L’École des cotes

Emma Raducanu v Anna Blinkova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-09 11:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Emma Raducanu (Local)

Prévision 62.83%1.59cote équitable
EV -1.98%
Avantage -1.27%
Kelly -3.54%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.26%62.71%62.81%64.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.511.501.5669.44%66.35%66.67%64.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Anna Blinkova (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.17%2.69cote équitable
EV +0.352%
Avantage +0.130%
Kelly +0.207%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.21%37.29%37.19%39.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.542.562.7042.55%39.33%39.06%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.75%E -3.83%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +0.352%E +0.130%K +0.207%G +0.001%3.7%2026-06-09 10:09
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -7.01%E -4.74%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -0.391%E -0.146%K -0.233%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-09 09:20
ReBet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.38%E -4.28%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -1.51%E -0.568%K -0.913%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 10:09
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -9.52%E -6.61%K -21.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -1.51%E -0.568%K -0.913%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-09 09:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.75%E -3.83%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -2.25%E -0.855%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 00:50
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -9.52%E -6.61%K -21.64%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -2.25%E -0.855%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-09 00:49
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.52%E -6.61%K -21.64%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.62%E -1.00%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-09 00:49
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.75%E -3.83%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.36%E -1.29%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 10:09
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.75%E -3.83%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.36%E -1.29%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 10:09
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.75%E -3.83%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.36%E -1.29%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 10:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.75%E -3.83%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.36%E -1.29%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 10:09
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.75%E -3.83%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.36%E -1.29%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 10:09
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.75%E -3.83%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.36%E -1.29%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 10:09
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.75%E -3.83%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.36%E -1.29%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 08:50
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.75%E -3.83%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.36%E -1.29%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 10:09
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.75%E -3.83%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.36%E -1.29%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 10:09
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.75%E -3.83%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.36%E -1.29%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 10:09
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.75%E -3.83%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.36%E -1.29%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 08:49
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.75%E -3.83%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.36%E -1.29%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 10:09
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.75%E -3.83%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.36%E -1.29%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 10:09
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.75%E -3.83%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.36%E -1.29%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 10:09
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.75%E -3.83%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.36%E -1.29%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 10:09
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.75%E -3.83%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.36%E -1.29%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 10:09
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.75%E -3.83%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.36%E -1.29%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 10:08
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -6.38%E -4.28%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -3.36%E -1.29%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 10:09
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.01%E -4.74%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.36%E -1.29%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-09 10:08
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.01%E -4.74%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.36%E -1.29%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-09 10:09
1xBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -4.49%E -2.96%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -4.48%E -1.74%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 10:09
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -1.98%E -1.27%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -4.85%E -1.90%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-09 10:09
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.49%E -2.96%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.22%E -2.05%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 10:09
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.49%E -2.96%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.22%E -2.05%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 10:09
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.49%E -2.96%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.22%E -2.05%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 10:09
Fanatics1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.12%E -3.39%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.22%E -2.05%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 10:09
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.75%E -3.83%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.22%E -2.05%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-09 10:09
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.89%E -6.13%K -19.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.22%E -2.05%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-09 08:49
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -1.98%E -1.27%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -5.97%E -2.36%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-09 10:09
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -1.98%E -1.27%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -5.97%E -2.36%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-09 10:09
BetAnything1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -1.98%E -1.27%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -5.97%E -2.36%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-09 10:09
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.87%E -2.53%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 10:09
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.87%E -2.53%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 10:09
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.87%E -2.53%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 10:08
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.87%E -2.53%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 10:09
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.87%E -2.53%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 10:09
Fliff1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.38%E -4.28%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-09 10:09
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.01%E -4.74%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-09 10:09
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.01%E -4.74%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-09 10:09
PMU (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.64%E -5.19%K -16.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-09 10:09
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.61%E -1.68%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.80%E -4.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-09 10:09
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.61%E -1.68%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.80%E -4.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-09 10:09
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -3.24%E -2.10%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -10.80%E -4.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-09 10:09
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.49%E -2.96%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -10.80%E -4.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-09 10:09
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.75%E -3.83%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.80%E -4.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-09 08:50
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.75%E -3.83%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.80%E -4.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-09 10:08
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -3.87%E -2.53%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -11.91%E -5.03%K -8.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-09 10:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -3.87%E -2.53%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -11.91%E -5.03%K -8.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-09 10:09
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -2.61%E -1.68%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -12.66%E -5.39%K -9.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-09 10:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -2.61%E -1.68%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -12.66%E -5.39%K -9.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-09 10:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%0.3%2026-06-09 10:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-06-09 10:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-06-09 10:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-06-09 10:09
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82%2.1%2026-06-09 10:09
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%2.4%2026-06-09 10:09