Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alexandra Eala v Mika Stojsavljevic

Início: 2026-10-26 08:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alexandra Eala (Local)

Previsão 85.73%1.17odd justa
EV -3.98%
Vantagem -3.55%
Kelly -33.15%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
83.58%85.83%85.68%88.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.071.101.101.1293.46%90.59%90.91%89.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Mika Stojsavljevic (Visitante)

Previsão 14.27%7.01odd justa
EV +14.13%
Vantagem +1.77%
Kelly +2.02%
Crescimento +0.285%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.89%14.17%14.32%16.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.606.586.508.0017.86%15.20%15.38%12.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Alexandra Eala (Local): 85.73%; Mika Stojsavljevic (Visitante): 14.27%. Para Mika Stojsavljevic (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 7.01. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 8.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +14.13%.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -7.41%E -6.86%K -92.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +14.13%E +1.77%K +2.02%G +0.285%5.1%2026-10-26 07:41
Winamax (DE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%EV -5.69%E -5.18%K -56.93%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%EV +10.56%E +1.36%K +1.56%G +0.165%3.8%2026-10-26 05:31
Pinnacle🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.77%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -43.96%G +0.000%7.28I 13.74%NM 13.23%EV +3.86%E +0.530%K +0.614%G +0.024%3.8%2026-10-26 06:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.53%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -43.96%G +0.000%7.13I 14.03%NM 13.47%EV +1.72%E +0.241%K +0.280%G +0.005%4.1%2026-10-26 07:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.53%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -43.96%G +0.000%7.13I 14.03%NM 13.47%EV +1.72%E +0.241%K +0.280%G +0.005%4.1%2026-10-26 07:40
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.69%E -5.18%K -56.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -0.137%E -0.020%K -0.023%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 04:45
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.69%E -5.18%K -56.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -0.137%E -0.020%K -0.023%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 04:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.69%E -5.18%K -56.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -0.137%E -0.020%K -0.023%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 07:41
Unibet (NL)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.69%E -5.18%K -56.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -3.70%E -0.549%K -0.644%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-26 04:45
TABtouch🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.69%E -5.18%K -56.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -3.70%E -0.549%K -0.644%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-26 04:45
Casumo🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.69%E -5.18%K -56.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -3.70%E -0.549%K -0.644%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-26 04:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.69%E -5.18%K -56.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -3.70%E -0.549%K -0.644%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-26 04:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.69%E -5.18%K -56.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -3.70%E -0.549%K -0.644%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-26 04:45
Bally Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.69%E -5.18%K -56.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -3.70%E -0.549%K -0.644%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-26 04:45
betPARX🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.69%E -5.18%K -56.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -3.70%E -0.549%K -0.644%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-26 04:55
Grosvenor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.69%E -5.18%K -56.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -3.70%E -0.549%K -0.644%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-26 05:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.69%E -5.18%K -56.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -3.70%E -0.549%K -0.644%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-26 05:05
BetRivers🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.69%E -5.18%K -56.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -3.70%E -0.549%K -0.644%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-26 05:36
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.69%E -5.18%K -56.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -3.70%E -0.549%K -0.644%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-26 05:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.69%E -5.18%K -56.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -3.70%E -0.549%K -0.644%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-26 05:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.69%E -5.18%K -56.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -3.70%E -0.549%K -0.644%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-26 05:55
DraftKings🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.68%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -43.96%G +0.000%6.64I 15.06%NM 14.32%EV -5.27%E -0.794%K -0.935%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:45
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.98%E -3.55%K -33.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.27%E -1.12%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-26 07:55
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.98%E -3.55%K -33.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.27%E -1.12%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-26 07:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.98%E -3.55%K -33.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.27%E -1.12%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-26 05:46
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -43.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -7.27%E -1.12%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-26 06:15
William Hill🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -43.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -7.27%E -1.12%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-26 06:15
BetMGM🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.69%E -5.18%K -56.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.27%E -1.12%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-26 05:36
Coral🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.69%E -5.18%K -56.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.27%E -1.12%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-26 05:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.69%E -5.18%K -56.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.27%E -1.12%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-26 05:50
Paddy Power🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -7.41%E -6.86%K -92.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -7.27%E -1.12%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-26 07:45
SportsBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -7.41%E -6.86%K -92.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -7.27%E -1.12%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-26 07:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -7.41%E -6.86%K -92.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -7.27%E -1.12%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-26 05:31
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.98%E -3.55%K -33.15%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -8.70%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-26 05:45
Coolbet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.98%E -3.55%K -33.15%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -8.70%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-26 07:45
LeoVegas🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.02%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -43.96%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.98%EV -10.12%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 07:55
Bet Right🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.98%E -3.55%K -33.15%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.84%E -1.73%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-26 05:13
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -43.96%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -10.84%E -1.73%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-26 04:51
Betr (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -43.96%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -10.84%E -1.73%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-26 05:13
PlayUp🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -43.96%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -10.84%E -1.73%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-26 05:20
BetAnything🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -3.98%E -3.55%K -33.15%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -11.55%E -1.86%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-26 04:51
NordicBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -43.96%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -11.55%E -1.86%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-26 07:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.08%EV -8.26%E -7.72%K -118.07%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.92%EV -12.98%E -2.13%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-26 04:45
TAB🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -43.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -14.40%E -2.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-26 04:45
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -43.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -14.40%E -2.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-26 04:45
Neds🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -43.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -14.40%E -2.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-26 05:16
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -43.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -14.40%E -2.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-26 05:15
picklebet_au🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -43.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -14.40%E -2.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-26 05:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.58%EV -5.69%E -5.18%K -56.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -20.11%E -3.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-26 07:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 88.80%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.20%1.5%2026-10-26 07:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 88.80%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.20%1.5%2026-10-26 07:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 88.80%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.20%1.5%2026-10-26 07:55
Matchbook◎1.11I 90.09%NM 88.80%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.20%1.5%2026-10-26 07:50
Novig◎1.12I 89.29%NM 87.72%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28%1.8%2026-10-26 07:45