L’École des cotes

Xinyu Wang v Lois Boisson

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-17 12:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Xinyu Wang (Local)

Prévision 56.36%1.77cote équitable
EV -3.06%
Avantage -1.78%
Kelly -4.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.24%56.39%56.30%57.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.661.671.7262.50%60.07%59.88%58.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Lois Boisson (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.64%2.29cote équitable
EV -1.82%
Avantage -0.808%
Kelly -1.45%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.41%43.61%43.70%44.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.062.162.152.2548.54%46.30%46.51%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -3.06%E -1.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -2.69%E -1.21%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-17 12:10
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.62%E -2.12%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.00%E -1.82%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 12:10
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.62%E -2.12%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.00%E -1.82%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 12:10
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -3.62%E -2.12%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -7.93%E -3.76%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 12:15
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -4.18%E -2.46%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -1.82%E -0.808%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-17 12:10
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.18%E -2.46%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.31%E -2.45%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 12:15
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.75%E -2.81%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.82%E -0.808%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 12:09
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.75%E -2.81%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.00%E -1.82%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 12:05
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.75%E -2.81%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.00%E -1.82%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 12:14
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.75%E -2.81%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.18%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 12:10
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.75%E -2.81%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.18%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 12:15
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.31%E -3.16%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.00%E -1.82%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 12:04
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.31%E -3.16%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.00%E -1.82%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 12:04
ReBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.31%E -3.16%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.00%E -1.82%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 12:04
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.31%E -3.16%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.87%E -2.23%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 12:09
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.31%E -3.16%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.87%E -2.23%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 12:09
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.31%E -3.16%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.87%E -2.23%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 12:09
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.31%E -3.16%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.87%E -2.23%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 12:10
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.31%E -3.16%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.87%E -2.23%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 12:15
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.31%E -3.16%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.87%E -2.23%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 12:15
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.31%E -3.16%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.87%E -2.23%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 12:15
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -5.87%E -3.52%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -2.25%E -1.01%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-17 12:09
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.87%E -3.52%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.18%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 12:15
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.87%E -3.52%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.18%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 12:10
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.87%E -3.52%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.18%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 12:15
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.87%E -3.52%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 12:10
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.87%E -3.52%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 12:15
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.87%E -3.52%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 12:10
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.87%E -3.52%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 12:15
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.87%E -3.52%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 12:15
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.44%E -3.88%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.00%E -1.82%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 12:10
Codere (IT)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -6.44%E -3.88%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -4.87%E -2.23%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 12:06
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -6.44%E -3.88%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -6.62%E -3.09%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 12:15
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -6.44%E -3.88%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -6.62%E -3.09%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 12:15
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -6.44%E -3.88%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -6.62%E -3.09%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 12:15
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -6.44%E -3.88%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -6.62%E -3.09%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 12:15
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.00%E -4.24%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.00%E -1.82%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 12:10
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.00%E -4.24%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.18%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 12:10
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.00%E -4.24%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.18%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 12:15
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.00%E -4.24%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.18%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 12:15
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.00%E -4.24%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 12:15
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.00%E -4.24%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 12:15
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.56%E -4.61%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.00%E -1.82%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 12:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -7.56%E -4.61%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -6.18%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 12:10
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -7.56%E -4.61%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -6.18%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 12:10
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -7.56%E -4.61%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -7.49%E -3.53%K -6.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 12:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -8.13%E -4.99%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 12:15
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -8.13%E -4.99%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 12:15
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.69%E -5.37%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.00%E -1.82%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 12:10
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.69%E -5.37%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.00%E -1.82%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 12:15
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.69%E -5.37%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 12:15
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -9.26%E -5.75%K -15.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.18%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 12:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -9.26%E -5.75%K -15.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.18%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 12:10
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.28%EV -9.82%E -6.14%K -16.36%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.72%EV -10.11%E -4.91%K -9.54%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 12:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-05-17 12:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-05-17 12:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-17 12:10
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 55.58%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.42%2.8%2026-05-17 12:15
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%3.0%2026-05-17 12:10