Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Nikola Bartunkova v Anastasia Potapova

2026-08-26 19:00 UTC — WTA Monterrey Open

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Nikola Bartunkova (Local)

Predicción 60.84%1.64momio equitativo
EV -2.65%
Ventaja -1.66%
Kelly -4.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.97%60.87%60.89%62.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.471.551.561.6068.03%64.62%64.10%62.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Anastasia Potapova (Visitante)

Predicción 39.16%2.55momio equitativo
EV +0.633%
Ventaja +0.246%
Kelly +0.403%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.01%39.13%39.11%41.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.392.382.5744.44%41.85%42.02%38.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Nikola Bartunkova (Local): 60.84%; Anastasia Potapova (Visitante): 39.16%. Para Anastasia Potapova (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.55. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.57, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.633%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
GTbets🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -8.13%E -5.38%K -15.94%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV +0.633%E +0.246%K +0.403%G +0.003%5.1%2026-08-24 06:44
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -6.30%E -4.09%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -1.32%E -0.526%K -0.871%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-24 09:14
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.91%E -4.52%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.11%E -0.843%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-24 15:14
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.74%E -5.82%K -17.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.11%E -0.843%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-24 06:14
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.74%E -5.82%K -17.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.11%E -0.843%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-24 06:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -10.56%E -7.18%K -22.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -2.11%E -0.843%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-24 08:34
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -8.74%E -5.82%K -17.47%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -3.28%E -1.33%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 09:14
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.48%E -2.85%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-24 14:27
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-24 09:20
Bet Right🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.69%E -3.67%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-24 15:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.30%E -4.09%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-24 09:19
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.46%E -1.83%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 09:20
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -6.30%E -4.09%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -4.46%E -1.83%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 09:14
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -6.30%E -4.09%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -4.46%E -1.83%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 09:13
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.69%E -3.67%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.02%E -2.51%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 10:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.69%E -3.67%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.02%E -2.51%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 14:34
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.91%E -4.52%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.02%E -2.51%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-24 09:14
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.91%E -4.52%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.02%E -2.51%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-24 09:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.52%E -4.95%K -14.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.02%E -2.51%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 09:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -4.48%E -2.85%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -6.41%E -2.68%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-24 09:14
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.48%E -2.85%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.81%E -2.86%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-24 09:20
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.91%E -4.52%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.81%E -2.86%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-24 09:19
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.91%E -4.52%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.81%E -2.86%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-24 09:19
ReBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -8.13%E -5.38%K -15.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -6.81%E -2.86%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-24 16:04
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -3.26%E -2.05%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -7.59%E -3.22%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-24 09:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -3.26%E -2.05%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -7.98%E -3.40%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-24 10:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.87%E -2.45%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.98%E -3.40%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-24 09:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.87%E -2.45%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.98%E -3.40%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-24 09:09
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.48%E -2.85%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.98%E -3.40%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 09:09
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.48%E -2.85%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.98%E -3.40%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 09:09
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.48%E -2.85%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.98%E -3.40%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 09:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.48%E -2.85%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.98%E -3.40%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 09:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.48%E -2.85%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.98%E -3.40%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 09:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.48%E -2.85%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.98%E -3.40%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 09:09
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.48%E -2.85%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.98%E -3.40%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 09:09
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.48%E -2.85%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.98%E -3.40%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 09:09
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.48%E -2.85%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.98%E -3.40%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 09:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.48%E -2.85%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.98%E -3.40%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 09:09
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.48%E -2.85%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.98%E -3.40%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 09:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.48%E -2.85%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.98%E -3.40%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 09:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.89%EV -9.34%E -6.27%K -19.07%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.11%EV -9.16%E -3.95%K -6.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-24 09:13
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.65%E -1.66%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.94%E -4.32%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-24 14:28
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.65%E -1.66%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.94%E -4.32%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-24 14:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.94%E -4.32%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-24 09:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -9.95%E -6.72%K -20.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -11.90%E -5.29%K -9.52%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-24 09:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.48%EV -10.56%E -7.18%K -22.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.52%EV -11.90%E -5.29%K -9.52%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-24 09:13
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%4.3%2026-08-24 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%5.2%2026-08-24 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%5.2%2026-08-24 15:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%5.2%2026-08-24 15:54
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%8.8%2026-08-24 16:14
Novig1.46I 68.49%NM 61.68%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%11.0%2026-08-24 09:19