L’École des cotes

McCartney Kessler v Jaqueline Cristian

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-18 10:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

McCartney Kessler (Local)

Prévision 48.90%2.05cote équitable
EV -1.23%
Avantage -0.607%
Kelly -1.20%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.30%48.90%48.93%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.931.932.0254.64%51.94%51.81%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jaqueline Cristian (Visiteur)

Prévision 51.10%1.96cote équitable
EV -2.40%
Avantage -1.25%
Kelly -2.63%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%51.10%51.07%52.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.751.851.871.9157.14%53.91%53.62%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -1.23%E -0.607%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-18 10:35
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.20%E -1.10%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-18 10:39
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.20%E -1.10%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-18 10:40
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -3.18%E -1.61%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -3.93%E -2.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-18 10:35
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.16%E -2.12%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.95%E -2.66%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 10:30
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.16%E -2.12%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.95%E -2.66%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 10:30
Coolbet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.16%E -2.12%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 10:35
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 10:35
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 10:35
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 10:35
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 10:35
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 10:35
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 10:35
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 10:29
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 10:35
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 10:35
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 10:35
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.02%E -4.45%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 10:35
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.57%E -6.04%K -14.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-18 10:35
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 10:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 10:35
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 10:35
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 10:35
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 10:35
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 10:35
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 10:35
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 10:35
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 10:35
1xBet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 10:29
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 10:35
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 10:35
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 10:35
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 10:35
PointsBet (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 10:40
Betr (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -5.97%E -3.25%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 10:40
Unibet (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.12%E -3.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.42%E -1.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 10:35
ReBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.12%E -3.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.42%E -1.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 10:29
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.12%E -3.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -5.97%E -3.25%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 10:35
NetBet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -6.12%E -3.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -9.04%E -5.08%K -11.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-18 10:40
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.60%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.40%E -1.25%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 10:35
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.60%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 10:35
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.60%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 10:35
LiveScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.60%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 10:35
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.60%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 10:35
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.60%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 10:35
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.09%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.91%E -1.53%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 10:35
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -7.09%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-18 10:35
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -7.09%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-18 10:35
Codere (IT)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -7.09%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-18 10:35
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -7.09%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-18 10:35
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -7.09%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-18 10:29
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.09%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.02%E -4.45%K -10.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-18 10:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -8.07%E -4.29%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 10:35
Neds1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -8.07%E -4.29%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 10:35
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -8.07%E -4.29%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -6.99%E -3.84%K -8.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-18 10:35
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.56%E -4.58%K -9.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 10:32
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.56%E -4.58%K -9.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-18 10:33
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 10:35
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 10:35
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-18 10:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%0.4%2026-05-18 10:40
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%0.4%2026-05-18 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-05-18 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-05-18 10:40
Novig2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%2.5%2026-05-18 10:40
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82%2.9%2026-05-18 10:40