Idioma:Español
Cristina Bucsa v Darja Vidmanova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cristina Bucsa (Local)
Predicción 44.24%2.26momio equitativo
EV -1.78%
Ventaja -0.800%
Kelly -1.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.22
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.41%44.24%44.30%45.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.152.152.2248.78%46.46%46.51%45.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Darja Vidmanova (Visitante)
Predicción 55.76%1.79momio equitativo
EV -2.99%
Ventaja -1.72%
Kelly -4.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.38%55.76%55.70%57.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.611.691.681.7462.11%59.29%59.52%57.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Cristina Bucsa (Local): 44.24%; Darja Vidmanova (Visitante): 55.76%. Para Cristina Bucsa (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.26. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.22, con un valor esperado de -1.78%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -1.78%E -0.800%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -6.33%E -3.77%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-26 17:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -2.22%E -1.00%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -6.33%E -3.77%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-26 11:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.77%E -3.42%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-26 10:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -8.56%E -5.22%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-26 17:22 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.68%E -5.97%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-26 17:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.68%E -5.97%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-26 17:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.33%E -3.77%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 21:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.33%E -3.77%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 10:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.33%E -3.77%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 10:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.33%E -3.77%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 10:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.33%E -3.77%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 10:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.33%E -3.77%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 10:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.33%E -3.77%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 10:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.33%E -3.77%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 10:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.33%E -3.77%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 10:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.33%E -3.77%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 10:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.33%E -3.77%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 10:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.33%E -3.77%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 10:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.33%E -3.77%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 10:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.33%E -3.77%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 10:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.33%E -3.77%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 10:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -6.89%E -4.12%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-26 11:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -3.99%E -1.84%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -3.54%E -2.05%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-26 21:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -3.99%E -1.84%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -3.54%E -2.05%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-26 21:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.99%E -1.84%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-26 21:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -3.99%E -1.84%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -6.33%E -3.77%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-26 21:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.71%EV -4.43%E -2.05%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.29%EV -10.23%E -6.36%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-26 10:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.99%E -1.72%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-26 21:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.54%E -2.05%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-26 21:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-26 21:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.66%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-26 10:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.66%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-26 21:18 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.77%E -3.42%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-26 14:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.77%E -3.42%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-26 10:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.77%E -3.42%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-26 21:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.33%E -3.77%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-26 20:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.33%E -3.77%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-26 11:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.33%E -3.77%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-26 11:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.00%E -4.85%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-26 11:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.00%E -4.85%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-26 11:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.32%E -2.48%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-26 21:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.32%E -2.48%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.66%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-26 21:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -5.32%E -2.48%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -8.00%E -4.85%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-26 10:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.20%E -2.93%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-26 21:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.20%E -2.93%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-26 21:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.09%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.54%E -2.05%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 10:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.09%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.54%E -2.05%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 10:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.09%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.54%E -2.05%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 10:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.09%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.54%E -2.05%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 10:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.09%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.89%E -4.12%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-26 16:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.09%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.89%E -4.12%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-26 16:23 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -8.41%E -4.06%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -8.00%E -4.85%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-26 20:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.30%E -4.54%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-26 21:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.30%E -4.54%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-26 10:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -9.30%E -4.54%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -6.89%E -4.12%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-26 21:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-08-26 21:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-08-26 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22% | 1.1% | 2026-08-26 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22% | 1.1% | 2026-08-26 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22% | 1.1% | 2026-08-26 21:19 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86% | 1.1% | 2026-08-26 21:25 |