La escuela de los momios

Alycia Parks v Noma Noha Akugue

Inicio: 2026-04-15 12:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Alycia Parks (Local)

Predicción 61.20%1.63momio equitativo
EV +4.64%
Ventaja +2.72%
Kelly +6.54%
Crecimiento +0.304%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.38%61.16%61.21%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.541.541.7171.43%64.94%64.94%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Noma Noha Akugue (Visitante)

Predicción 38.80%2.58momio equitativo
EV +8.65%
Ventaja +3.09%
Kelly +4.81%
Crecimiento +0.416%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.33%38.84%38.79%43.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.132.412.402.8046.95%41.47%41.67%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -14.33%E -10.23%K -35.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +8.65%E +3.09%K +4.81%G +0.416%7.1%2026-04-15 12:20
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -11.88%E -8.25%K -27.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV +4.77%E +1.77%K +2.81%G +0.134%6.5%2026-04-15 12:20
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -8.21%E -5.47%K -16.41%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV +1.67%E +0.637%K +1.03%G +0.017%4.8%2026-04-15 12:06
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -9.43%E -6.37%K -19.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +0.892%E +0.343%K +0.557%G +0.005%6.0%2026-04-15 12:20
GTbets1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -8.21%E -5.47%K -16.41%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV +0.116%E +0.045%K +0.073%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 12:06
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.98%E -4.59%K -13.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.05%E -0.411%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 12:07
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.21%E -5.47%K -16.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.05%E -0.411%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 12:10
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -9.43%E -6.37%K -19.65%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -1.44%E -0.566%K -0.933%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 12:20
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.76%E -3.74%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.99%E -1.20%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 12:20
Coolbet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.76%E -3.74%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.99%E -1.20%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 12:20
Betr (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.59%E -5.03%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -2.99%E -1.20%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 12:07
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.21%E -5.47%K -16.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.99%E -1.20%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 12:05
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.21%E -5.47%K -16.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.99%E -1.20%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 12:20
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.21%E -5.47%K -16.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.99%E -1.20%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 12:20
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.21%E -5.47%K -16.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.99%E -1.20%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 12:20
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -1.48%E -0.916%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -4.93%E -2.01%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-15 12:11
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -1.48%E -0.916%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -4.93%E -2.01%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-15 12:12
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.15%E -3.32%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.93%E -2.01%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 12:20
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.15%E -3.32%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.93%E -2.01%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 12:20
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.15%E -3.32%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.93%E -2.01%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 12:20
ATG (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.15%E -3.32%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.93%E -2.01%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 12:20
Svenska Spel1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.15%E -3.32%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.93%E -2.01%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 12:20
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -5.76%E -3.74%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -5.70%E -2.35%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-15 12:20
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.54%E -2.91%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.09%E -2.52%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 12:14
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.92%E -2.50%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.87%E -2.86%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 12:20
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.92%E -2.50%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.87%E -2.86%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 12:19
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.54%E -2.91%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.87%E -2.86%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 12:20
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.15%E -3.32%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.87%E -2.86%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 12:20
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.37%E -4.16%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.87%E -2.86%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 12:20
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.37%E -4.16%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.87%E -2.86%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 12:20
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.37%E -4.16%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.87%E -2.86%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 12:20
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.37%E -4.16%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.87%E -2.86%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 12:20
Bally Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.37%E -4.16%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.87%E -2.86%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 12:20
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.21%E -5.47%K -16.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.87%E -2.86%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-15 12:20
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.21%E -5.47%K -16.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.87%E -2.86%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-15 12:20
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.21%E -5.47%K -16.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.87%E -2.86%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-15 12:07
Fanatics1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.82%E -5.92%K -18.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -6.87%E -2.86%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-15 12:20
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -9.43%E -6.37%K -19.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -6.87%E -2.86%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-15 12:20
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -7.59%E -5.03%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -7.65%E -3.21%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-15 12:20
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.54%E -2.91%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.81%E -3.75%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 12:20
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.54%E -2.91%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.81%E -3.75%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 12:20
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.15%E -3.32%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.81%E -3.75%K -6.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 12:20
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.15%E -3.32%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.81%E -3.75%K -6.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 12:19
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.15%E -3.32%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.81%E -3.75%K -6.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 12:08
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.15%E -3.32%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.81%E -3.75%K -6.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 12:08
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.21%E -5.47%K -16.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.81%E -3.75%K -6.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-15 12:20
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.21%E -5.47%K -16.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.81%E -3.75%K -6.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-15 12:20
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -1.48%E -0.916%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -9.97%E -4.30%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 12:20
PMU (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.21%EV -10.04%E -6.83%K -21.37%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.79%EV -9.97%E -4.30%K -7.56%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-15 12:20
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -2.70%E -1.70%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -10.75%E -4.67%K -8.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-15 12:19
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.15%E -3.32%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.75%E -4.67%K -8.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-15 12:20
SportsBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -3.31%E -2.10%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.04%EV -11.91%E -5.25%K -9.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 12:10
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV +4.64%E +2.72%K +6.54%G +0.304%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -14.24%E -6.44%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-15 12:20
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV +3.42%E +2.02%K +4.96%G +0.170%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -14.63%E -6.65%K -12.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 12:18
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -1.48%E -0.916%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -14.63%E -6.65%K -12.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 12:19
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -1.48%E -0.916%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -14.63%E -6.65%K -12.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 12:19
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -1.48%E -0.916%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -14.63%E -6.65%K -12.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 12:19
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.10%EV -2.09%E -1.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 42.90%EV -17.35%E -8.14%K -15.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-15 12:18
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-04-15 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-04-15 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-04-15 12:20
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-04-15 12:20
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%2.5%2026-04-15 12:20
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%3.1%2026-04-15 12:20
Novig1.50I 66.67%NM 60.11%2.26I 44.25%NM 39.89%10.9%2026-04-15 12:20