La escuela de los momios

Laura Siegemund v Viktoriya Tomova

Inicio: 2026-04-13 16:40 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Laura Siegemund (Local)

Predicción 59.71%1.67momio equitativo
EV -2.68%
Ventaja -1.64%
Kelly -4.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.99%59.75%59.69%61.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.511.571.571.6366.23%63.73%63.69%61.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Viktoriya Tomova (Visitante)

Predicción 40.29%2.48momio equitativo
EV -1.28%
Ventaja -0.521%
Kelly -0.881%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.60%40.25%40.31%42.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.222.362.382.4545.05%42.40%42.02%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -2.68%E -1.64%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -9.34%E -4.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 16:28
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.60%EV -3.28%E -2.02%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.40%EV -3.70%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-13 16:35
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.60%EV -3.28%E -2.02%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.40%EV -3.70%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-13 16:35
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.28%E -2.02%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.52%E -2.81%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 16:29
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.28%E -2.02%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.32%E -3.18%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-13 16:35
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.87%E -2.41%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.32%E -3.18%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 16:34
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -3.87%E -2.41%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -8.13%E -3.56%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-13 16:29
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.47%E -2.79%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.29%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 16:35
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.47%E -2.79%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.32%E -3.18%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-13 16:35
Codere (IT)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -4.47%E -2.79%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.13%EV -7.72%E -3.37%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 16:30
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.47%E -2.79%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.34%E -4.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-13 16:35
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.07%E -3.19%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.29%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-13 16:33
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -5.07%E -3.19%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -4.10%E -1.72%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 16:33
Coolbet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.07%E -3.19%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.50%E -1.90%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 16:34
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.07%E -3.19%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 16:35
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.07%E -3.19%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.32%E -3.18%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-13 16:35
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.67%E -3.59%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.29%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 16:33
Betclic (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -5.67%E -3.59%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -5.71%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-13 16:28
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -6.26%E -3.99%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -3.70%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 16:34
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.26%E -3.99%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.10%E -1.72%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-13 16:33
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.26%E -3.99%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 16:35
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.26%E -3.99%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 16:35
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.26%E -3.99%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 16:35
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.26%E -3.99%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.32%E -3.18%K -5.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-13 16:35
Betsson1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.26%E -3.99%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.32%E -3.18%K -5.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-13 16:35
NordicBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.26%E -3.99%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.32%E -3.18%K -5.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-13 16:35
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.26%E -3.99%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.32%E -3.18%K -5.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-13 16:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.26%E -3.99%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.32%E -3.18%K -5.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-13 16:34
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.26%E -3.99%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.34%E -4.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-13 16:33
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.26%E -3.99%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.34%E -4.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-13 16:28
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.26%E -3.99%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.34%E -4.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-13 16:29
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.28%E -0.521%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 16:34
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.08%E -0.857%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:35
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.08%E -0.857%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:35
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.08%E -0.857%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.08%E -0.857%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:35
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.08%E -0.857%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:35
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.08%E -0.857%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:34
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.08%E -0.857%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:35
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.08%E -0.857%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:35
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.08%E -0.857%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:35
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.08%E -0.857%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:34
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.08%E -0.857%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:35
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.08%E -0.857%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:35
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.08%E -0.857%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:35
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.08%E -0.857%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:34
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.08%E -0.857%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:35
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 16:35
Bet Right1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.46%E -4.81%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.29%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 16:34
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.66%EV -7.46%E -4.81%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.34%EV -3.70%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-13 16:35
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.46%E -4.81%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.32%E -3.18%K -5.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-13 16:35
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.46%E -4.81%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.32%E -3.18%K -5.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-13 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.46%E -4.81%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.32%E -3.18%K -5.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-13 16:35
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -1.28%E -0.521%K -0.881%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 16:35
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.65%E -5.65%K -16.32%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.10%E -1.72%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-13 16:33
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.65%E -5.65%K -16.32%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.10%E -1.72%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-13 16:35
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.65%E -5.65%K -16.32%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.10%E -1.72%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-13 16:35
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.65%E -5.65%K -16.32%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.10%E -1.72%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-13 16:34
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -9.85%E -6.52%K -19.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-13 16:35
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -9.85%E -6.52%K -19.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -7.32%E -3.18%K -5.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-13 16:35
NetBet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 59.52%EV -9.85%E -6.52%K -19.30%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.48%EV -10.55%E -4.75%K -8.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-13 16:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.1%2026-04-13 16:35
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 61.02%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%1.8%2026-04-13 16:35
Novig1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%4.8%2026-04-13 16:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.02I 98.04%NM 50.00%1.02I 98.04%NM 50.00%96.1%2026-04-13 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 50.00%1.02I 98.04%NM 50.00%96.1%2026-04-13 16:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.02I 98.04%NM 50.00%1.02I 98.04%NM 50.00%96.1%2026-04-13 16:35