La escuela de los momios

Iva Jović v Antonia Ruzic

Inicio: 2026-06-09 10:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Iva Jović (Local)

Predicción 74.56%1.34momio equitativo
EV -3.07%
Ventaja -2.36%
Kelly -10.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.63%74.67%74.70%76.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.221.271.271.3081.97%78.94%78.74%76.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Antonia Ruzic (Visitante)

Predicción 25.44%3.93momio equitativo
EV +1.75%
Ventaja +0.438%
Kelly +0.585%
Crecimiento +0.010%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.37%25.33%25.30%27.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.453.733.754.0028.99%26.83%26.67%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Unibet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.80%E -5.44%K -27.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.75%E +0.438%K +0.585%G +0.010%5.0%2026-06-09 08:49
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.54%E -6.08%K -31.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +1.75%E +0.438%K +0.585%G +0.010%5.6%2026-06-09 08:49
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.54%E -6.08%K -31.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +1.75%E +0.438%K +0.585%G +0.010%5.6%2026-06-09 09:39
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.03%E -7.41%K -41.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +1.75%E +0.438%K +0.585%G +0.010%7.0%2026-06-09 08:50
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.03%E -7.41%K -41.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +1.75%E +0.438%K +0.585%G +0.010%7.0%2026-06-09 08:50
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 75.71%EV -4.56%E -3.56%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.29%EV +1.50%E +0.376%K +0.501%G +0.008%3.2%2026-06-09 08:50
DraftKings1.26I 79.37%NM 75.63%EV -6.05%E -4.80%K -23.28%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.37%EV -0.536%E -0.137%K -0.184%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-09 04:50
BetOnline.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -4.56%E -3.56%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -2.57%E -0.671%K -0.908%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-09 09:20
LowVig.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -4.56%E -3.56%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -2.57%E -0.671%K -0.908%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-09 09:19
Bet Right1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.31%E -4.18%K -19.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.33%E -0.877%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 03:19
Coolbet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.31%E -4.18%K -19.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.33%E -0.877%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 03:19
BetMGM1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.80%E -5.44%K -27.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.33%E -0.877%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-09 08:50
1xBet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.65%EV -4.56%E -3.56%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.35%EV -4.10%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 04:49
Winamax (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -3.07%E -2.36%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -4.61%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-09 09:40
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.82%E -2.96%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.61%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-09 08:50
BetAnything1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.56%E -3.56%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.61%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 09:20
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.31%E -4.18%K -19.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.61%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 08:49
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.31%E -4.18%K -19.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.61%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 08:49
Fanatics1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.31%E -4.18%K -19.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.61%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 08:50
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.31%E -4.18%K -19.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.61%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 08:49
LeoVegas1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.31%E -4.18%K -19.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.61%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 08:49
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.31%E -4.18%K -19.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.61%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 08:49
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.31%E -4.18%K -19.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.61%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 08:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.31%E -4.18%K -19.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.61%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 08:49
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.31%E -4.18%K -19.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.61%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 08:49
Casumo1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.31%E -4.18%K -19.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.61%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 08:49
ATG (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.31%E -4.18%K -19.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.61%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 08:49
Bally Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.31%E -4.18%K -19.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.61%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 08:49
Svenska Spel1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.31%E -4.18%K -19.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.61%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 08:49
betPARX1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.31%E -4.18%K -19.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.61%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 08:49
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.31%E -4.18%K -19.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.61%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 08:49
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.80%E -5.44%K -27.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.61%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-08 22:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.80%E -5.44%K -27.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.61%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-09 08:49
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.03%E -7.41%K -41.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -4.61%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-09 08:49
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.80%E -5.44%K -27.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.88%E -1.59%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-09 08:49
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.80%E -5.44%K -27.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.88%E -1.59%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-09 08:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.80%E -5.44%K -27.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.88%E -1.59%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-09 08:49
ReBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.82%E -2.96%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -7.15%E -1.96%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-09 09:19
PointsBet (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.31%E -4.18%K -19.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.15%E -1.96%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-09 08:49
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.82%E -2.96%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.42%E -2.34%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 09:39
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.82%E -2.96%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.42%E -2.34%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 03:19
Unibet (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.82%E -2.96%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.42%E -2.34%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 08:50
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.82%E -2.96%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.42%E -2.34%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 04:50
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.82%E -2.96%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.42%E -2.34%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 03:19
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.82%E -2.96%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.42%E -2.34%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 03:19
TAB1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.05%E -4.80%K -23.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.42%E -2.34%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-09 09:19
LiveScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.05%E -4.80%K -23.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.42%E -2.34%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-09 08:49
Virgin Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.05%E -4.80%K -23.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.42%E -2.34%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-09 08:49
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.80%E -5.44%K -27.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.42%E -2.34%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-09 08:49
Betsson1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -4.56%E -3.56%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -9.69%E -2.73%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-09 08:49
NordicBet1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -4.56%E -3.56%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -9.69%E -2.73%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-09 08:50
PMU (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.96%EV -6.80%E -5.44%K -27.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.69%E -2.73%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-09 08:49
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.80%E -5.44%K -27.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.97%E -3.13%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-09 08:50
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.80%E -5.44%K -27.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.97%E -3.13%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-09 03:19
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.07%E -2.36%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -12.24%E -3.55%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-09 08:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-06-09 09:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-06-09 09:20
Matchbook1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-06-09 09:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-06-09 09:20
Smarkets1.28I 78.13%NM 76.21%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79%2.5%2026-06-09 09:40
Novig1.27I 78.74%NM 76.44%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.56%3.0%2026-06-09 08:50