La escuela de los momios

Sofia Kenin v Anna Blinkova

Inicio: 2026-03-17 23:20 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sofia Kenin (Local)

Predicción 60.42%1.66momio equitativo
EV -2.12%
Ventaja -1.31%
Kelly -3.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.29%60.37%60.45%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.581.581.6266.67%63.37%63.29%61.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Anna Blinkova (Visitante)

Predicción 39.58%2.53momio equitativo
EV -1.05%
Ventaja -0.421%
Kelly -0.702%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.50%39.63%39.55%41.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.362.352.5045.45%42.32%42.55%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.12%E -1.31%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.80%E -2.44%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-17 23:15
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -2.12%E -1.31%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -8.57%E -3.71%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 23:14
Coolbet1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.72%E -1.69%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.03%E -1.24%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-17 23:15
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.72%E -1.69%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.99%E -2.97%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 23:14
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -2.72%E -1.69%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -10.95%E -4.87%K -8.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 23:15
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.33%E -2.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.84%E -0.744%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-17 23:15
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.33%E -2.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.84%E -0.744%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-17 23:15
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.33%E -2.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -3.03%E -1.24%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-17 23:15
GTbets1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -3.33%E -2.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -6.59%E -2.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 23:13
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.33%E -2.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.99%E -2.97%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 23:15
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.33%E -2.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.99%E -2.97%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 23:15
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.33%E -2.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.99%E -2.97%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 23:15
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.33%E -2.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.99%E -2.97%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 23:15
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.33%E -2.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.99%E -2.97%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 23:15
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.33%E -2.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.99%E -2.97%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 23:15
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.33%E -2.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.99%E -2.97%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 23:15
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.33%E -2.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.99%E -2.97%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 23:15
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.33%E -2.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.99%E -2.97%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 23:15
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.33%E -2.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.99%E -2.97%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 23:15
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.33%E -2.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.97%E -3.90%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 23:15
Pinnacle1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.93%E -2.47%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.05%E -0.421%K -0.702%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-17 23:15
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.93%E -2.47%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.01%E -2.09%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-17 23:14
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.93%E -2.47%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.01%E -2.09%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-17 23:08
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.93%E -2.47%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.97%E -3.90%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 23:08
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.53%E -2.87%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.01%E -2.09%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 23:09
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.53%E -2.87%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.01%E -2.09%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 23:09
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.53%E -2.87%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.01%E -2.09%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 23:10
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.53%E -2.87%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.01%E -2.09%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 23:14
ReBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.53%E -2.87%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.01%E -2.09%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 23:09
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.53%E -2.87%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.97%E -3.90%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 23:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -4.53%E -2.87%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -10.95%E -4.87%K -8.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 23:15
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -4.53%E -2.87%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -10.95%E -4.87%K -8.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 23:15
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.14%E -3.27%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.01%E -2.09%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 23:15
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.14%E -3.27%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.01%E -2.09%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 23:15
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.14%E -3.27%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.01%E -2.09%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 23:15
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.14%E -3.27%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.01%E -2.09%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 23:15
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.14%E -3.27%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.01%E -2.09%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 23:14
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.14%E -3.27%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.80%E -2.44%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-17 23:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.14%E -3.27%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.80%E -2.44%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-17 23:15
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.14%E -3.27%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.80%E -2.44%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-17 23:14
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.14%E -3.27%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.80%E -2.44%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-17 23:15
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.14%E -3.27%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.99%E -2.97%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-17 23:15
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.14%E -3.27%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -8.18%E -3.52%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 23:15
PMU (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.14%E -3.27%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.97%E -3.90%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 23:15
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.14%E -3.27%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.97%E -3.90%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 23:15
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.14%E -3.27%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.97%E -3.90%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 23:15
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.14%E -3.27%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.95%E -4.87%K -8.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-17 23:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.14%E -3.27%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.95%E -4.87%K -8.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-17 23:15
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.74%E -3.68%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.22%E -1.74%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 23:14
Parions Sport (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.74%E -3.68%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.99%E -2.97%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 23:10
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.74%E -3.68%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.99%E -2.97%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 23:15
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -5.74%E -3.68%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -12.93%E -5.88%K -10.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 23:15
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.35%E -4.10%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.01%E -2.09%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-17 23:15
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.35%E -4.10%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.99%E -2.97%K -5.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 23:15
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -7.56%E -4.94%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -2.64%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 23:15
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.56%E -4.94%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -6.99%E -2.97%K -5.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 23:12
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -8.16%E -5.37%K -15.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -3.03%E -1.24%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 23:15
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.37%E -6.25%K -18.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.05%E -0.421%K -0.702%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 23:15
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -9.37%E -6.25%K -18.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.97%E -3.90%K -6.90%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 23:08
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%0.2%2026-03-17 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-03-17 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-03-17 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.1%2026-03-17 23:15
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.4%2026-03-17 23:15
Novig1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%2.5%2026-03-17 23:15
ProphetX1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%2.5%2026-03-17 23:15