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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Clara Tauson v Diane Parry

Inicio: 2026-08-28 01:44 UTC

Final: Clara Tauson 0–2 Diane Parry

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Clara Tauson (Local)

Predicción 61.45%1.63momio equitativo
EV -1.07%
Ventaja -0.664%
Kelly -1.75%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.10%61.57%61.56%63.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.451.541.531.6168.97%65.13%65.36%62.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Diane Parry (Visitante)

Predicción 38.55%2.59momio equitativo
EV +0.235%
Ventaja +0.090%
Kelly +0.147%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.25%38.43%38.44%39.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.352.472.502.6042.55%40.44%40.00%38.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Clara Tauson (Local): 61.45%; Diane Parry (Visitante): 38.55%. Para Diane Parry (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.59. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.60, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.235%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.235%E +0.090%K +0.147%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 20:35
ReBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -0.150%E -0.058%K -0.095%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 00:30
GTbets🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -7.21%E -4.78%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -0.536%E -0.208%K -0.339%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-27 20:10
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.59%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.41%EV -1.31%E -0.511%K -0.838%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-27 14:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.37%E -3.49%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.69%E -0.664%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-27 21:10
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.69%E -0.664%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-27 16:05
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.69%E -0.664%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-27 16:10
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.69%E -0.664%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 01:21
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -10.90%E -7.52%K -24.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -1.69%E -0.664%K -1.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-27 16:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -4.14%E -2.65%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -2.46%E -0.974%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-28 01:19
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.53%E -2.25%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.62%E -1.45%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-28 00:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.37%E -3.49%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.62%E -1.45%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-28 00:01
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.37%E -3.49%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.62%E -1.45%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-27 21:10
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.62%E -1.45%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 01:20
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.62%E -1.45%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 20:30
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.62%E -1.45%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 20:31
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.62%E -1.45%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 20:31
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.62%E -1.45%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 20:31
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.62%E -1.45%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 20:31
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.62%E -1.45%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 20:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.62%E -1.45%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 20:31
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.62%E -1.45%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 20:31
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.62%E -1.45%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 20:31
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.62%E -1.45%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 20:30
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.62%E -1.45%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 20:30
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.62%E -1.45%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 20:31
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.62%E -1.45%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 20:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.62%E -1.45%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 20:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.62%E -1.45%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 20:31
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.62%E -1.45%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 01:25
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.62%E -1.45%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-28 01:35
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.62%E -1.45%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-27 14:45
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -9.06%E -6.12%K -18.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -3.62%E -1.45%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-27 14:45
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -1.07%E -0.664%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -4.01%E -1.61%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-28 01:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -1.68%E -1.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -4.39%E -1.77%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-28 00:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -1.68%E -1.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -4.39%E -1.77%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-28 00:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -4.39%E -1.77%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-27 20:10
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.53%E -2.25%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.55%E -2.26%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 00:14
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.14%E -2.65%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.55%E -2.26%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-28 00:15
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.76%E -3.07%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.55%E -2.26%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 01:29
Bet Right🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.76%E -3.07%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.55%E -2.26%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 01:21
Betr (AU)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.37%E -3.49%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.55%E -2.26%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 01:25
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.37%E -3.49%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.55%E -2.26%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 23:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.55%E -2.26%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-28 01:35
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.55%E -2.26%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-27 20:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.55%E -2.26%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-27 20:30
DraftKings🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -2.91%E -1.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -7.09%E -2.94%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 01:30
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.76%E -3.07%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.48%E -3.11%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-28 01:21
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.48%E -3.11%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-27 20:10
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.48%E -3.11%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-27 20:10
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.53%E -2.25%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.25%E -3.46%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 00:15
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.53%E -2.25%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.25%E -3.46%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 00:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.53%E -2.25%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.25%E -3.46%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 00:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.53%E -2.25%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.25%E -3.46%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 00:10
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.25%E -3.46%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-28 00:14
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.25%E -3.46%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-28 00:16
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.14%E -2.65%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.40%E -4.00%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-28 00:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.76%E -3.07%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.40%E -4.00%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-27 20:10
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.76%E -3.07%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.40%E -4.00%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-27 20:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.40%E -4.00%K -6.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-28 00:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-08-28 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-08-28 01:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-08-28 01:35
Matchbook◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-08-28 01:25
Novig◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67%2.53I 39.53%NM 39.33%0.5%2026-08-28 01:35