Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Leylah Fernandez v Himeno Sakatsume

2026-10-27 02:00 UTC — WTA Pan Pacific Open

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Leylah Fernandez (Local)

Predicción 79.22%1.26momio equitativo
EV -3.35%
Ventaja -2.75%
Kelly -15.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
77.15%79.11%79.31%80.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.141.191.191.2287.72%84.02%84.39%81.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Himeno Sakatsume (Visitante)

Predicción 20.78%4.81momio equitativo
EV -0.264%
Ventaja -0.055%
Kelly -0.069%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.73%20.89%20.69%22.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.954.534.594.8025.32%22.07%21.76%20.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Leylah Fernandez (Local): 79.22%; Himeno Sakatsume (Visitante): 20.78%. Para Himeno Sakatsume (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.81. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 4.80, con un valor esperado de -0.264%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -3.35%E -2.75%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV -1.30%E -0.274%K -0.347%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-26 07:01
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.35%E -2.75%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -12.73%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 06:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.35%E -2.75%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -12.73%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 06:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.35%E -2.75%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -12.73%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 06:55
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.35%E -2.75%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -12.73%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 06:55
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.35%E -2.75%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -12.73%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 07:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -4.14%E -3.42%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -6.29%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-26 04:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -4.14%E -3.42%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -6.29%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-26 04:45
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.93%E -4.11%K -24.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -0.264%E -0.055%K -0.069%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-26 07:54
Bovada🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.93%E -4.11%K -24.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -1.30%E -0.274%K -0.347%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-26 04:44
BetAnything🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.93%E -4.11%K -24.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.42%E -0.961%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 04:51
Bet Right🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.93%E -4.11%K -24.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.42%E -0.961%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:13
Fanatics🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.93%E -4.11%K -24.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.42%E -0.961%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:45
Coolbet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.93%E -4.11%K -24.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.42%E -0.961%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 07:45
DraftKings🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.27%EV -4.93%E -4.11%K -24.67%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.73%EV -4.63%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:45
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.93%E -4.11%K -24.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.50%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 04:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.93%E -4.11%K -24.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.50%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 05:31
NordicBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.93%E -4.11%K -24.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.58%E -1.95%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-26 07:55
Betsson🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.93%E -4.11%K -24.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.58%E -1.95%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-26 07:55
TAB🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.93%E -4.11%K -24.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -12.73%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-26 04:45
Neds🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.93%E -4.11%K -24.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -12.73%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-26 05:16
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.93%E -4.11%K -24.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -12.73%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-26 05:15
BetMGM🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.73%E -4.81%K -30.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -4.42%E -0.961%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:36
Betr (AU)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -5.73%E -4.81%K -30.14%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -5.46%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 05:13
Unibet (UK)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -5.73%E -4.81%K -30.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -10.65%E -2.48%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-26 05:46
picklebet_au🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -5.73%E -4.81%K -30.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -12.73%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-26 05:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.21%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.264%E -0.055%K -0.069%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 04:45
TABtouch🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.21%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.264%E -0.055%K -0.069%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 04:45
Unibet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.21%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.264%E -0.055%K -0.069%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 04:45
Casumo🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.21%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.264%E -0.055%K -0.069%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 04:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.21%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.264%E -0.055%K -0.069%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 04:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.21%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.264%E -0.055%K -0.069%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 04:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.21%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.264%E -0.055%K -0.069%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 04:45
Bally Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.21%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.264%E -0.055%K -0.069%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 04:45
FanDuel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.21%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.264%E -0.055%K -0.069%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 04:51
betPARX🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.21%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.264%E -0.055%K -0.069%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 04:55
Grosvenor🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.21%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.264%E -0.055%K -0.069%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 05:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.21%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.264%E -0.055%K -0.069%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 05:05
BetRivers🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.21%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.264%E -0.055%K -0.069%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 05:36
LiveScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.21%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.264%E -0.055%K -0.069%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 05:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.21%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.264%E -0.055%K -0.069%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 05:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -1.30%E -0.274%K -0.347%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:45
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.50%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-26 05:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.50%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-26 05:50
ReBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.73%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-26 05:25
LeoVegas🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.73%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-26 07:00
theScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.31%E -6.25%K -43.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -4.42%E -0.961%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-26 04:45
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.31%E -6.25%K -43.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -4.42%E -0.961%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-26 05:06
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.31%E -6.25%K -43.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.50%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-26 04:51
Winamax (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -7.31%E -6.25%K -43.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -16.89%E -4.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-26 05:31
Unibet (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.15%EV -7.31%E -6.25%K -43.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.85%EV -17.93%E -4.54%K -6.08%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-26 05:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%EV -9.69%E -8.50%K -69.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -6.50%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-26 04:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-10-26 06:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-10-26 07:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-10-26 06:55
Matchbook◎1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-10-26 06:55
Novig◎1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.53%2.3%2026-10-26 07:45