Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Yulia Putintseva v Diana Shnaider

2026-10-20 02:00 UTC — WTA Ningbo Open

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Yulia Putintseva (Local)

Predicción 24.96%4.01momio equitativo
EV +4.82%
Ventaja +1.15%
Kelly +1.51%
Crecimiento +0.073%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.65%24.84%25.02%26.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.453.793.804.2028.99%26.36%26.32%23.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Diana Shnaider (Visitante)

Predicción 75.04%1.33momio equitativo
EV -3.19%
Ventaja -2.48%
Kelly -11.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.29

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.22%75.16%74.98%77.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.201.261.261.2983.33%79.58%79.37%77.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Yulia Putintseva (Local): 24.96%; Diana Shnaider (Visitante): 75.04%. Para Yulia Putintseva (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.01. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.20, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +4.82%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
FanDuel🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +4.82%E +1.15%K +1.51%G +0.073%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -7.70%E -6.26%K -33.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 18:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.173%E -0.043%K -0.058%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.70%E -3.70%K -17.39%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-18 17:49
Bovada🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.173%E -0.043%K -0.058%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.20%E -4.96%K -24.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 17:56
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.173%E -0.043%K -0.058%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.45%E -6.92%K -38.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-18 18:45
Tipico (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -0.173%E -0.043%K -0.058%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -9.95%E -8.29%K -49.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-18 17:55
Winamax (DE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -1.42%E -0.360%K -0.482%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -6.20%E -4.96%K -24.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 18:44
PMU (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.67%E -0.684%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.45%E -4.32%K -20.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 17:49
Unibet (NL)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.67%E -0.684%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.45%E -4.32%K -20.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 17:50
TABtouch🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.67%E -0.684%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.45%E -4.32%K -20.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 17:49
BetRivers🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.67%E -0.684%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.45%E -4.32%K -20.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 17:49
Casumo🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.67%E -0.684%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.45%E -4.32%K -20.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 17:49
Grosvenor🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.67%E -0.684%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.45%E -4.32%K -20.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.67%E -0.684%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.45%E -4.32%K -20.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 17:49
Unibet (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.67%E -0.684%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.45%E -4.32%K -20.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 17:49
LiveScore Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.67%E -0.684%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.45%E -4.32%K -20.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 17:49
Unibet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.67%E -0.684%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.45%E -4.32%K -20.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 17:49
Virgin Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.67%E -0.684%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.45%E -4.32%K -20.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 17:49
ATG (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.67%E -0.684%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.45%E -4.32%K -20.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 17:49
Svenska Spel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.67%E -0.684%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.45%E -4.32%K -20.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 17:49
betPARX🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.67%E -0.684%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.45%E -4.32%K -20.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 17:50
Bally Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.67%E -0.684%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.45%E -4.32%K -20.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 17:49
Betsson🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -2.67%E -0.684%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.20%E -4.96%K -24.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-18 18:45
NordicBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -2.67%E -0.684%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.20%E -4.96%K -24.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-18 18:45
Pinnacle🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -3.92%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -3.19%E -2.48%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-18 18:49
DraftKings🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.92%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.70%E -3.70%K -17.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-18 17:50
Bet Right🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.70%E -3.70%K -17.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 19:14
Coolbet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.70%E -3.70%K -17.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 18:45
Fanatics🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.70%E -3.70%K -17.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 19:14
Marathon Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.45%E -4.32%K -20.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-18 18:44
Unibet (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.95%E -5.60%K -28.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-18 18:45
1xBet🎯3.76I 26.60%NM 25.25%EV -6.16%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.75%EV -4.70%E -3.70%K -17.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 18:50
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.41%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.19%E -2.48%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-18 19:29
Betr (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.41%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.45%E -4.32%K -20.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 18:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.41%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.45%E -4.32%K -20.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 18:45
theScore Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.41%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.20%E -4.96%K -24.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 17:49
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -6.41%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.45%E -6.92%K -38.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-18 18:45
picklebet_au🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -6.41%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.45%E -6.92%K -38.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-18 18:45
LeoVegas🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -7.66%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -6.95%E -5.60%K -28.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-18 18:45
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.19%E -2.48%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 17:50
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.19%E -2.48%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 17:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.19%E -2.48%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 17:49
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.19%E -2.48%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 17:49
PlayUp🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.94%E -3.08%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-18 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.20%E -4.96%K -24.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-18 19:19
Coral🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.20%E -4.96%K -24.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-18 19:19
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.20%E -4.96%K -24.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-18 18:45
ReBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -8.45%E -6.92%K -38.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-18 18:45
Neds🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.94%E -3.08%K -14.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 17:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.94%E -3.08%K -14.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 17:50
Winamax (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 74.31%EV -9.20%E -7.60%K -43.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-18 18:45
Unibet (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -13.90%E -4.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 74.03%EV -9.20%E -7.60%K -43.80%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-18 18:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%3.5%2026-10-18 18:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%6.7%2026-10-18 20:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%7.3%2026-10-18 19:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%7.3%2026-10-18 20:00
Novig◎3.77I 26.53%NM 24.30%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.70%9.2%2026-10-18 18:45