Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Sara Bejlek v Xiyu Wang

2026-10-20 04:00 UTC — WTA Ningbo Open

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (17 en el análisis )

51%

49%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Sara Bejlek (Local)

Predicción 50.65%1.97momio equitativo

EV -1.22%

Ventaja -0.628%

Kelly -1.29%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

48.68%50.67%50.40%53.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.731.881.891.9557.80%53.26%52.91%51.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Xiyu Wang (Visitante)

Predicción 49.35%2.03momio equitativo

EV -1.31%

Ventaja -0.654%

Kelly -1.31%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

46.38%49.33%49.60%51.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.841.891.902.0054.35%52.80%52.63%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Sara Bejlek (Local): 50.65%; Xiyu Wang (Visitante): 49.35%. Para Sara Bejlek (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.97. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.95, con un valor esperado de -1.22%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local ▼	Visitante	Margen	Actualizado
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.22%E -0.628%K -1.29%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.72%E -4.13%K -8.88%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-10-18 18:39
Betway🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.22%E -0.628%K -1.29%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.71%E -4.71%K -10.25%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-18 14:54
Unibet🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -1.73%E -0.892%K -1.84%G +0.000%	1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -8.22%E -4.42%K -9.55%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-18 18:44
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -1.73%E -0.892%K -1.84%G +0.000%	1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -8.22%E -4.42%K -9.55%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-18 18:39
Virgin Bet🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -1.73%E -0.892%K -1.84%G +0.000%	1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -8.22%E -4.42%K -9.55%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-18 18:39
Pinnacle🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -2.24%E -1.16%K -2.41%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-10-18 14:54
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.24%E -1.16%K -2.41%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.71%E -4.71%K -10.25%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-18 18:40
Casumo🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.24%E -1.16%K -2.41%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.71%E -4.71%K -10.25%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-18 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.24%E -1.16%K -2.41%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.71%E -4.71%K -10.25%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-18 18:40
Grosvenor🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.24%E -1.16%K -2.41%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.71%E -4.71%K -10.25%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-18 18:40
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.24%E -1.16%K -2.41%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.71%E -4.71%K -10.25%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-18 18:39
TABtouch🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.24%E -1.16%K -2.41%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.71%E -4.71%K -10.25%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-18 18:39
PMU (FR)🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.24%E -1.16%K -2.41%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.71%E -4.71%K -10.25%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-18 18:39
betPARX🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.24%E -1.16%K -2.41%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.71%E -4.71%K -10.25%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-18 18:40
Bally Bet🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.24%E -1.16%K -2.41%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.71%E -4.71%K -10.25%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-18 18:39
Svenska Spel🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.24%E -1.16%K -2.41%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.71%E -4.71%K -10.25%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-18 18:39
ATG (SE)🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.24%E -1.16%K -2.41%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.71%E -4.71%K -10.25%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-18 18:39
BetRivers🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.24%E -1.16%K -2.41%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.71%E -4.71%K -10.25%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-18 18:44
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.75%E -3.01%K -6.32%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-10-18 14:54
LowVig.ag🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.75%E -3.01%K -6.32%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-10-18 14:54
888sport🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.75%E -3.01%K -6.32%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-10-18 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.75%E -3.01%K -6.32%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-10-18 14:54
888sport (SE)🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.75%E -3.01%K -6.32%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-10-18 14:55
William Hill🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.75%E -3.01%K -6.32%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-10-18 15:14
Fanatics🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.75%E -3.01%K -6.32%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-10-18 18:49
TAB🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.76%E -1.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.24%E -3.29%K -6.94%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-18 14:55
Coolbet🎯	1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.26%E -2.26%K -4.79%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.26%E -2.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-10-18 18:45
Marathon Bet🎯	1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%EV -4.26%E -2.26%K -4.79%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 49.87%EV -6.24%E -3.29%K -6.94%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-10-18 18:44
1xBet🎯	1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%EV -4.26%E -2.26%K -4.79%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 49.87%EV -6.24%E -3.29%K -6.94%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-10-18 18:44
Bet Right🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.77%E -2.54%K -5.42%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.26%E -2.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-18 18:45
PlayUp🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.77%E -2.54%K -5.42%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.23%E -3.85%K -8.22%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-10-18 15:10
Neds🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.77%E -2.54%K -5.42%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.23%E -3.85%K -8.22%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-10-18 15:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.77%E -2.54%K -5.42%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.23%E -3.85%K -8.22%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-10-18 15:44
Bovada🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.28%E -2.82%K -6.07%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.78%E -1.94%K -3.97%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-10-18 14:53
Betr (AU)🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.28%E -2.82%K -6.07%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.24%E -3.29%K -6.94%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-10-18 18:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.28%E -2.82%K -6.07%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.24%E -3.29%K -6.94%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-10-18 18:45
BetAnything🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.28%E -2.82%K -6.07%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.72%E -4.13%K -8.88%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-10-18 18:45
DraftKings🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.28%E -1.67%K -3.42%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-18 15:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.71%E -4.71%K -10.25%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-10-18 15:14
Coral🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.71%E -4.71%K -10.25%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-10-18 15:14
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.80%E -3.69%K -8.09%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.28%E -1.67%K -3.42%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-18 15:10
FanDuel🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -2.30%E -1.16%K -2.34%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-18 17:40
SportsBet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -2.79%E -1.42%K -2.87%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-18 17:39
Betsson🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.78%E -1.94%K -3.97%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-18 15:20
NordicBet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.78%E -1.94%K -3.97%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-18 15:20
theScore Bet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.75%E -3.01%K -6.32%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-10-18 14:55
BoyleSports🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.75%E -3.01%K -6.32%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-10-18 16:39
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -8.32%E -4.59%K -10.27%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -4.76%E -2.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-10-18 15:08
picklebet_au🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.75%E -3.01%K -6.32%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-10-18 15:10
LeoVegas🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.24%E -3.29%K -6.94%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-10-18 15:14
ReBet🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%EV -10.85%E -6.16%K -14.27%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%EV -7.23%E -3.85%K -8.22%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-10-18 15:30
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -10.85%E -6.16%K -14.27%G +0.000%	1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -8.22%E -4.42%K -9.55%G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-10-18 15:10
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -11.36%E -6.49%K -15.14%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -3.78%E -1.94%K -3.97%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-10-18 15:24
Paddy Power🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -12.37%E -7.15%K -16.94%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -1.31%E -0.654%K -1.31%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-10-18 14:58
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 51.54%EV -12.37%E -7.15%K -16.94%G +0.000%	1.84I 54.35%NM 48.46%EV -9.20%E -5.00%K -10.96%G +0.000%	12.2%	2026-10-18 15:10

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.99I 50.25%NM 49.75%	1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%	1.0%	2026-10-18 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.99I 50.25%NM 49.75%	1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%	1.0%	2026-10-18 18:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.99I 50.25%NM 49.75%	1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%	1.0%	2026-10-18 18:25
Matchbook◎	1.99I 50.25%NM 49.75%	1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%	1.0%	2026-10-18 18:29
Novig◎	1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%	2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%	1.5%	2026-10-18 17:09
ProphetX◎	1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%	1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%	2.0%	2026-10-18 17:39