L’École des cotes

Victoria Mboko v Lois Boisson

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-19 17:05 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Victoria Mboko (Local)

Prévision 75.71%1.32cote équitable
EV +11.30%
Avantage +7.68%
Kelly +24.03%
Croissance +2.71%

avec la cote maximale 1.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.50%74.57%77.00%80.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.161.271.221.4786.21%78.55%81.97%68.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Lois Boisson (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.29%4.12cote équitable
EV +21.93%
Avantage +4.37%
Kelly +5.45%
Croissance +1.20%

avec la cote maximale 5.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.03%25.43%23.00%37.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.453.744.005.0240.82%26.75%25.00%19.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV +11.30%E +7.68%K +24.03%G +2.71%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -40.49%E -16.53%K -27.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-19 16:51
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV +10.54%E +7.22%K +22.91%G +2.41%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -32.72%E -11.81%K -18.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 16:40
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV +9.78%E +6.75%K +21.74%G +2.13%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -34.42%E -12.75%K -20.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 16:49
Betr (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV +9.02%E +6.27%K +20.51%G +1.85%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -35.64%E -13.45%K -21.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 16:50
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV +8.27%E +5.78%K +19.23%G +1.59%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -28.35%E -9.61%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-19 16:50
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV +8.27%E +5.78%K +19.23%G +1.59%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -28.35%E -9.61%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-19 16:50
Unibet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV +6.75%E +4.79%K +16.47%G +1.11%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -25.92%E -8.50%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-19 16:48
BetAnything1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV +6.75%E +4.79%K +16.47%G +1.11%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -28.35%E -9.61%K -14.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 16:49
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 69.50%EV +6.00%E +4.28%K +14.99%G +0.899%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.50%EV -22.52%E -7.06%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-19 16:40
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +6.00%E +4.28%K +14.99%G +0.899%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -28.35%E -9.61%K -14.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 16:49
ReBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +6.00%E +4.28%K +14.99%G +0.899%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -28.35%E -9.61%K -14.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 16:40
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV +6.00%E +4.28%K +14.99%G +0.899%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -29.56%E -10.19%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 16:40
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV +6.00%E +4.28%K +14.99%G +0.899%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -30.05%E -10.43%K -15.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 16:50
Marathon Bet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.19%EV +5.24%E +3.77%K +13.43%G +0.704%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.81%EV -27.62%E -9.27%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-19 16:39
Codere (IT)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV +5.24%E +3.77%K +13.43%G +0.704%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -28.35%E -9.61%K -14.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 16:40
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV +2.97%E +2.18%K +8.24%G +0.245%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -29.56%E -10.19%K -15.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 16:40
SportsBet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.11%EV +2.21%E +1.64%K +6.32%G +0.140%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -26.65%E -8.82%K -13.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 16:49
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV +2.21%E +1.64%K +6.32%G +0.140%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -27.14%E -9.05%K -13.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV +2.21%E +1.64%K +6.32%G +0.140%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -27.14%E -9.05%K -13.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 16:40
NetBet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.75%EV +2.21%E +1.64%K +6.32%G +0.140%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.25%EV -27.86%E -9.38%K -14.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-19 16:40
TAB1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.09%E -2.41%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -14.99%E -4.28%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-19 17:00
FanDuel1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.36%E -4.29%K -21.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.85%E -0.712%K -0.949%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 16:59
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.36%E -4.29%K -21.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.85%E -0.712%K -0.949%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 16:59
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.36%E -4.29%K -21.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.92%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-19 16:58
Unibet (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -7.63%E -6.26%K -34.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +6.87%E +1.56%K +2.02%G +0.139%4.7%2026-05-19 17:00
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.63%E -6.26%K -34.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +3.23%E +0.759%K +0.992%G +0.032%5.5%2026-05-19 17:00
Casumo1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.63%E -6.26%K -34.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +3.23%E +0.759%K +0.992%G +0.032%5.5%2026-05-19 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.63%E -6.26%K -34.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +3.23%E +0.759%K +0.992%G +0.032%5.5%2026-05-19 17:00
Unibet (NL)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.63%E -6.26%K -34.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +3.23%E +0.759%K +0.992%G +0.032%5.5%2026-05-19 17:00
Unibet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.63%E -6.26%K -34.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +3.23%E +0.759%K +0.992%G +0.032%5.5%2026-05-19 17:00
betPARX1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.63%E -6.26%K -34.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +3.23%E +0.759%K +0.992%G +0.032%5.5%2026-05-19 17:00
ATG (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.63%E -6.26%K -34.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +3.23%E +0.759%K +0.992%G +0.032%5.5%2026-05-19 17:00
Svenska Spel1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.63%E -6.26%K -34.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +3.23%E +0.759%K +0.992%G +0.032%5.5%2026-05-19 17:00
Hard Rock Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.63%E -6.26%K -34.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +3.23%E +0.759%K +0.992%G +0.032%5.5%2026-05-19 17:00
TABtouch1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.63%E -6.26%K -34.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -0.418%E -0.102%K -0.135%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 17:00
BetRivers1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.63%E -6.26%K -34.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -0.418%E -0.102%K -0.135%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 17:00
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -7.63%E -6.26%K -34.69%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -1.63%E -0.403%K -0.535%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-19 16:59
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.63%E -6.26%K -34.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.85%E -0.712%K -0.949%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 17:00
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.63%E -6.26%K -34.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.85%E -0.712%K -0.949%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.63%E -6.26%K -34.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.85%E -0.712%K -0.949%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 17:00
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.63%E -6.26%K -34.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.92%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-19 17:00
BetMGM1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -8.39%E -6.93%K -39.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -0.418%E -0.102%K -0.135%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 16:59
LiveScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -8.39%E -6.93%K -39.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -2.85%E -0.712%K -0.949%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 17:00
Grosvenor1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -8.39%E -6.93%K -39.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -2.85%E -0.712%K -0.949%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 17:00
Virgin Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -8.39%E -6.93%K -39.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -2.85%E -0.712%K -0.949%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 17:00
Bally Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -8.39%E -6.93%K -39.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -2.85%E -0.712%K -0.949%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 17:00
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -9.15%E -7.62%K -45.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +5.17%E +1.19%K +1.55%G +0.080%6.4%2026-05-19 17:00
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -9.15%E -7.62%K -45.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +5.17%E +1.19%K +1.55%G +0.080%6.4%2026-05-19 17:00
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -9.15%E -7.62%K -45.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +5.17%E +1.19%K +1.55%G +0.080%6.4%2026-05-19 17:00
PointsBet (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -9.15%E -7.62%K -45.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV +3.23%E +0.759%K +0.992%G +0.032%6.9%2026-05-19 17:00
Fanatics1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -9.15%E -7.62%K -45.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -2.85%E -0.712%K -0.949%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-19 17:00
LeoVegas1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -9.15%E -7.62%K -45.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -2.85%E -0.712%K -0.949%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-19 17:00
Fliff1.20I 83.33%NM 76.70%EV -9.15%E -7.62%K -45.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -4.06%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-19 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 76.85%EV -9.90%E -8.32%K -52.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -4.06%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-19 17:00
DraftKings1.18I 84.75%NM 80.97%EV -10.66%E -9.03%K -59.22%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 19.03%EV +21.93%E +4.37%K +5.45%G +1.20%4.7%2026-05-19 17:00
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -10.66%E -9.03%K -59.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +19.01%E +3.88%K +4.88%G +0.927%5.2%2026-05-19 17:00
Winamax (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -10.66%E -9.03%K -59.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -2.85%E -0.712%K -0.949%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-19 17:00
theScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -11.42%E -9.76%K -67.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV +15.37%E +3.24%K +4.10%G +0.630%6.5%2026-05-19 17:00
Tipico (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -11.42%E -9.76%K -67.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV +4.44%E +1.03%K +1.35%G +0.060%8.7%2026-05-19 17:00
PMU (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 76.69%EV -11.42%E -9.76%K -67.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.31%EV -6.49%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-19 17:00
Winamax (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 77.30%EV -12.17%E -10.50%K -76.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -4.06%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-19 17:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-05-19 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-05-19 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-05-19 17:00
Matchbook1.23I 81.30%NM 79.93%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.07%1.7%2026-05-19 17:00
Smarkets1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%3.3%2026-05-19 17:00
Novig1.19I 84.03%NM 80.62%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.38%4.2%2026-05-19 17:00