L’École des cotes

Donna Vekic v Emma Raducanu

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-14 13:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Donna Vekic (Local)

Prévision 44.36%2.25cote équitable
EV +3.36%
Avantage +1.44%
Kelly +2.53%
Croissance +0.085%

avec la cote maximale 2.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.01%44.33%44.30%46.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.962.152.152.3351.02%46.47%46.51%42.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Emma Raducanu (Visiteur)

Prévision 55.64%1.80cote équitable
EV -2.08%
Avantage -1.18%
Kelly -2.73%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.56%55.67%55.70%58.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.671.671.7662.50%59.77%59.88%56.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV +3.36%E +1.44%K +2.53%G +0.085%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -9.87%E -6.09%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 12:29
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV +2.48%E +1.07%K +1.89%G +0.047%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -5.97%E -3.53%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-14 12:30
BetAnything2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.186%E -0.082%K -0.148%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.97%E -3.53%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-14 12:30
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.186%E -0.082%K -0.148%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.20%E -4.97%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-14 12:30
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.186%E -0.082%K -0.148%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.87%E -6.09%K -15.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-14 12:36
Bet Right2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -0.629%E -0.281%K -0.507%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -8.20%E -4.97%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-14 12:30
BetOnline.ag2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -1.07%E -0.481%K -0.872%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -5.97%E -3.53%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-14 12:30
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -1.52%E -0.683%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -5.42%E -3.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-14 12:39
FanDuel2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -1.52%E -0.683%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -6.53%E -3.89%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 12:40
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.40%E -1.09%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.97%E -3.53%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 12:39
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.40%E -1.09%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.97%E -3.53%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 12:40
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.40%E -1.09%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.53%E -3.89%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 12:40
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.40%E -1.09%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.53%E -3.89%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 12:40
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.40%E -1.09%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.53%E -3.89%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 12:29
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.40%E -1.09%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.53%E -3.89%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 12:40
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.40%E -1.09%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.53%E -3.89%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 12:40
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.40%E -1.09%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 12:31
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -2.40%E -1.09%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.64%E -4.60%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-14 12:29
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.40%E -1.09%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.20%E -4.97%K -12.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-14 12:29
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.40%E -1.09%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.20%E -4.97%K -12.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-14 12:40
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -2.40%E -1.09%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.87%E -6.09%K -15.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-14 12:30
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -2.40%E -1.09%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -10.98%E -6.86%K -18.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-14 12:29
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -3.29%E -1.51%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -7.64%E -4.60%K -11.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-14 12:40
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -3.29%E -1.51%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -7.64%E -4.60%K -11.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-14 12:40
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -4.18%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.64%E -4.60%K -11.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-14 12:40
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -4.18%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.64%E -4.60%K -11.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-14 12:40
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.62%E -2.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.53%E -3.89%K -9.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-14 12:30
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.62%E -2.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.20%E -4.97%K -12.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-14 12:40
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.62%E -2.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.20%E -4.97%K -12.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-14 12:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.62%E -2.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.20%E -4.97%K -12.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-14 12:30
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.62%E -2.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.20%E -4.97%K -12.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-14 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.62%E -2.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.20%E -4.97%K -12.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-14 12:30
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.62%E -2.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.20%E -4.97%K -12.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-14 12:30
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.62%E -2.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.20%E -4.97%K -12.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-14 12:31
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.95%E -2.81%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.30%E -2.50%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 12:40
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.95%E -2.81%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.30%E -2.50%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 12:40
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.95%E -2.81%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.30%E -2.50%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%EV -5.95%E -2.81%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%EV -9.31%E -5.71%K -14.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-14 12:40
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.84%E -3.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.19%E -1.83%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-14 12:40
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.84%E -3.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.86%E -2.84%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-14 12:40
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.84%E -3.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-14 12:39
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.84%E -3.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-14 12:30
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.84%E -3.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-14 12:40
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.84%E -3.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.20%E -4.97%K -12.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-14 12:40
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -6.84%E -3.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -8.75%E -5.34%K -13.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-14 12:40
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -6.84%E -3.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -10.42%E -6.47%K -17.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-14 12:40
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -6.84%E -3.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -10.42%E -6.47%K -17.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-14 12:40
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -7.73%E -3.71%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -2.08%E -1.18%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-14 12:40
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.73%E -3.71%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.63%E -1.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-14 12:40
Bally Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.73%E -3.71%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.42%E -3.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-14 12:40
LeoVegas2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -8.61%E -4.18%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -6.53%E -3.89%K -9.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-14 12:40
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -9.06%E -4.42%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -4.86%E -2.84%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-14 12:40
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.06%E -4.42%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.42%E -3.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-14 12:40
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.06%E -4.42%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.42%E -3.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-14 12:40
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.06%E -4.42%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.42%E -3.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-14 12:40
DraftKings2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -9.95%E -4.90%K -9.66%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -2.08%E -1.18%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-14 12:40
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -13.05%E -6.66%K -13.59%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.14%EV -7.64%E -4.60%K -11.58%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-14 12:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-06-14 12:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-06-14 12:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-06-14 12:40
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%1.3%2026-06-14 12:40
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.3%2026-06-14 12:40
Novig2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%3.0%2026-06-14 12:40