Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Cristina Bucsa v Coco Gauff

Inizio: 2026-09-05 15:00 UTC

Finale: Cristina Bucsa 0–2 Coco Gauff

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

61 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Cristina Bucsa (Casa)

Previsione 7.27%13.75quota equa
EV +38.18%
Vantaggio +2.01%
Kelly +2.12%
Crescita +0.810%

ipotizzando la quota massima 19.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
5.14%7.31%7.34%11.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
7.7513.1912.5019.0012.90%7.58%8.00%5.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Coco Gauff (Trasferta)

Previsione 92.73%1.08quota equa
EV -3.56%
Vantaggio -3.43%
Kelly -89.09%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.04

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
88.47%92.69%92.66%94.86%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.011.021.031.0499.01%97.57%97.09%96.15%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Cristina Bucsa (Casa): 7.27%; Coco Gauff (Trasferta): 92.73%. Per Cristina Bucsa (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 13.75. 20 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 19.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +38.18%.

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Sky Bet🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 5.14%EV +38.18%E +2.01%K +2.12%G +0.810%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.86%EV -4.49%E -4.36%K -149.69%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-04 08:50
Paddy Power🎯18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +30.91%E +1.72%K +1.82%G +0.562%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -5.42%E -5.31%K -270.90%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-04 08:49
BoyleSports🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +23.63%E +1.39%K +1.48%G +0.349%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -4.49%E -4.36%K -149.69%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-04 04:25
Coolbet🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +23.63%E +1.39%K +1.48%G +0.349%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -4.49%E -4.36%K -149.69%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-04 12:50
betano_uk🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +23.63%E +1.39%K +1.48%G +0.349%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -5.42%E -5.31%K -270.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 13:15
FanDuel🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +23.63%E +1.39%K +1.48%G +0.349%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -5.42%E -5.31%K -270.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 10:10
Pinnacle🎯16.99I 5.89%NM 5.72%EV +23.56%E +1.39%K +1.47%G +0.347%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.28%EV -4.49%E -4.36%K -149.69%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-04 07:45
LowVig.ag🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +16.36%E +1.02%K +1.09%G +0.178%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.42%E -5.31%K -270.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 09:45
BetOnline.ag🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +16.36%E +1.02%K +1.09%G +0.178%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.42%E -5.31%K -270.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 09:45
SportsBet🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +16.36%E +1.02%K +1.09%G +0.178%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -6.35%E -6.28%K -634.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 10:10
888sport🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +9.09%E +0.606%K +0.649%G +0.059%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.42%E -5.31%K -270.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 07:20
William Hill🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +9.09%E +0.606%K +0.649%G +0.059%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.42%E -5.31%K -270.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 07:20
Bovada🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +9.09%E +0.606%K +0.649%G +0.059%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.42%E -5.31%K -270.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 07:26
888sport (SE)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +9.09%E +0.606%K +0.649%G +0.059%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.42%E -5.31%K -270.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 09:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +9.09%E +0.606%K +0.649%G +0.059%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.42%E -5.31%K -270.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 09:45
DraftKings🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +1.82%E +0.130%K +0.140%G +0.003%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.42%E -5.31%K -270.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 07:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +1.82%E +0.130%K +0.140%G +0.003%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.35%E -6.28%K -634.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 07:40
Tipico (DE)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +1.82%E +0.130%K +0.140%G +0.003%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.35%E -6.28%K -634.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 05:50
NetBet (FR)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +1.82%E +0.130%K +0.140%G +0.003%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.35%E -6.28%K -634.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 10:10
GTbets🎯13.86I 7.22%NM 6.98%EV +0.797%E +0.058%K +0.062%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.02%EV -3.56%E -3.43%K -89.09%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-04 12:50
1xBet🎯13.20I 7.58%NM 7.24%EV -4.00%E -0.303%K -0.328%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.76%EV -4.49%E -4.36%K -149.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 12:50
Coral🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -5.46%E -0.420%K -0.455%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.56%E -3.43%K -89.09%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 07:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -5.46%E -0.420%K -0.455%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.56%E -3.43%K -89.09%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 07:40
PlayUp🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -5.46%E -0.420%K -0.455%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.56%E -3.43%K -89.09%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 07:05
Bet Right🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -5.46%E -0.420%K -0.455%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.49%E -4.36%K -149.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 04:25
Betsson🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -5.46%E -0.420%K -0.455%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.49%E -4.36%K -149.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 08:45
NordicBet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -5.46%E -0.420%K -0.455%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.49%E -4.36%K -149.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 08:45
betfred_uk🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -5.46%E -0.420%K -0.455%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.42%E -5.31%K -270.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 07:10
Betr (AU)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -9.09%E -0.727%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.42%E -5.31%K -270.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 07:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -9.09%E -0.727%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.42%E -5.31%K -270.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 07:40
Winamax (DE)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -9.09%E -0.727%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.42%E -5.31%K -270.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 10:04
Neds🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -9.09%E -0.727%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.42%E -5.31%K -270.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 07:40
Betway🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -12.73%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.49%E -4.36%K -149.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 04:25
Unibet (FR)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -12.73%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.49%E -4.36%K -149.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 11:41
Betclic (FR)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -12.73%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.49%E -4.36%K -149.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 10:04
Casumo🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -12.73%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.49%E -4.36%K -149.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 13:15
LiveScore Bet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -12.73%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.49%E -4.36%K -149.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 13:15
Unibet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -12.73%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.49%E -4.36%K -149.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 13:15
Grosvenor🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -12.73%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.49%E -4.36%K -149.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 13:15
BetRivers🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -12.73%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.49%E -4.36%K -149.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 13:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -12.73%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.49%E -4.36%K -149.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 13:15
TABtouch🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -12.73%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.49%E -4.36%K -149.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 13:15
Virgin Bet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -12.73%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.49%E -4.36%K -149.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 13:15
Unibet (NL)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -12.73%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.49%E -4.36%K -149.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 13:15
Unibet (SE)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -12.73%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.49%E -4.36%K -149.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 13:15
Bally Bet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -12.73%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.49%E -4.36%K -149.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 13:14
ATG (SE)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -12.73%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.49%E -4.36%K -149.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 13:15
Svenska Spel🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -12.73%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.49%E -4.36%K -149.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 13:15
betPARX🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -12.73%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.49%E -4.36%K -149.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 13:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -12.73%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.49%E -4.36%K -149.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 13:15
Fanatics🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -12.73%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.42%E -5.31%K -270.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 10:05
Unibet (UK)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -12.73%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.42%E -5.31%K -270.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 10:15
Caesars🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -12.73%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.42%E -5.31%K -270.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 05:08
TAB🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -12.73%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -6.35%E -6.28%K -634.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 11:25
PMU (FR)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -12.73%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -6.35%E -6.28%K -634.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 13:15
Marathon Bet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -16.37%E -1.42%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -4.49%E -4.36%K -149.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 08:54
BetMGM🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -20.00%E -1.82%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.49%E -4.36%K -149.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 07:40
theScore Bet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -20.00%E -1.82%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.49%E -4.36%K -149.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 04:25
LeoVegas🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -27.27%E -2.73%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -5.42%E -5.31%K -270.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 08:45
ReBet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -38.18%E -4.49%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 89.29%EV -5.42%E -5.31%K -270.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-04 10:04
Winamax (FR)🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 11.53%EV -43.64%E -5.63%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 88.47%EV -6.35%E -6.28%K -634.53%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-04 07:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets◎20.00I 5.00%NM 4.99%1.05I 95.24%NM 95.01%0.2%2026-09-04 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎20.00I 5.00%NM 4.99%1.05I 95.24%NM 95.01%0.2%2026-09-04 12:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎20.00I 5.00%NM 4.99%1.05I 95.24%NM 95.01%0.2%2026-09-04 12:35
Matchbook◎20.00I 5.00%NM 4.99%1.05I 95.24%NM 95.01%0.2%2026-09-04 12:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎19.00I 5.26%NM 5.24%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.76%0.5%2026-09-04 12:10
Novig◎18.18I 5.50%NM 5.46%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.54%0.7%2026-09-04 13:10
ProphetX◎17.00I 5.88%NM 5.82%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.18%1.1%2026-09-04 11:50