La escuela de los momios

Marie Bouzkova v Polina Kudermetova

Inicio: 2026-06-09 15:25 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Marie Bouzkova (Local)

Predicción 67.07%1.49momio equitativo
EV -2.08%
Ventaja -1.42%
Kelly -4.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.46

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.48%67.02%67.24%68.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.421.421.4673.53%70.50%70.42%68.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Polina Kudermetova (Visitante)

Predicción 32.93%3.04momio equitativo
EV -0.225%
Ventaja -0.074%
Kelly -0.111%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.03

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.51%32.98%32.76%34.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.842.853.0337.04%35.18%35.09%33.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -2.08%E -1.42%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -6.15%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-09 15:19
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -2.08%E -1.42%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -8.79%E -3.17%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 15:19
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.42%E -2.37%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.80%E -2.79%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 15:19
Unibet (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.42%E -2.37%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.80%E -2.79%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 15:18
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.42%E -2.37%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.80%E -2.79%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 15:19
ReBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.42%E -2.37%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.80%E -2.79%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 15:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.42%E -2.37%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.45%E -3.43%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-09 15:19
Pinnacle1.43I 69.93%NM 67.94%EV -4.09%E -2.86%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.06%EV -0.225%E -0.074%K -0.111%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-09 15:20
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.09%E -2.86%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.51%E -1.55%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-09 15:19
BetAnything1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.09%E -2.86%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.51%E -1.55%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-09 15:19
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.09%E -2.86%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.15%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 15:19
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.09%E -2.86%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.15%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 15:19
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.09%E -2.86%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.15%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 15:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.09%E -2.86%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.15%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 15:19
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.09%E -2.86%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.15%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 15:19
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.09%E -2.86%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.15%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 15:19
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.09%E -2.86%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.15%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 15:19
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.09%E -2.86%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.15%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 15:19
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.09%E -2.86%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.15%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 15:19
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.09%E -2.86%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.15%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 15:20
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.09%E -2.86%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.15%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 15:19
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.09%E -2.86%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.15%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 15:19
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.09%E -2.86%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.15%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 15:19
Hard Rock Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.09%E -2.86%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.15%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 15:20
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.09%E -2.86%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.80%E -2.79%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 15:19
Betsson1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.09%E -2.86%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -9.45%E -3.43%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-09 15:19
NordicBet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.09%E -2.86%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -9.45%E -3.43%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-09 15:19
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -4.76%E -3.35%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -3.52%E -1.20%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 15:19
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -4.76%E -3.35%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -3.52%E -1.20%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 15:19
Fanatics1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.76%E -3.35%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.51%E -1.55%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-09 15:19
Bet Right1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.76%E -3.35%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.16%E -1.79%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 15:19
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.76%E -3.35%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -11.09%E -4.11%K -6.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-09 15:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.76%E -3.35%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -11.09%E -4.11%K -6.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-09 15:19
Coolbet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -5.43%E -3.85%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -3.52%E -1.20%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 15:19
LiveScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -5.43%E -3.85%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -7.80%E -2.79%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-09 15:19
Virgin Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -5.43%E -3.85%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -7.80%E -2.79%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-09 15:19
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -6.10%E -4.36%K -15.25%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -1.54%E -0.516%K -0.775%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-09 15:19
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.10%E -4.36%K -15.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.51%E -1.55%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-09 15:19
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.10%E -4.36%K -15.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.51%E -1.55%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-09 15:19
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.10%E -4.36%K -15.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.51%E -1.55%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-09 15:19
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.10%E -4.36%K -15.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.51%E -1.55%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-09 15:20
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.10%E -4.36%K -15.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.51%E -1.55%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-09 15:19
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.10%E -4.36%K -15.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.51%E -1.55%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-09 15:19
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.10%E -4.36%K -15.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.51%E -1.55%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-09 15:19
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.10%E -4.36%K -15.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.16%E -1.79%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-09 15:19
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.14%EV -6.10%E -4.36%K -15.25%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.86%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-09 15:19
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.10%E -4.36%K -15.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.80%E -2.79%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-09 15:20
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.10%E -4.36%K -15.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.45%E -3.43%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-09 15:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.10%E -4.36%K -15.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.45%E -3.43%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-09 15:19
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.10%E -4.36%K -15.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.45%E -3.43%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-09 15:19
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.10%E -4.36%K -15.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.45%E -3.43%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-09 15:19
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.10%E -4.36%K -15.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.45%E -3.43%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-09 15:19
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.10%E -4.36%K -15.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -11.09%E -4.11%K -6.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-09 15:19
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.44%E -5.39%K -19.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -1.21%E -0.404%K -0.607%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-09 15:19
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.78%E -6.46%K -24.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -4.51%E -1.55%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-09 15:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-06-09 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-06-09 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-06-09 15:20
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-06-09 15:20
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%2.8%2026-06-09 15:20
Novig1.44I 69.44%NM 67.49%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.51%2.9%2026-06-09 15:19