Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Diane Parry v Elise Mertens

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-29 23:33 UTC

Score final : Diane Parry 2–1 Elise Mertens

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Diane Parry (Local)

Prévision 42.41%2.36cote équitable
EV +2.63%
Avantage +1.09%
Kelly +1.85%
Croissance +0.049%

avec la cote maximale 2.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.39%42.53%42.26%45.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.052.242.252.4248.78%44.62%44.44%41.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Elise Mertens (Visiteur)

Prévision 57.59%1.74cote équitable
EV +0.209%
Avantage +0.120%
Kelly +0.282%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 1.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.67%57.47%57.74%59.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.571.641.621.7463.69%60.94%61.73%57.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Diane Parry (Local) : 42.41% ; Elise Mertens (Visiteur) : 57.59%. Pour Diane Parry (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.36. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.42, soit une espérance positive de +2.63%.

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV +2.63%E +1.09%K +1.85%G +0.049%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -5.55%E -3.38%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-29 23:15
GTbets🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV +0.085%E +0.036%K +0.062%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -6.70%E -4.14%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 23:25
DraftKings🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV +0.085%E +0.036%K +0.062%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -7.85%E -4.91%K -13.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 23:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -2.46%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -4.40%E -2.65%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-29 23:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.46%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.70%E -4.14%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 23:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.46%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.70%E -4.14%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 23:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.46%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.70%E -4.14%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 23:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.46%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.70%E -4.14%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 23:30
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.46%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.70%E -4.14%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 23:25
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.46%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.70%E -4.14%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 23:30
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.46%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.70%E -4.14%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 23:31
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.46%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.70%E -4.14%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 23:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.46%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.70%E -4.14%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 23:30
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.46%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.70%E -4.14%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 23:31
Bally Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.46%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.70%E -4.14%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 23:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.46%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.70%E -4.14%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 23:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.46%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.70%E -4.14%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 23:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.46%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.70%E -4.14%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 23:25
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.46%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.70%E -4.14%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 23:30
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.46%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.70%E -4.14%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 23:31
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.46%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.85%E -4.91%K -13.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 22:15
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -2.46%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -8.43%E -5.30%K -14.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 23:08
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -2.88%E -1.26%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -6.70%E -4.14%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 23:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -2.88%E -1.26%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -7.28%E -4.52%K -11.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 23:28
Marathon Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -3.31%E -1.45%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -6.70%E -4.14%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 23:29
BetAnything🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.58%E -2.04%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.67%E -1.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-29 23:31
LowVig.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.58%E -2.04%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.67%E -1.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-29 23:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.58%E -2.04%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.67%E -1.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-29 23:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.58%E -2.04%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.70%E -4.14%K -10.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 23:30
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.58%E -2.04%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.70%E -4.14%K -10.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 23:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.58%E -2.04%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.85%E -4.91%K -13.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 23:30
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.58%E -2.04%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.85%E -4.91%K -13.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 23:31
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.58%E -2.04%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.58%E -6.10%K -16.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 23:30
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.58%E -2.04%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.58%E -6.10%K -16.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 22:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -6.70%E -3.05%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -0.943%E -0.548%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-29 23:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.70%E -3.05%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.25%E -1.93%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 23:29
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.70%E -3.05%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.25%E -1.93%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 23:30
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.70%E -3.05%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.82%E -2.29%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 23:30
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.70%E -3.05%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.82%E -2.29%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 23:30
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.70%E -3.05%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.82%E -2.29%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 23:30
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.70%E -3.05%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.70%E -4.14%K -10.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 23:30
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.70%E -3.05%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.28%E -4.52%K -11.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 23:31
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.70%E -3.05%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.28%E -4.52%K -11.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 23:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.70%E -3.05%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.28%E -4.52%K -11.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 23:30
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.70%E -3.05%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.28%E -4.52%K -11.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 23:28
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.70%E -3.05%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.85%E -4.91%K -13.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 23:27
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -7.55%E -3.46%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -3.82%E -2.29%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 23:29
SportsBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -7.55%E -3.46%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -4.97%E -3.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 23:30
NordicBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -7.97%E -3.67%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -3.82%E -2.29%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 23:30
ReBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -8.40%E -3.89%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.09%E -1.23%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 23:30
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -1.52%E -0.888%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 23:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.09%E -1.23%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 23:31
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.25%E -1.93%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 23:30
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.25%E -1.93%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 23:30
NetBet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.25%E -1.93%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 23:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.82%E -2.29%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 23:30
Betsson🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -9.25%E -4.32%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -2.67%E -1.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 23:30
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -10.94%E -5.21%K -9.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV +0.209%E +0.120%K +0.282%G +0.001%5.1%2026-08-29 23:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -13.06%E -6.37%K -12.44%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.09%E -1.23%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 23:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-08-29 23:31
Matchbook◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-08-29 23:31
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-08-29 23:31
Novig◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%0.9%2026-08-29 23:31
ProphetX◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%0.9%2026-08-29 23:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27%1.5%2026-08-29 23:31