
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.69%E -3.04%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.31%E -3.91%K -8.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 18:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -6.20%E -3.33%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -6.81%E -3.62%K -7.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 17:51
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.70%E -3.62%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.34%E -1.71%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 01:25
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.70%E -3.62%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.34%E -1.71%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 01:25
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.70%E -3.62%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.34%E -1.71%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 16:43
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.70%E -3.62%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.34%E -1.71%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 01:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.70%E -3.62%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.34%E -1.71%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 01:25
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.70%E -3.62%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 02:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -6.70%E -3.62%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.81%E -3.62%K -7.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 10:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -7.20%E -3.92%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -2.35%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 16:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -7.20%E -3.92%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -2.35%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 16:34
Unibet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -7.20%E -3.92%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -2.35%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 16:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -7.20%E -3.92%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -4.33%E -2.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -7.71%E -4.21%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -0.369%E -0.184%K -0.366%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 12:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -7.71%E -4.21%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -0.369%E -0.184%K -0.366%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 12:00
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -7.71%E -4.21%K -9.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.85%E -1.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 16:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -7.71%E -4.21%K -9.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.85%E -1.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 16:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -7.71%E -4.21%K -9.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.85%E -1.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 16:35
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -7.71%E -4.21%K -9.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.85%E -1.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 16:34
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -7.71%E -4.21%K -9.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.85%E -1.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 16:30
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -7.71%E -4.21%K -9.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.85%E -1.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 16:30
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -7.71%E -4.21%K -9.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.85%E -1.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 16:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -7.71%E -4.21%K -9.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.85%E -1.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 16:30
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -7.71%E -4.21%K -9.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.85%E -1.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 16:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -7.71%E -4.21%K -9.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.85%E -1.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -7.71%E -4.21%K -9.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.85%E -1.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 16:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.71%E -4.21%K -9.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.34%E -1.71%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 04:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.71%E -4.21%K -9.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 02:40
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.71%E -4.21%K -9.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 02:40
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.71%E -4.21%K -9.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 08:25
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.71%E -4.21%K -9.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 13:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -8.21%E -4.51%K -10.02%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -4.33%E -2.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 06:06
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-08-30 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-08-30 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-08-30 18:45
Matchbook◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-08-30 18:45
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-30 18:15
Novig◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.5%2026-08-30 18:50
ProphetX◎1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%1.8%2026-08-30 18:45
Smarkets◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%2.1%2026-08-30 18:40