L’École des cotes

Marie Bouzkova v Ann Li

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-21 08:47 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Marie Bouzkova (Local)

Prévision 53.64%1.86cote équitable
EV +7.29%
Avantage +3.64%
Kelly +7.29%
Croissance +0.531%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.78%54.12%53.02%60.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.731.712.0065.36%57.84%58.48%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Ann Li (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.36%2.16cote équitable
EV +11.26%
Avantage +4.69%
Kelly +8.04%
Croissance +0.905%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.23%45.88%46.98%52.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.802.072.052.4055.56%48.22%48.78%41.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -16.85%E -10.87%K -30.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV +11.26%E +4.69%K +8.04%G +0.905%6.2%2026-05-21 08:40
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -17.93%E -11.72%K -33.82%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV +9.87%E +4.16%K +7.20%G +0.711%7.6%2026-05-21 08:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -17.93%E -11.72%K -33.82%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV +9.87%E +4.16%K +7.20%G +0.711%7.6%2026-05-21 08:40
Betsson1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -15.78%E -10.05%K -27.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +8.94%E +3.80%K +6.62%G +0.592%6.2%2026-05-21 08:40
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -13.10%E -8.09%K -21.13%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV +7.09%E +3.07%K +5.41%G +0.383%5.0%2026-05-21 08:40
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -16.85%E -10.87%K -30.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV +6.62%E +2.88%K +5.09%G +0.337%8.0%2026-05-21 08:40
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -12.56%E -7.71%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +5.70%E +2.50%K +4.45%G +0.253%5.2%2026-05-21 08:40
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -12.56%E -7.71%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +5.70%E +2.50%K +4.45%G +0.253%5.2%2026-05-21 08:40
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -12.56%E -7.71%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +5.70%E +2.50%K +4.45%G +0.253%5.2%2026-05-21 08:40
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -12.56%E -7.71%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +5.70%E +2.50%K +4.45%G +0.253%5.2%2026-05-21 08:40
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -13.10%E -8.09%K -21.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +4.30%E +1.91%K +3.44%G +0.148%6.2%2026-05-21 08:40
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -13.10%E -8.09%K -21.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +4.30%E +1.91%K +3.44%G +0.148%6.2%2026-05-21 08:40
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -13.64%E -8.47%K -22.35%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV +3.38%E +1.51%K +2.75%G +0.093%7.0%2026-05-21 08:40
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -13.64%E -8.47%K -22.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +1.99%E +0.903%K +1.66%G +0.033%7.6%2026-05-21 08:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -15.78%E -10.05%K -27.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV +1.99%E +0.903%K +1.66%G +0.033%9.1%2026-05-21 08:40
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -8.27%E -4.84%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -0.331%E -0.154%K -0.288%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 08:39
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -11.49%E -6.96%K -17.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -0.331%E -0.154%K -0.288%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-21 08:40
PMU (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.11%EV -16.85%E -10.87%K -30.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -0.331%E -0.154%K -0.288%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-21 08:40
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -8.27%E -4.84%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -0.795%E -0.372%K -0.697%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 08:40
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -8.27%E -4.84%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -0.795%E -0.372%K -0.697%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 08:40
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.66%E -3.83%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.72%E -0.812%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-21 08:33
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.27%E -4.84%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 08:40
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-21 08:39
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-21 08:40
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-21 08:40
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.42%E -6.24%K -15.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 08:39
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%EV -17.39%E -11.29%K -32.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-21 08:40
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.59%E -3.18%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.58%E -1.72%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-21 08:39
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -10.42%E -6.24%K -15.55%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -4.04%E -1.95%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-21 08:40
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-21 08:40
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-21 08:39
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -11.49%E -6.96%K -17.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-21 08:40
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV +0.312%E +0.167%K +0.358%G +0.001%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -6.36%E -3.15%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-21 08:40
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.83%E -1.00%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-21 08:38
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.83%E -1.00%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-21 08:33
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -2.91%E -1.61%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 08:40
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.44%E -1.91%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 08:40
PlayUp1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.52%E -2.54%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-21 08:38
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-21 08:39
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.27%E -4.84%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 08:40
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 08:39
SportsBet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -1.30%E -0.705%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -8.21%E -4.15%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-21 08:38
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -1.83%E -1.00%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -8.21%E -4.15%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 08:35
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -2.37%E -1.30%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -8.21%E -4.15%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 08:28
ReBet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -1.30%E -0.705%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -8.68%E -4.40%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 08:29
Betr (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -2.91%E -1.61%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -8.68%E -4.40%K -8.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-21 08:35
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +0.312%E +0.167%K +0.358%G +0.001%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -9.60%E -4.92%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 08:39
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +0.312%E +0.167%K +0.358%G +0.001%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -9.60%E -4.92%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 08:40
BetAnything1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +0.312%E +0.167%K +0.358%G +0.001%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -9.60%E -4.92%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 08:34
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -0.761%E -0.412%K -0.896%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -9.60%E -4.92%K -10.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 08:29
Codere (IT)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -2.37%E -1.30%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -9.60%E -4.92%K -10.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-21 08:30
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.60%E -4.92%K -10.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-21 08:30
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV +0.312%E +0.167%K +0.358%G +0.001%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -10.07%E -5.19%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 08:39
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -5.59%E -3.18%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -10.99%E -5.73%K -11.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-21 08:29
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -0.761%E -0.412%K -0.896%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -11.46%E -6.00%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-21 08:39
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.83%E -1.00%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -11.46%E -6.00%K -12.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 08:39
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.83%E -1.00%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -11.46%E -6.00%K -12.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 08:35
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -3.44%E -1.91%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -11.92%E -6.27%K -13.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-21 08:29
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -1.83%E -1.00%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -12.85%E -6.83%K -14.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-21 08:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -1.83%E -1.00%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -12.85%E -6.83%K -14.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-21 08:34
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +7.29%E +3.64%K +7.29%G +0.531%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -15.17%E -8.29%K -18.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-21 08:40
Betclic (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV +0.312%E +0.167%K +0.358%G +0.001%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -16.56%E -9.20%K -20.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-21 08:38
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-05-21 08:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-05-21 08:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-05-21 08:40
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-05-21 08:40
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%6.6%2026-05-21 08:40
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%7.9%2026-05-21 08:40