Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Anhelina Kalinina v Himeno Sakatsume

Inicio: 2026-08-31 15:04 UTC

Final: Anhelina Kalinina 0–2 Himeno Sakatsume

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Anhelina Kalinina (Local)

Predicción 72.47%1.38momio equitativo
EV -2.89%
Ventaja -2.15%
Kelly -8.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.34

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.27%72.44%72.43%73.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.291.311.301.3477.52%76.33%76.92%74.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Himeno Sakatsume (Visitante)

Predicción 27.53%3.63momio equitativo
EV -0.901%
Ventaja -0.250%
Kelly -0.346%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.75%27.56%27.57%28.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.443.453.6030.30%29.05%28.99%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Anhelina Kalinina (Local): 72.47%; Himeno Sakatsume (Visitante): 27.53%. Para Himeno Sakatsume (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.63. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.60, con un valor esperado de -0.901%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.08%EV -2.89%E -2.15%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.92%EV -4.75%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-31 01:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.08%EV -2.89%E -2.15%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.92%EV -4.75%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-31 01:10
Coolbet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -0.901%E -0.250%K -0.346%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-31 12:10
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.91%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.09%EV -1.45%E -0.405%K -0.562%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-31 12:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -2.28%E -0.641%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-29 08:20
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 14:49
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 16:20
BetAnything🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 01:05
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -6.68%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 14:50
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 08:05
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 08:05
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 08:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 08:06
ReBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.34%E -3.29%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-31 13:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.34%E -3.29%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 08:20
Bovada🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.34%E -3.29%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-31 12:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.34%E -3.29%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 08:05
GTbets🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.34%E -3.29%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 05:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.34%E -3.29%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 08:25
Neds🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.34%E -3.29%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 08:25
TAB🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.34%E -3.29%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 01:05
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -5.06%E -3.86%K -16.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -2.28%E -0.641%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 03:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.06%E -3.86%K -16.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 07:15
Bet Right🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.06%E -3.86%K -16.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 14:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.06%E -3.86%K -16.33%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -5.30%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 15:20
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.36%EV -5.06%E -3.86%K -16.33%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.64%EV -5.58%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 17:35
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.06%E -3.86%K -16.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 08:20
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.06%E -3.86%K -16.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 18:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.06%E -3.86%K -16.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 05:35
Caesars🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.06%E -3.86%K -16.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 16:08
SportsBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.25%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV -2.00%E -0.562%K -0.782%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 03:00
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 08:15
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 06:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 06:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 06:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 06:15
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 06:15
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 06:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 06:15
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 06:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 06:15
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 06:15
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 06:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 06:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 06:15
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 06:20
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 09:25
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 09:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 08:20
theScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 03:00
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 14:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 03:36
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 08:25
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 08:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 22:05
Betsson🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.22%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.78%EV -6.96%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 19:35
NordicBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.22%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.78%EV -6.96%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 19:35
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.51%E -5.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 12:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.51%E -5.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 14:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.51%E -5.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 14:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.51%E -5.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 12:15
Fliff🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.51%E -5.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 14:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.65%3.64I 27.47%NM 27.35%0.5%2026-08-31 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-08-31 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-08-31 14:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-08-31 14:40
ProphetX◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-08-31 14:55
Matchbook◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-08-31 14:40
Kalshi◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-08-31 14:00
Smarkets◎1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%2.2%2026-08-31 13:15