L’École des cotes

Emma Raducanu v Kamilla Rakhimova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-13 11:35 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Emma Raducanu (Local)

Prévision 78.97%1.27cote équitable
EV -2.08%
Avantage -1.68%
Kelly -8.67%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.92%78.99%78.95%82.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.151.191.201.2486.96%83.84%83.33%80.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Kamilla Rakhimova (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.03%4.75cote équitable
EV +11.48%
Avantage +2.17%
Kelly +2.67%
Croissance +0.306%

avec la cote maximale 5.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.83%21.01%21.05%23.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.564.575.3025.00%21.93%21.88%18.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Unibet (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -9.19%E -7.99%K -61.26%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV +11.48%E +2.17%K +2.67%G +0.306%5.8%2026-06-13 11:29
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +5.17%E +1.03%K +1.29%G +0.067%5.5%2026-06-13 11:26
TAB1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -9.19%E -7.99%K -61.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +5.17%E +1.03%K +1.29%G +0.067%7.0%2026-06-13 11:29
Winamax (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +3.06%E +0.625%K +0.786%G +0.024%3.7%2026-06-13 11:31
888sport1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -9.19%E -7.99%K -61.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -0.091%E -0.019%K -0.024%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-13 11:30
888sport (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -9.19%E -7.99%K -61.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -0.091%E -0.019%K -0.024%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-13 11:31
Mr Green (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -9.19%E -7.99%K -61.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -0.091%E -0.019%K -0.024%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-13 11:30
Tipico (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -9.19%E -7.99%K -61.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -1.14%E -0.243%K -0.309%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-13 11:30
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV -1.77%E -0.380%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-13 11:30
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV -1.77%E -0.380%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-13 11:30
Unibet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.25%E -0.706%K -0.902%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 11:30
TABtouch1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.25%E -0.706%K -0.902%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 11:31
LeoVegas1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.25%E -0.706%K -0.902%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.25%E -0.706%K -0.902%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 11:30
BetRivers1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.25%E -0.706%K -0.902%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 11:30
Grosvenor1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.25%E -0.706%K -0.902%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 11:30
Unibet (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.25%E -0.706%K -0.902%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 11:31
Casumo1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.25%E -0.706%K -0.902%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 11:30
Unibet (NL)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.25%E -0.706%K -0.902%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 11:30
FanDuel1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.25%E -0.706%K -0.902%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 11:30
betPARX1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.25%E -0.706%K -0.902%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 11:30
Svenska Spel1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.25%E -0.706%K -0.902%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 11:30
ATG (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.25%E -0.706%K -0.902%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 11:30
Bally Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.25%E -0.706%K -0.902%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 11:30
ReBet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.25%E -0.706%K -0.902%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 11:29
Winamax (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -3.25%E -0.706%K -0.902%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-13 11:30
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -3.25%E -0.706%K -0.902%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-13 11:30
SportsBet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -3.25%E -0.706%K -0.902%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-13 11:30
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -4.51%E -0.993%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-13 11:30
DraftKings1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -4.51%E -0.993%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-13 11:30
Pinnacle1.24I 80.65%NM 78.47%EV -2.08%E -1.68%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.53%EV -4.93%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-13 11:31
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.35%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-13 11:30
Coolbet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.35%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-13 11:31
Bet Right1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.35%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-13 11:30
Unibet (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.35%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-13 11:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.35%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-13 11:30
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.35%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-13 11:29
Hard Rock Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.35%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-13 11:30
BetMGM1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.35%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-13 11:30
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.35%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-13 11:30
BetAnything1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -6.40%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 11:30
theScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -6.40%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-13 11:30
Fanatics1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.45%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 11:31
PointsBet (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.45%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-13 11:30
NordicBet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.45%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-13 11:29
Betsson1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.45%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-13 11:29
LiveScore Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -7.45%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-13 11:30
Virgin Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -7.45%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-13 11:31
Ladbrokes (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.45%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-13 11:31
Neds1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.45%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-13 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.45%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-13 11:30
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.45%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-13 11:31
PMU (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.76%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -8.50%E -1.96%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-13 11:30
betfred_uk1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.93%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-13 11:30
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.93%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-13 11:30
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.87%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-13 11:28
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%0.5%2026-06-13 11:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-06-13 11:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-06-13 11:31
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-06-13 11:31
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 79.15%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.85%2.7%2026-06-13 11:31
Smarkets1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%2.9%2026-06-13 11:31