L’École des cotes

Marie Bouzkova v Oleksandra Oliynykova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-20 08:42 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Marie Bouzkova (Local)

Prévision 55.94%1.79cote équitable
EV -0.978%
Avantage -0.552%
Kelly -1.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.66%55.85%56.16%58.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.671.661.7762.50%59.71%60.24%56.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Oleksandra Oliynykova (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.06%2.27cote équitable
EV +0.005%
Avantage +0.002%
Kelly +0.004%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.56%44.15%43.84%46.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.172.182.2750.00%46.10%45.87%44.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -6.01%E -3.58%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV +0.005%E +0.002%K +0.004%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-20 08:39
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -6.01%E -3.58%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV +0.005%E +0.002%K +0.004%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-20 08:39
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.57%E -3.94%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -0.876%E -0.389%K -0.701%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 08:39
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.69%E -4.66%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.876%E -0.389%K -0.701%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 08:39
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -10.49%E -6.56%K -17.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -0.876%E -0.389%K -0.701%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-20 08:39
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.13%E -4.30%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -1.76%E -0.788%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 08:39
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.13%E -4.30%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -1.76%E -0.788%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 08:39
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.13%E -4.30%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -1.76%E -0.788%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 08:39
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.13%E -4.30%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -1.76%E -0.788%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 08:39
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.13%E -4.30%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -1.76%E -0.788%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 08:39
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.13%E -4.30%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -1.76%E -0.788%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 08:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.13%E -4.30%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -1.76%E -0.788%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 08:39
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.13%E -4.30%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -1.76%E -0.788%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 08:39
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.13%E -4.30%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -1.76%E -0.788%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 08:39
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.13%E -4.30%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -1.76%E -0.788%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 08:39
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.13%E -4.30%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -1.76%E -0.788%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 08:39
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.13%E -4.30%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -1.76%E -0.788%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 08:39
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.13%E -4.30%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -1.76%E -0.788%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 08:39
Pinnacle1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20%EV -3.22%E -1.86%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%EV -2.20%E -0.990%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-20 08:39
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -3.77%E -2.19%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-20 08:39
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.57%E -3.94%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 08:38
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.57%E -3.94%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 08:34
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.69%E -4.66%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-20 08:39
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -8.25%E -5.03%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 08:39
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -8.25%E -5.03%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 08:39
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.93%E -6.17%K -16.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-20 08:39
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.93%E -6.17%K -16.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-20 08:39
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.93%E -6.17%K -16.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-20 08:39
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.89%E -2.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.96%E -1.82%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 08:29
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.89%E -2.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.96%E -1.82%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 08:39
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.45%E -3.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.96%E -1.82%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 08:28
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.01%E -3.58%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.96%E -1.82%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 08:37
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -9.37%E -5.78%K -15.11%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -4.84%E -2.24%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-20 08:39
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.22%E -1.86%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 08:38
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.77%E -2.19%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 08:39
Codere (IT)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.01%E -3.58%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-20 08:30
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.01%E -3.58%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-20 08:29
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.01%E -3.58%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-20 08:39
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.57%E -3.94%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 08:37
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.69%E -4.66%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-20 08:39
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.69%E -4.66%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-20 08:39
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.69%E -4.66%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-20 08:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.69%E -4.66%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-20 08:38
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.69%E -4.66%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-20 08:39
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.69%E -4.66%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-20 08:38
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.69%E -4.66%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-20 08:39
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -4.33%E -2.53%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -6.16%E -2.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 08:29
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.66%E -1.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.60%E -3.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 08:29
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -0.978%E -0.552%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 08:38
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.57%E -3.94%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-20 08:39
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.57%E -3.94%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-20 08:36
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -8.81%E -5.40%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 08:30
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.54%E -0.873%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.37%E -4.02%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 08:39
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.66%E -1.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.37%E -4.02%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 08:39
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -0.978%E -0.552%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 08:39
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.66%E -1.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 08:34
PointsBet (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -3.77%E -2.19%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-20 08:39
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -7.69%E -4.66%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-20 08:39
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.89%E -2.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -11.89%E -5.94%K -11.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-20 08:38
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.89%E -2.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -11.89%E -5.94%K -11.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-20 08:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30%0.2%2026-05-20 08:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30%0.2%2026-05-20 08:39
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-05-20 08:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-05-20 08:39
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-05-20 08:39
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%2.8%2026-05-20 08:39