La escuela de los momios

Linda Noskova v Sorana Cirstea

Inicio: 2026-03-20 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Linda Noskova (Local)

Predicción 52.74%1.90momio equitativo
EV -1.38%
Ventaja -0.738%
Kelly -1.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%53.38%52.63%63.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.751.781.8766.67%57.09%56.18%53.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sorana Cirstea (Visitante)

Predicción 47.26%2.12momio equitativo
EV +25.25%
Ventaja +9.53%
Kelly +15.30%
Crecimiento +3.86%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.14%46.62%47.37%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.822.041.982.6554.95%48.97%50.63%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -20.89%E -13.93%K -41.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +25.25%E +9.53%K +15.30%G +3.86%4.4%2026-03-20 14:43
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -19.84%E -13.05%K -38.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV +13.43%E +5.60%K +9.59%G +1.29%7.5%2026-03-20 14:45
Coolbet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -16.15%E -10.16%K -27.37%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV +12.01%E +5.07%K +8.77%G +1.05%5.1%2026-03-20 14:44
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -17.73%E -11.36%K -31.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV +11.07%E +4.71%K +8.20%G +0.907%6.7%2026-03-20 14:43
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -17.20%E -10.96%K -30.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +8.70%E +3.78%K +6.69%G +0.583%7.2%2026-03-20 14:45
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -11.93%E -7.14%K -17.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV +5.40%E +2.42%K +4.39%G +0.237%4.7%2026-03-20 14:35
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -11.93%E -7.14%K -17.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +3.98%E +1.81%K +3.31%G +0.132%5.3%2026-03-20 14:29
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -13.51%E -8.24%K -21.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV +3.98%E +1.81%K +3.31%G +0.132%6.4%2026-03-20 14:30
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -14.57%E -8.99%K -23.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +3.98%E +1.81%K +3.31%G +0.132%7.2%2026-03-20 14:29
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -11.93%E -7.14%K -17.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV +2.56%E +1.18%K +2.19%G +0.056%6.0%2026-03-20 14:33
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -6.65%E -3.76%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV +1.61%E +0.751%K +1.40%G +0.023%3.0%2026-03-20 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -13.51%E -8.24%K -21.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV +1.61%E +0.751%K +1.40%G +0.023%7.5%2026-03-20 14:29
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -13.51%E -8.24%K -21.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV +1.61%E +0.751%K +1.40%G +0.023%7.5%2026-03-20 14:29
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -9.29%E -5.40%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV +0.196%E +0.093%K +0.175%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 14:29
Betr (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -9.82%E -5.74%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -0.749%E -0.357%K -0.681%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 14:37
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -9.82%E -5.74%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -0.749%E -0.357%K -0.681%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 14:29
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -10.35%E -6.09%K -14.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -0.749%E -0.357%K -0.681%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 14:44
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -11.93%E -7.14%K -17.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -0.749%E -0.357%K -0.681%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 14:44
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -6.13%E -3.44%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -1.22%E -0.585%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 14:40
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -6.13%E -3.44%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -1.22%E -0.585%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 14:40
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.65%E -3.76%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.11%E -1.52%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 14:44
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.71%E -4.41%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.11%E -1.52%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 14:40
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -9.82%E -5.74%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -3.11%E -1.52%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 14:45
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.07%E -2.82%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.48%E -2.74%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:45
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.76%E -5.07%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.48%E -2.74%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 14:45
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -10.87%E -6.43%K -15.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -5.48%E -2.74%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-20 14:45
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.65%E -3.76%K -8.64%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -6.42%E -3.24%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 14:45
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.49%E -1.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.89%E -3.50%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 14:45
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.49%E -1.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.37%E -3.76%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 14:45
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.49%E -1.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.37%E -3.76%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 14:45
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.49%E -1.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.37%E -3.76%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 14:45
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.49%E -1.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.37%E -3.76%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 14:45
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.49%E -1.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.37%E -3.76%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 14:45
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.49%E -1.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.37%E -3.76%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 14:45
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.49%E -1.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.37%E -3.76%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 14:45
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.38%E -0.738%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.84%E -4.02%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 14:45
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.44%E -1.32%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.84%E -4.02%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 14:45
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.44%E -1.32%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.84%E -4.02%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 14:45
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV -4.54%E -2.51%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -8.31%E -4.28%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 14:45
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV -4.54%E -2.51%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -8.31%E -4.28%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 14:45
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -5.07%E -2.82%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -8.31%E -4.28%K -8.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 14:45
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -5.07%E -2.82%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -8.31%E -4.28%K -8.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 14:45
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -5.07%E -2.82%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -8.78%E -4.55%K -9.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 14:45
Bally Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -5.07%E -2.82%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -8.78%E -4.55%K -9.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 14:45
LeoVegas1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -6.13%E -3.44%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -9.26%E -4.82%K -10.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-20 14:45
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.49%E -1.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.73%E -5.09%K -10.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 14:45
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.07%E -2.82%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.73%E -5.09%K -10.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -6.65%E -3.76%K -8.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -9.73%E -5.09%K -10.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-20 14:45
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.54%EV -2.96%E -1.61%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.46%EV -11.15%E -5.93%K -12.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 14:45
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -3.49%E -1.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -11.62%E -6.21%K -13.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 14:45
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -2.44%E -1.32%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -12.56%E -6.79%K -14.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 14:45
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -2.44%E -1.32%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -12.56%E -6.79%K -14.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 14:45
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -2.44%E -1.32%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -12.56%E -6.79%K -14.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 14:45
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.28%EV -5.07%E -2.82%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -13.98%E -7.68%K -17.05%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-20 14:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-03-20 14:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-03-20 14:45
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%1.7%2026-03-20 14:45
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%5.2%2026-03-20 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.69%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.31%6.3%2026-03-20 14:45
Novig1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%6.8%2026-03-20 14:44
ProphetX1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.53%8.1%2026-03-20 14:44