Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Elina Svitolina v Maya Joint

Inizio: 2026-09-03 00:10 UTC

Finale: Elina Svitolina 2–1 Maya Joint

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Elina Svitolina (Casa)

Previsione 86.81%1.15quota equa
EV -3.64%
Vantaggio -3.28%
Kelly -33.08%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.11

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
85.03%86.92%86.63%88.91%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.061.101.101.1194.34%91.08%90.91%90.09%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Maya Joint (Trasferta)

Previsione 13.19%7.58quota equa
EV +12.10%
Vantaggio +1.42%
Kelly +1.61%
Crescita +0.195%

ipotizzando la quota massima 8.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.09%13.08%13.37%14.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
6.257.047.008.5016.00%14.21%14.29%11.76%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Elina Svitolina (Casa): 86.81%; Maya Joint (Trasferta): 13.19%. Per Maya Joint (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 7.58. 9 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 8.50, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +12.10%.

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
BoyleSports🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -6.24%E -5.78%K -78.04%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +12.10%E +1.42%K +1.61%G +0.195%4.4%2026-09-03 00:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.98%E -7.53%K -133.00%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +12.10%E +1.42%K +1.61%G +0.195%6.1%2026-09-02 21:31
Pinnacle🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 88.17%EV -4.51%E -4.10%K -45.07%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.83%EV +8.15%E +0.993%K +1.13%G +0.092%3.1%2026-09-02 23:50
SportsBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.24%E -5.78%K -78.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +5.51%E +0.688%K +0.787%G +0.043%5.1%2026-09-02 20:30
FanDuel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.74%EV -5.38%E -4.93%K -59.73%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.26%EV +2.87%E +0.368%K +0.422%G +0.012%4.6%2026-09-02 20:30
Coolbet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.47%EV -3.64%E -3.28%K -33.08%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.53%EV +2.21%E +0.285%K +0.328%G +0.007%3.0%2026-09-02 20:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%EV -4.51%E -4.10%K -45.07%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%EV +2.21%E +0.285%K +0.328%G +0.007%3.8%2026-09-03 00:06
Betclic (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -5.38%E -4.93%K -59.73%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV +2.21%E +0.285%K +0.328%G +0.007%4.6%2026-09-03 00:00
Bovada🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -5.38%E -4.93%K -59.73%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV +2.21%E +0.285%K +0.328%G +0.007%4.6%2026-09-02 23:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.51%E -4.10%K -45.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.09%E -0.145%K -0.167%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 00:06
Betr (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.24%E -5.78%K -78.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -1.09%E -0.145%K -0.167%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 22:00
Sky Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.24%E -5.78%K -78.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -1.09%E -0.145%K -0.167%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 20:25
Paddy Power🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.24%E -5.78%K -78.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -1.09%E -0.145%K -0.167%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 20:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.96%EV -3.64%E -3.28%K -33.08%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.04%EV -2.41%E -0.325%K -0.376%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-02 11:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.96%EV -3.64%E -3.28%K -33.08%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.04%EV -2.41%E -0.325%K -0.376%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-02 11:55
DraftKings🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.16%EV -5.38%E -4.93%K -59.73%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.84%EV -2.41%E -0.325%K -0.376%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 09:30
1xBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.95%EV -4.51%E -4.10%K -45.07%G +0.000%7.33I 13.64%NM 13.05%EV -3.33%E -0.454%K -0.526%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 00:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -6.24%E -5.78%K -78.04%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -4.38%E -0.605%K -0.701%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 22:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.51%E -4.10%K -45.07%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -5.04%E -0.700%K -0.813%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 00:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.59%EV -4.51%E -4.10%K -45.07%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.41%EV -6.36%E -0.896%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 14:46
Bet Right🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.51%E -4.10%K -45.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.68%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 19:41
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.51%E -4.10%K -45.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.68%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 09:30
William Hill🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.51%E -4.10%K -45.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.68%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 19:40
888sport🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.51%E -4.10%K -45.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.68%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 19:40
Neds🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.51%E -4.10%K -45.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.68%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 10:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.51%E -4.10%K -45.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.68%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 10:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.51%E -4.10%K -45.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.68%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 19:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.51%E -4.10%K -45.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.68%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 19:40
BetUS🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.51%E -4.10%K -45.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.68%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 22:31
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.51%E -4.10%K -45.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.68%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 20:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.38%E -4.93%K -59.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.68%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 22:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.38%E -4.93%K -59.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.68%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 00:06
BetMGM🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.38%E -4.93%K -59.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.68%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 10:44
Coral🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.38%E -4.93%K -59.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.68%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 10:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.38%E -4.93%K -59.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.68%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 10:45
betfred_uk🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.24%E -5.78%K -78.04%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.68%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 23:50
Caesars🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.24%E -5.78%K -78.04%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.68%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 10:38
GTbets🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.26%EV -3.64%E -3.28%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.97I 14.35%NM 13.74%EV -8.08%E -1.16%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 11:45
NordicBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.46%EV -5.38%E -4.93%K -59.73%G +0.000%6.96I 14.37%NM 13.54%EV -8.21%E -1.18%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 23:55
Betsson🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.46%EV -5.38%E -4.93%K -59.73%G +0.000%6.96I 14.37%NM 13.54%EV -8.21%E -1.18%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 23:55
BetAnything🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.34%EV -4.51%E -4.10%K -45.07%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.66%EV -8.34%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 22:40
LeoVegas🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.36%EV -5.38%E -4.93%K -59.73%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.64%EV -9.00%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 00:06
Marathon Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.51%E -4.10%K -45.07%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.98%E -1.63%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 00:04
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.51%E -4.10%K -45.07%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.98%E -1.63%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 23:55
PlayUp🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.51%E -4.10%K -45.07%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.98%E -1.63%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 23:20
Fanatics🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.64%E -3.28%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -14.27%E -2.20%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.64%E -3.28%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -14.27%E -2.20%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 11:10
Grosvenor🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.64%E -3.28%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -14.27%E -2.20%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.64%E -3.28%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -14.27%E -2.20%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.64%E -3.28%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -14.27%E -2.20%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 11:10
TABtouch🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.64%E -3.28%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -14.27%E -2.20%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.64%E -3.28%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -14.27%E -2.20%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 11:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.64%E -3.28%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -14.27%E -2.20%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:05
Casumo🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.64%E -3.28%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -14.27%E -2.20%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:05
BetRivers🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.64%E -3.28%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -14.27%E -2.20%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 11:10
Unibet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.64%E -3.28%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -14.27%E -2.20%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 11:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.64%E -3.28%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -14.27%E -2.20%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.64%E -3.28%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -14.27%E -2.20%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 11:10
Bally Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.64%E -3.28%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -14.27%E -2.20%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:05
betPARX🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.64%E -3.28%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -14.27%E -2.20%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 11:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.64%E -3.28%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -14.27%E -2.20%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 11:10
betano_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.51%E -4.10%K -45.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -14.27%E -2.20%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 19:29
TAB🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.38%E -4.93%K -59.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -14.27%E -2.20%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 23:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -4.51%E -4.10%K -45.07%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -17.57%E -2.81%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 12:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 88.39%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61%0.1%2026-09-03 00:06
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 88.39%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61%0.1%2026-09-03 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 88.39%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61%0.1%2026-09-03 00:05
Matchbook◎1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.4%2026-09-02 23:56
Kalshi◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.3%2026-09-02 21:50
Novig◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.3%2026-09-02 21:30
ProphetX◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.11%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.89%1.3%2026-09-02 23:40
Smarkets◎1.11I 90.09%NM 88.33%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.67%2.0%2026-09-02 23:56