Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Janice Tjen v Dayana Yastremska

Inicio: 2026-08-24 22:30 UTC

Final: Janice Tjen 2–1 Dayana Yastremska

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Janice Tjen (Local)

Predicción 65.49%1.53momio equitativo
EV -1.77%
Ventaja -1.18%
Kelly -3.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.73%65.42%65.63%66.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.391.461.451.5071.94%68.64%68.97%66.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Dayana Yastremska (Visitante)

Predicción 34.51%2.90momio equitativo
EV +0.776%
Ventaja +0.266%
Kelly +0.404%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.92

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.33%34.58%34.37%36.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.552.702.712.9239.22%37.00%36.83%34.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Janice Tjen (Local): 65.49%; Dayana Yastremska (Visitante): 34.51%. Para Dayana Yastremska (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.90. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.92, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.776%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.67%EV -4.39%E -3.01%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.33%EV +0.776%E +0.266%K +0.404%G +0.003%2.7%2026-08-24 21:30
Bovada🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.64%E -0.575%K -0.887%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-24 22:18
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -1.99%E -0.699%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-24 20:44
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.35%EV -6.35%E -4.44%K -14.77%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.65%EV -2.68%E -0.949%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-24 22:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.08%E -2.08%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.37%E -1.20%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-24 21:39
Fanatics🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.35%E -4.44%K -14.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.37%E -1.20%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-24 22:19
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.35%E -4.44%K -14.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.37%E -1.20%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-24 22:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.26%EV -3.08%E -2.08%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.74%EV -4.06%E -1.46%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-24 21:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.26%EV -3.08%E -2.08%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.74%EV -4.06%E -1.46%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-24 21:39
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%EV -7.66%E -5.43%K -18.69%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -4.06%E -1.46%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-24 22:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.73%E -2.54%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-24 21:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.73%E -2.54%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-24 21:38
Bet Right🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.04%E -3.48%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-24 21:30
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.04%E -3.48%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-24 22:19
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-24 22:20
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-24 21:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-24 22:20
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-24 18:15
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-24 18:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-24 22:20
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-24 21:40
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-24 18:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-24 22:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-24 18:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-24 18:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-24 22:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.35%E -4.44%K -14.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-24 22:20
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.32%E -5.94%K -20.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-24 22:14
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.32%E -5.94%K -20.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-24 22:14
BetAnything🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.93%EV -3.08%E -2.08%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.07%EV -5.44%E -1.98%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-24 21:40
ReBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.39%E -3.01%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -6.13%E -2.25%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-24 21:39
GTbets🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.52%EV -2.42%E -1.63%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.48%EV -6.47%E -2.39%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-24 21:40
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.04%E -3.48%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.82%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-24 22:20
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.04%E -3.48%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.82%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-24 21:40
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.04%E -3.48%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.82%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-24 21:39
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.04%E -3.48%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.82%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-24 14:59
NetBet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.76%EV -8.97%E -6.45%K -23.01%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.24%EV -7.85%E -2.94%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-24 21:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.77%E -1.18%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.54%E -3.22%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-24 16:44
Caesars🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.04%E -3.48%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.54%E -3.22%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-24 16:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.54%E -3.22%K -5.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 21:44
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.42%E -1.63%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -9.23%E -3.51%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 16:44
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.42%E -1.63%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -9.23%E -3.51%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 16:44
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.42%E -1.63%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -9.23%E -3.51%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 16:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.42%E -1.63%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -9.23%E -3.51%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 16:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.42%E -1.63%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -9.23%E -3.51%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 16:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.42%E -1.63%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -9.23%E -3.51%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 16:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.42%E -1.63%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -9.23%E -3.51%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 16:44
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.42%E -1.63%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -9.23%E -3.51%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 16:44
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.42%E -1.63%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -9.23%E -3.51%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 16:44
Bally Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.42%E -1.63%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -9.23%E -3.51%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 16:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.42%E -1.63%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -9.23%E -3.51%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 16:44
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.42%E -1.63%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -9.23%E -3.51%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 16:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.42%E -1.63%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -9.23%E -3.51%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 16:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.42%E -1.63%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -9.23%E -3.51%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 16:44
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.58%E -3.66%K -5.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-24 15:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.58%E -3.66%K -5.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-24 14:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.08%E -2.08%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.27%E -3.95%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-24 14:59
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.08%E -2.08%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.27%E -3.95%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-24 14:59
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.27%E -3.95%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-24 20:50
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.27%E -3.95%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-24 20:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.04%E -3.48%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -11.99%E -4.70%K -7.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-24 21:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.04%E -3.48%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -11.99%E -4.70%K -7.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-24 16:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.18%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.82%0.6%2026-08-24 22:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-08-24 22:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-08-24 22:20
Matchbook◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-08-24 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-08-24 22:14
ProphetX◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-08-24 22:14