La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Mirra Andreeva v Marie Bouzkova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Mirra Andreeva (Local)
Predicción 69.71%1.43momio equitativo
EV +11.54%
Ventaja +7.21%
Kelly +19.23%
Crecimiento +2.22%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.44%68.91%69.82%81.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.161.361.341.6086.21%73.53%74.63%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Marie Bouzkova (Visitante)
Predicción 30.29%3.30momio equitativo
EV +52.95%
Ventaja +10.49%
Kelly +13.07%
Crecimiento +6.92%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.68%31.09%30.18%41.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.253.123.155.0544.44%32.06%31.75%19.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.32%EV -19.13%E -16.49%K -119.58%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.68%EV +52.95%E +10.49%K +13.07%G +6.92% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 18:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -7.98%E -6.04%K -24.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +6.00%E +1.72%K +2.40%G +0.144% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 18:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -10.07%E -7.81%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +6.00%E +1.72%K +2.40%G +0.144% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 18:54 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -9.37%E -7.21%K -31.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +2.98%E +0.875%K +1.24%G +0.037% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -9.37%E -7.21%K -31.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +2.98%E +0.875%K +1.24%G +0.037% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -9.37%E -7.21%K -31.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +2.98%E +0.875%K +1.24%G +0.037% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 18:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -10.77%E -8.41%K -38.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV +2.98%E +0.875%K +1.24%G +0.037% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 18:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.98%E -6.04%K -24.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +1.46%E +0.436%K +0.622%G +0.009% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 18:55 |
| Betsson | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.98%E -6.04%K -24.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +1.46%E +0.436%K +0.622%G +0.009% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 18:55 |
| Betway | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.28%E -5.48%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.053%E -0.016%K -0.023%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 18:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -9.37%E -7.21%K -31.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -0.053%E -0.016%K -0.023%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 18:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -10.07%E -7.81%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -0.053%E -0.016%K -0.023%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.58%E -4.91%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -1.57%E -0.482%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 18:55 |
| Casumo | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.58%E -4.91%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -1.57%E -0.482%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.58%E -4.91%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -1.57%E -0.482%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 18:55 |
| Unibet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.58%E -4.91%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -1.57%E -0.482%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 18:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.58%E -4.91%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -1.57%E -0.482%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.28%E -5.48%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.08%E -0.963%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 18:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.37%E -7.21%K -31.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.08%E -0.963%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 18:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.58%E -4.91%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.60%E -1.46%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 18:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.58%E -4.91%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.60%E -1.46%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.28%E -5.48%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -4.60%E -1.46%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 18:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.28%E -5.48%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -4.60%E -1.46%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 18:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.28%E -5.48%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -4.60%E -1.46%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 18:55 |
| Bally Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.28%E -5.48%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -4.60%E -1.46%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 18:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.58%E -4.91%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.11%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 18:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.98%E -6.04%K -24.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.11%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -9.37%E -7.21%K -31.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -6.11%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 18:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.07%EV -4.49%E -3.28%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.93%EV -7.32%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 18:54 |
| FanDuel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.40%E -1.72%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 18:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -1.70%E -1.21%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -11.26%E -3.84%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 18:54 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -5.19%E -3.82%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -12.77%E -4.44%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 18:54 |
| betPARX | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -0.311%E -0.217%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -13.68%E -4.80%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 18:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -0.311%E -0.217%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -13.68%E -4.80%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 18:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -0.311%E -0.217%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -13.68%E -4.80%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 18:54 |
| Fanatics | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -3.80%E -2.75%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -15.20%E -5.43%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 18:54 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -2.40%E -1.72%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -16.71%E -6.08%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 18:55 |
| Fliff | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -3.10%E -2.23%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -18.22%E -6.75%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 18:54 |
| Bet Victor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV +1.08%E +0.747%K +2.41%G +0.026% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -20.65%E -7.88%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 18:54 |
| Bovada | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV +7.36%E +4.78%K +13.63%G +1.00% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -22.77%E -8.93%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 18:51 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV +8.75%E +5.61%K +15.63%G +1.37% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -23.68%E -9.40%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-21 18:49 |
| Caesars | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV +6.66%E +4.35%K +12.57%G +0.837% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -27.31%E -11.38%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 18:50 |
| TAB | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV +11.54%E +7.21%K +19.23%G +2.22% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -31.85%E -14.16%K -25.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 18:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-03-21 18:54 |
| ProphetX | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85% | 2.0% | 2026-03-21 18:55 |
| Novig | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.65% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.35% | 2.7% | 2026-03-21 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 18:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.90% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 18:40 |