L’École des cotes

Ekaterina Alexandrova v Linda Noskova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-16 12:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ekaterina Alexandrova (Local)

Prévision 44.02%2.27cote équitable
EV +1.24%
Avantage +0.538%
Kelly +0.953%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.77%44.30%43.97%47.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.142.152.3050.00%46.78%46.51%43.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Linda Noskova (Visiteur)

Prévision 55.98%1.79cote équitable
EV +1.33%
Avantage +0.735%
Kelly +1.64%
Croissance +0.022%

avec la cote maximale 1.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.63%55.70%56.03%58.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.631.701.691.8161.35%58.92%59.17%55.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
FanDuel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -11.09%E -5.49%K -10.87%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV +1.33%E +0.735%K +1.64%G +0.022%4.8%2026-04-16 12:25
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -11.97%E -5.98%K -11.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +0.770%E +0.428%K +0.963%G +0.007%5.6%2026-04-16 12:25
SportsBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -11.09%E -5.49%K -10.87%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -0.350%E -0.196%K -0.448%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-16 12:25
Betsson2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -10.21%E -5.00%K -9.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -2.03%E -1.16%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 12:10
NordicBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -10.21%E -5.00%K -9.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -2.03%E -1.16%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 12:05
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.77%E -4.76%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.59%E -1.49%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 12:00
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 43.47%EV -0.963%E -0.428%K -0.770%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.53%EV -3.15%E -1.82%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-16 12:00
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.15%E -1.82%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 12:10
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.97%E -5.98%K -11.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.15%E -1.82%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 12:25
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.97%E -5.98%K -11.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.15%E -1.82%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 11:59
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.97%E -5.98%K -11.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.15%E -1.82%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 12:00
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.97%E -5.98%K -11.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.15%E -1.82%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 11:59
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.97%E -5.98%K -11.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.15%E -1.82%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 11:59
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -3.71%E -2.16%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-16 12:10
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -11.97%E -5.98%K -11.97%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -3.71%E -2.16%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-16 12:00
GTbets2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.92%E -2.28%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.27%E -2.50%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 12:15
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.48%E -2.07%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 12:20
ReBet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.48%E -2.07%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 12:10
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 12:09
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 12:20
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.57%E -3.60%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 12:05
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.57%E -3.60%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 12:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.77%E -4.76%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 12:00
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.77%E -4.76%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 12:00
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.963%E -0.428%K -0.770%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.39%E -3.19%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-16 12:20
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.963%E -0.428%K -0.770%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.39%E -3.19%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-16 12:25
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.39%E -3.19%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 12:25
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.39%E -3.19%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-16 12:20
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.39%E -3.19%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-16 12:20
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.57%E -3.60%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.39%E -3.19%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 12:05
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.28%E -1.03%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.95%E -3.54%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 12:25
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.95%E -3.54%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 12:20
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.95%E -3.54%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 12:25
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.95%E -3.54%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 12:25
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.95%E -3.54%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 12:25
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.95%E -3.54%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 12:25
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.95%E -3.54%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 12:25
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.95%E -3.54%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 12:25
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.95%E -3.54%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 12:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.95%E -3.54%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 12:25
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.95%E -3.54%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 12:25
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.95%E -3.54%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 12:25
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.95%E -3.54%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 12:25
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.95%E -3.54%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 12:24
Bally Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.95%E -3.54%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 12:25
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.04%E -1.85%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.95%E -3.54%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 12:25
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.95%E -3.54%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 12:20
Codere (IT)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.95%E -3.54%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 12:10
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.95%E -3.54%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 12:10
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.57%E -3.60%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.95%E -3.54%K -8.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 12:10
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 12:25
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.57%E -3.60%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-16 12:13
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.57%E -3.60%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-16 12:25
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -7.07%E -4.26%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 12:25
Virgin Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -7.07%E -4.26%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 12:25
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +1.24%E +0.538%K +0.953%G +0.012%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -7.63%E -4.62%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 12:24
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.63%E -4.62%K -11.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 12:10
PMU (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -6.68%E -3.15%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -8.19%E -4.99%K -12.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-16 12:25
NetBet (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%EV -6.68%E -3.15%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%EV -8.75%E -5.37%K -13.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-16 12:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-04-16 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-04-16 12:25
Novig2.29I 43.67%NM 43.32%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.68%0.8%2026-04-16 12:25
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-04-16 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-04-16 12:25
ProphetX2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%1.5%2026-04-16 12:24
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-04-16 12:25