Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Yuliia Starodubtseva v Elise Mertens

Início: 2026-08-28 03:30 UTC

Final: Yuliia Starodubtseva 0–2 Elise Mertens

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Yuliia Starodubtseva (Local)

Previsão 32.40%3.09odd justa
EV -2.80%
Vantagem -0.934%
Kelly -1.40%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.40%32.63%32.45%34.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.742.892.903.0036.50%34.57%34.48%33.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Elise Mertens (Visitante)

Previsão 67.60%1.48odd justa
EV -0.628%
Vantagem -0.427%
Kelly -1.34%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.47

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
65.63%67.37%67.55%68.60%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.351.411.411.4774.07%71.08%70.92%68.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Yuliia Starodubtseva (Local): 32.40%; Elise Mertens (Visitante): 67.60%. Para Elise Mertens (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.48. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.47, com valor esperado de -0.628%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Betclic (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.80%E -0.934%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.01%E -2.82%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-28 03:11
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.80%E -0.934%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.01%E -2.82%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-27 17:31
BetAnything🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.80%E -0.934%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 02:15
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.80%E -0.934%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.71%E -4.86%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 03:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 32.20%EV -3.12%E -1.05%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.80%EV -4.01%E -2.82%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-27 19:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 32.20%EV -3.12%E -1.05%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.80%EV -4.01%E -2.82%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-27 19:40
DraftKings🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 32.04%EV -3.77%E -1.27%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 02:15
GTbets🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 33.26%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.74%EV -0.628%E -0.427%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-27 17:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.68%E -3.32%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-27 19:41
Winamax (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.68%E -3.32%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-27 17:34
ReBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.68%E -3.32%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 01:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 21:40
Fanatics🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 03:01
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.74%E -6.47%K -24.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-27 17:10
Bet Right🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -5.39%E -1.85%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -4.68%E -3.32%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 03:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.01%E -2.82%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-27 09:30
BetRivers🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.68%E -3.32%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 11:30
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.68%E -3.32%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 11:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.68%E -3.32%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 11:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.68%E -3.32%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 11:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.68%E -3.32%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 11:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.68%E -3.32%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 11:30
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.68%E -3.32%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.68%E -3.32%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 11:30
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.68%E -3.32%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 11:30
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.68%E -3.32%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 11:30
betPARX🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.68%E -3.32%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 11:30
Bally Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.68%E -3.32%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 11:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.68%E -3.32%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 11:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.68%E -3.32%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 11:30
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 01:16
NordicBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-27 17:30
LeoVegas🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 01:16
Betsson🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-27 17:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-27 17:20
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 01:16
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 01:16
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 02:00
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-27 18:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 01:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 01:16
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.69%E -2.32%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-27 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.01%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-27 18:05
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.01%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-27 18:05
Fliff🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -7.66%E -2.69%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.71%E -4.86%K -17.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-28 03:15
NetBet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -7.66%E -2.69%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -8.74%E -6.47%K -24.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-27 18:10
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.28%E -3.31%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.33%E -2.33%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-28 01:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.28%E -3.31%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.71%E -4.86%K -17.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-27 11:30
FanDuel🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -9.93%E -3.57%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -2.66%E -1.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 02:50
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.90%E -3.96%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.66%E -1.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 17:10
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.90%E -3.96%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.01%E -2.82%K -9.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-27 18:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.90%E -3.96%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.01%E -2.82%K -9.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-27 18:05
Caesars🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.90%E -3.96%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.01%E -2.82%K -9.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-27 13:55
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.90%E -3.96%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-27 21:25
SportsBet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.13%EV -11.22%E -4.10%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.87%EV -4.01%E -2.82%K -9.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-28 02:51
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%0.3%2026-08-28 03:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%0.3%2026-08-28 03:15
ProphetX◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-08-28 03:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-08-28 03:20
Matchbook◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-08-28 03:20
Novig◎3.17I 31.55%NM 30.94%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.06%2.0%2026-08-28 03:20