La escuela de los momios

Maria Sakkari v Alycia Parks

Inicio: 2026-03-20 18:40 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Maria Sakkari (Local)

Predicción 65.54%1.53momio equitativo
EV +2.90%
Ventaja +1.85%
Kelly +5.09%
Crecimiento +0.147%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.43%66.13%64.73%74.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.281.401.401.5778.13%71.27%71.17%63.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Alycia Parks (Visitante)

Predicción 34.46%2.90momio equitativo
EV +28.53%
Ventaja +7.65%
Kelly +10.45%
Crecimiento +2.98%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.99%33.87%35.27%40.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.932.733.7343.48%34.18%36.70%26.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.31I 76.34%NM 74.01%EV -14.14%E -10.79%K -45.62%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.99%EV +28.53%E +7.65%K +10.45%G +2.98%3.1%2026-03-20 18:15
Bet Right1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -14.80%E -11.38%K -49.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +22.33%E +6.29%K +8.76%G +1.96%5.1%2026-03-20 18:05
ReBet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -14.80%E -11.38%K -49.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +22.33%E +6.29%K +8.76%G +1.96%5.1%2026-03-20 17:39
1xBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -14.14%E -10.79%K -45.62%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV +21.64%E +6.13%K +8.55%G +1.85%4.7%2026-03-20 18:00
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -14.80%E -11.38%K -49.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +20.61%E +5.89%K +8.24%G +1.70%5.5%2026-03-20 17:59
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -14.80%E -11.38%K -49.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +20.61%E +5.89%K +8.24%G +1.70%5.5%2026-03-20 17:40
BetUS1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -15.45%E -11.98%K -53.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +20.61%E +5.89%K +8.24%G +1.70%6.1%2026-03-20 17:40
LowVig.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -13.49%E -10.22%K -42.14%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV +20.26%E +5.81%K +8.14%G +1.65%4.4%2026-03-20 17:40
BetOnline.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -13.49%E -10.22%K -42.14%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV +20.26%E +5.81%K +8.14%G +1.65%4.4%2026-03-20 17:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -14.80%E -11.38%K -49.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV +18.88%E +5.47%K +7.71%G +1.46%5.9%2026-03-20 17:40
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -14.80%E -11.38%K -49.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV +18.88%E +5.47%K +7.71%G +1.46%5.9%2026-03-20 17:40
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -14.80%E -11.38%K -49.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV +18.88%E +5.47%K +7.71%G +1.46%5.9%2026-03-20 17:40
Unibet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -14.80%E -11.38%K -49.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV +18.88%E +5.47%K +7.71%G +1.46%5.9%2026-03-20 17:39
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -16.11%E -12.58%K -57.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV +18.88%E +5.47%K +7.71%G +1.46%7.1%2026-03-20 17:40
NetBet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -16.11%E -12.58%K -57.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV +18.88%E +5.47%K +7.71%G +1.46%7.1%2026-03-20 17:38
GTbets1.30I 76.92%NM 72.40%EV -14.80%E -11.38%K -49.32%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.60%EV +17.51%E +5.13%K +7.26%G +1.27%6.2%2026-03-20 17:40
PMU (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -15.45%E -11.98%K -53.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV +17.16%E +5.05%K +7.15%G +1.23%6.9%2026-03-20 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -14.80%E -11.38%K -49.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV +13.71%E +4.16%K +5.96%G +0.818%7.2%2026-03-20 18:09
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -14.80%E -11.38%K -49.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV +13.71%E +4.16%K +5.96%G +0.818%7.2%2026-03-20 18:09
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -16.11%E -12.58%K -57.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV +13.71%E +4.16%K +5.96%G +0.818%8.4%2026-03-20 17:40
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -8.24%E -5.89%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +3.38%E +1.13%K +1.69%G +0.057%4.8%2026-03-20 18:19
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -9.55%E -6.92%K -25.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +3.38%E +1.13%K +1.69%G +0.057%5.8%2026-03-20 18:20
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -9.55%E -6.92%K -25.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV +1.65%E +0.561%K +0.848%G +0.014%6.4%2026-03-20 18:20
Coolbet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -7.59%E -5.38%K -18.51%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV +0.965%E +0.329%K +0.500%G +0.005%5.1%2026-03-20 18:18
LiveScore Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -10.21%E -7.45%K -27.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -0.069%E -0.024%K -0.036%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 18:20
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -10.86%E -7.99%K -30.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -0.069%E -0.024%K -0.036%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 18:20
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -10.86%E -7.99%K -30.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -0.758%E -0.263%K -0.403%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-20 18:20
Winamax (DE)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -9.55%E -6.92%K -25.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -1.79%E -0.629%K -0.969%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 18:20
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -9.55%E -6.92%K -25.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -3.51%E -1.26%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 18:20
Winamax (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -9.55%E -6.92%K -25.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -5.24%E -1.90%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 18:20
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.00%E -2.03%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.96%E -2.58%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 18:20
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.65%E -2.49%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.96%E -2.58%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 18:20
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.65%E -2.49%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.96%E -2.58%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 18:20
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.65%E -2.49%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.96%E -2.58%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 18:20
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.65%E -2.49%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.96%E -2.58%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 18:20
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.65%E -2.49%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.96%E -2.58%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 18:20
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.65%E -2.49%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.96%E -2.58%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 18:20
Svenska Spel1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.65%E -2.49%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.96%E -2.58%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.62%E -3.90%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.96%E -2.58%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-20 18:20
Fliff1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -8.90%E -6.40%K -22.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -6.96%E -2.58%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-20 18:20
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 64.73%EV -4.31%E -2.95%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.27%EV -7.65%E -2.85%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 18:20
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.97%E -3.42%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.68%E -3.28%K -5.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 18:20
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.97%E -3.42%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.68%E -3.28%K -5.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 18:20
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -4.97%E -3.42%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -9.37%E -3.56%K -5.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 18:20
Bally Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -5.62%E -3.90%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -9.37%E -3.56%K -5.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 18:20
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.62%E -3.90%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.72%E -3.71%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 18:20
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -3.65%E -2.49%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -10.41%E -4.00%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-20 18:20
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -6.28%E -4.39%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -10.41%E -4.00%K -6.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-20 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -6.28%E -4.39%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -10.41%E -4.00%K -6.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-20 18:20
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.69%E -1.13%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.13%E -4.76%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 18:19
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -1.69%E -1.13%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -13.85%E -5.54%K -9.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 18:19
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -1.69%E -1.13%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -13.85%E -5.54%K -9.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 18:19
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV +1.59%E +1.02%K +2.89%G +0.046%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -15.58%E -6.36%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 18:20
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -1.69%E -1.13%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -15.58%E -6.36%K -10.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 18:18
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV +1.59%E +1.02%K +2.89%G +0.046%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -17.30%E -7.21%K -12.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 18:20
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV +0.278%E +0.182%K +0.524%G +0.001%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -17.30%E -7.21%K -12.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 18:20
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV +0.278%E +0.182%K +0.524%G +0.001%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -17.99%E -7.56%K -13.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 18:20
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV +0.278%E +0.182%K +0.524%G +0.001%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -17.99%E -7.56%K -13.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 18:20
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV +0.278%E +0.182%K +0.524%G +0.001%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -17.99%E -7.56%K -13.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 18:20
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV +2.90%E +1.85%K +5.09%G +0.147%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -20.74%E -9.02%K -15.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 18:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-03-20 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-03-20 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-03-20 18:20
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%1.8%2026-03-20 18:20
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%1.8%2026-03-20 18:20
Novig1.48I 67.57%NM 63.37%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.63%6.6%2026-03-20 18:20