Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Elena Rybakina v Diana Shnaider

2026-10-24 09:30 UTC — WTA Ningbo Open

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (14 en el análisis )

62%

38%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Elena Rybakina (Local)

Predicción 62.41%1.60momio equitativo

EV -3.26%

Ventaja -2.11%

Kelly -5.93%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

60.48%62.50%62.53%65.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.401.491.501.5571.43%67.02%66.67%64.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Diana Shnaider (Visitante)

Predicción 37.59%2.66momio equitativo

EV +3.37%

Ventaja +1.23%

Kelly +1.93%

Crecimiento +0.065%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

34.52%37.50%37.47%39.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

2.252.572.552.7544.44%38.88%39.22%36.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Elena Rybakina (Local): 62.41%; Diana Shnaider (Visitante): 37.59%. Para Diana Shnaider (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.66. 15 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.75, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +3.37%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local	Visitante ▼	Margen	Actualizado
Unibet🎯	1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -8.88%E -6.08%K -19.30%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV +3.37%E +1.23%K +1.93%G +0.065%	4.9%	2026-10-23 14:44
Virgin Bet🎯	1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -8.88%E -6.08%K -19.30%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV +3.37%E +1.23%K +1.93%G +0.065%	4.9%	2026-10-23 14:43
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -8.88%E -6.08%K -19.30%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV +3.37%E +1.23%K +1.93%G +0.065%	4.9%	2026-10-23 14:44
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -9.50%E -6.55%K -21.12%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +3.37%E +1.23%K +1.93%G +0.065%	5.3%	2026-10-23 14:43
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -9.50%E -6.55%K -21.12%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +3.37%E +1.23%K +1.93%G +0.065%	5.3%	2026-10-23 14:43
BetRivers🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -9.50%E -6.55%K -21.12%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +3.37%E +1.23%K +1.93%G +0.065%	5.3%	2026-10-23 14:43
Grosvenor🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -9.50%E -6.55%K -21.12%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +3.37%E +1.23%K +1.93%G +0.065%	5.3%	2026-10-23 14:44
Casumo🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -9.50%E -6.55%K -21.12%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +3.37%E +1.23%K +1.93%G +0.065%	5.3%	2026-10-23 14:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -9.50%E -6.55%K -21.12%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +3.37%E +1.23%K +1.93%G +0.065%	5.3%	2026-10-23 14:44
TABtouch🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -9.50%E -6.55%K -21.12%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +3.37%E +1.23%K +1.93%G +0.065%	5.3%	2026-10-23 14:44
Svenska Spel🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -9.50%E -6.55%K -21.12%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +3.37%E +1.23%K +1.93%G +0.065%	5.3%	2026-10-23 14:43
ATG (SE)🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -9.50%E -6.55%K -21.12%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +3.37%E +1.23%K +1.93%G +0.065%	5.3%	2026-10-23 14:43
betPARX🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -9.50%E -6.55%K -21.12%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +3.37%E +1.23%K +1.93%G +0.065%	5.3%	2026-10-23 14:43
Bally Bet🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -9.50%E -6.55%K -21.12%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +3.37%E +1.23%K +1.93%G +0.065%	5.3%	2026-10-23 14:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -9.50%E -6.55%K -21.12%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +3.37%E +1.23%K +1.93%G +0.065%	5.3%	2026-10-23 15:07
1xBet🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -5.76%E -3.81%K -11.29%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -1.14%E -0.434%K -0.700%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-10-23 15:25
Betway🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.38%E -4.26%K -12.77%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.27%E -0.873%K -1.42%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-23 15:07
Marathon Bet🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -7.01%E -4.70%K -14.30%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -2.27%E -0.873%K -1.42%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-10-23 15:18
PMU (FR)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -12.62%E -9.02%K -31.56%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -2.27%E -0.873%K -1.42%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-10-23 14:44
Bet Right🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.14%E -3.38%K -9.88%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.15%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-10-23 15:07
Coolbet🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.14%E -3.38%K -9.88%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.15%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-10-23 15:06
Fanatics🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.76%E -3.81%K -11.29%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.15%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-23 15:06
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.38%E -4.26%K -12.77%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.15%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-23 15:07
DraftKings🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -4.51%E -2.95%K -8.51%G +0.000%	2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -4.52%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-10-23 15:21
FanDuel🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -3.89%E -2.52%K -7.20%G +0.000%	2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -5.28%E -2.09%K -3.47%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-10-23 15:07
888sport🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.51%E -2.95%K -8.51%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-23 15:07
William Hill🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.51%E -2.95%K -8.51%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-23 15:06
888sport (SE)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.51%E -2.95%K -8.51%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-23 15:07
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.51%E -2.95%K -8.51%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-23 15:06
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.51%E -2.95%K -8.51%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-23 15:06
Betr (AU)🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.76%E -3.81%K -11.29%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-10-23 15:21
Paddy Power🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.38%E -4.26%K -12.77%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-10-23 15:05
theScore Bet🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.63%E -5.16%K -15.90%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-10-23 15:06
SportsBet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.38%E -4.26%K -12.77%G +0.000%	2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -7.16%E -2.90%K -4.87%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-10-23 15:06
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -3.89%E -2.52%K -7.20%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -7.91%E -3.23%K -5.45%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-23 15:18
NordicBet🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -3.89%E -2.52%K -7.20%G +0.000%	2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -8.28%E -3.39%K -5.75%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-23 15:07
Betsson🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -3.89%E -2.52%K -7.20%G +0.000%	2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -8.28%E -3.39%K -5.75%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-23 15:07
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -3.89%E -2.52%K -7.20%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -8.66%E -3.56%K -6.06%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-10-23 15:35
PlayUp🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.26%E -2.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.79%E -4.08%K -6.99%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-10-23 15:18
picklebet_au🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.51%E -2.95%K -8.51%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.79%E -4.08%K -6.99%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-10-23 15:06
LeoVegas🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.38%E -4.26%K -12.77%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.79%E -4.08%K -6.99%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-10-23 15:07
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.38%E -4.26%K -12.77%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.79%E -4.08%K -6.99%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-10-23 15:06
ReBet🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -5.76%E -3.81%K -11.29%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -10.54%E -4.43%K -7.64%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-10-23 15:07
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 60.69%EV -7.01%E -4.70%K -14.30%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -13.55%E -5.89%K -10.42%G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-10-23 15:17
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 60.48%EV -8.26%E -5.62%K -17.57%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 39.52%EV -15.42%E -6.86%K -12.34%G +0.000%	12.5%	2026-10-23 15:07

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
Novig◎	1.36I 73.53%NM 64.77%	2.50I 40.00%NM 35.23%	13.5%	2026-10-23 15:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.47I 68.03%NM 59.50%	2.16I 46.30%NM 40.50%	14.3%	2026-10-23 15:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.47I 68.03%NM 59.50%	2.16I 46.30%NM 40.50%	14.3%	2026-10-23 15:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.47I 68.03%NM 59.50%	2.16I 46.30%NM 40.50%	14.3%	2026-10-23 15:51
Matchbook◎	1.47I 68.03%NM 59.50%	2.16I 46.30%NM 40.50%	14.3%	2026-10-23 15:45