Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Peyton Stearns v Jaqueline Cristian

Inicio: 2026-03-21 01:40 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Peyton Stearns (Local)

Predicción 58.28%1.72momio equitativo
EV -2.67%
Ventaja -1.60%
Kelly -3.99%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.85%58.15%58.32%59.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.601.641.641.6762.50%60.90%60.98%59.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Jaqueline Cristian (Visitante)

Predicción 41.72%2.40momio equitativo
EV -1.54%
Ventaja -0.652%
Kelly -1.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.76%41.85%41.68%43.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.172.252.252.3646.08%44.42%44.44%42.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Peyton Stearns (Local): 58.28%; Jaqueline Cristian (Visitante): 41.72%. Para Jaqueline Cristian (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.40. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.36, con un valor esperado de -1.54%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -2.67%E -1.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -3.21%E -1.38%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-21 01:29
Coolbet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -2.67%E -1.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -3.21%E -1.38%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-21 01:30
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.67%E -1.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 01:29
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.67%E -1.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 01:29
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.67%E -1.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 01:30
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.67%E -1.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 01:30
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.67%E -1.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 01:30
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.67%E -1.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 01:30
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.67%E -1.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 01:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.67%E -1.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 01:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.67%E -1.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 01:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.67%E -1.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 01:30
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.67%E -1.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 01:30
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.67%E -1.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 01:30
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.67%E -1.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 01:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.67%E -1.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 01:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.67%E -1.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 01:30
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.67%E -1.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 01:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.67%E -1.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 01:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.67%E -1.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 01:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.67%E -1.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 01:29
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -3.26%E -1.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -1.96%E -0.832%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-21 01:35
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.84%E -2.33%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 01:29
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.84%E -2.33%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 01:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.84%E -2.33%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 01:35
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.84%E -2.33%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 01:35
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.84%E -2.33%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 01:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -4.42%E -2.70%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -1.54%E -0.652%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 01:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -4.42%E -2.70%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -1.54%E -0.652%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 01:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -4.42%E -2.70%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -1.96%E -0.832%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-21 01:30
FanDuel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.79%EV -4.42%E -2.70%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.21%EV -2.37%E -1.01%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 01:30
Bet Right🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.42%E -2.70%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.71%E -2.53%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 01:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -4.42%E -2.70%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -9.47%E -4.36%K -8.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 01:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -4.42%E -2.70%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -9.47%E -4.36%K -8.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 01:30
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.01%E -3.07%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 01:30
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.01%E -3.07%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 01:30
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.01%E -3.07%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 01:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.01%E -3.07%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 01:34
ReBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.01%E -3.07%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 01:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.01%E -3.07%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.29%E -2.33%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 01:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.01%E -3.07%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 01:35
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.01%E -3.07%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 01:30
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 01:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 01:30
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 01:29
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 01:30
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 01:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 01:30
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 01:30
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -6.17%E -3.83%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -2.37%E -1.01%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 01:30
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.17%E -3.83%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.21%E -1.38%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 01:30
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -6.17%E -3.83%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -4.88%E -2.14%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 01:30
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.17%E -3.83%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 01:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.75%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 01:30
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.75%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 01:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.75%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 01:29
Everygame🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.75%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 01:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.75%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 01:30
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.75%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 01:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26%0.1%2026-03-21 01:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-03-21 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-03-21 01:35
ProphetX1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-03-21 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-03-21 01:30
Novig1.66I 60.24%NM 59.21%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.79%1.7%2026-03-21 01:30
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-03-21 01:30