La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Laura Siegemund v Petra Marcinko
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Laura Siegemund (Local)
Predicción 49.54%2.02momio equitativo
EV +4.04%
Ventaja +1.92%
Kelly +3.67%
Crecimiento +0.149%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.30%50.13%49.07%54.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.851.872.1059.88%54.07%53.48%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Petra Marcinko (Visitante)
Predicción 50.46%1.98momio equitativo
EV +8.98%
Ventaja +4.16%
Kelly +7.75%
Crecimiento +0.696%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.16
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.03%49.87%50.93%55.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.921.872.1659.88%52.00%53.48%46.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%EV -12.31%E -6.95%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%EV +8.98%E +4.16%K +7.75%G +0.696% | 2.8% | 2026-03-17 20:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -13.79%E -7.93%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +6.97%E +3.29%K +6.22%G +0.433% | 4.6% | 2026-03-17 20:45 |
| GTbets | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -13.79%E -7.93%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV +6.46%E +3.06%K +5.82%G +0.376% | 4.9% | 2026-03-17 20:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -13.79%E -7.93%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +5.96%E +2.84%K +5.42%G +0.323% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 20:40 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -14.29%E -8.26%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +5.96%E +2.84%K +5.42%G +0.323% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 20:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -14.78%E -8.60%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV +5.96%E +2.84%K +5.42%G +0.323% | 5.8% | 2026-03-17 20:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -14.78%E -8.60%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV +5.96%E +2.84%K +5.42%G +0.323% | 5.8% | 2026-03-17 20:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -11.81%E -6.64%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV +5.45%E +2.61%K +5.00%G +0.273% | 4.0% | 2026-03-17 20:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -11.81%E -6.64%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV +5.45%E +2.61%K +5.00%G +0.273% | 4.0% | 2026-03-17 20:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -13.30%E -7.60%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV +5.45%E +2.61%K +5.00%G +0.273% | 5.0% | 2026-03-17 20:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -13.30%E -7.60%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV +5.45%E +2.61%K +5.00%G +0.273% | 5.0% | 2026-03-17 20:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -12.80%E -7.27%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV +4.95%E +2.38%K +4.58%G +0.227% | 4.9% | 2026-03-17 20:50 |
| ReBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -13.30%E -7.60%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV +4.95%E +2.38%K +4.58%G +0.227% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 20:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -13.30%E -7.60%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV +4.44%E +2.15%K +4.15%G +0.185% | 5.5% | 2026-03-17 20:39 |
| BetUS | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -13.79%E -7.93%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +3.43%E +1.68%K +3.27%G +0.112% | 6.3% | 2026-03-17 20:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -15.78%E -9.28%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +3.43%E +1.68%K +3.27%G +0.112% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 20:40 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -15.78%E -9.28%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +3.43%E +1.68%K +3.27%G +0.112% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 20:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -13.30%E -7.60%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV +0.912%E +0.456%K +0.912%G +0.008% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 20:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -13.30%E -7.60%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV +0.912%E +0.456%K +0.912%G +0.008% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 20:40 |
| Everygame | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -15.78%E -9.28%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV +0.912%E +0.456%K +0.912%G +0.008% | 8.8% | 2026-03-17 20:40 |
| Unibet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -9.33%E -5.10%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -0.602%E -0.305%K -0.620%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 20:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.12%EV -17.26%E -10.34%K -25.76%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.88%EV -0.602%E -0.305%K -0.620%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-17 20:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -9.33%E -5.10%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -1.11%E -0.564%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-17 20:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -10.82%E -6.01%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -1.61%E -0.826%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-17 20:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -10.82%E -6.01%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -1.61%E -0.826%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-17 20:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -10.82%E -6.01%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -2.12%E -1.09%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 20:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -10.82%E -6.01%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -3.63%E -1.90%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 20:55 |
| Fliff | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -13.79%E -7.93%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -3.63%E -1.90%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-17 20:55 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.39%E -1.74%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.65%E -3.02%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-17 20:54 |
| Casumo | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.38%E -2.27%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.65%E -3.02%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 20:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.38%E -2.27%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.65%E -3.02%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 20:55 |
| betPARX | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.38%E -2.27%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.65%E -3.02%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 20:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.38%E -2.27%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.65%E -3.02%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 20:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.38%E -2.27%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.65%E -3.02%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 20:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.37%E -2.81%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.65%E -3.02%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-17 20:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.37%E -2.81%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.65%E -3.02%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-17 20:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.89%E -1.48%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.66%E -3.60%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 20:55 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.39%E -1.74%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.66%E -3.60%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 20:55 |
| TAB | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.39%E -1.74%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.66%E -3.60%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 20:55 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.37%E -2.81%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.66%E -3.60%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-17 20:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.37%E -2.81%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.66%E -3.60%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-17 20:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.37%E -2.81%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.66%E -3.60%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-17 20:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -5.87%E -3.09%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -7.16%E -3.89%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 20:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.912%E -0.456%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.67%E -4.19%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-17 20:55 |
| Caesars | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.37%E -2.81%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.67%E -4.19%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 20:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -6.36%E -3.37%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -7.67%E -4.19%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 20:55 |
| Bally Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -6.36%E -3.37%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -7.67%E -4.19%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 20:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.35%E -3.93%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.67%E -4.19%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-17 20:54 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -6.86%E -3.65%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -8.17%E -4.49%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-17 20:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.18%EV -7.35%E -3.93%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV -8.67%E -4.79%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-17 20:55 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.912%E -0.456%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.18%E -5.10%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-17 20:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.912%E -0.456%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.18%E -5.10%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-17 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.39%E -1.74%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.18%E -5.10%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-17 20:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -4.88%E -2.54%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -9.18%E -5.10%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 20:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.37%E -2.81%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.18%E -5.10%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 20:55 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.37%E -2.81%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.18%E -5.10%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 20:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.37%E -2.81%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.18%E -5.10%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 20:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -3.39%E -1.74%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -10.69%E -6.04%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-17 20:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -7.85%E -4.22%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -11.20%E -6.36%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-17 20:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -0.912%E -0.456%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -12.71%E -7.35%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-17 20:55 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +4.04%E +1.92%K +3.67%G +0.149% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -15.74%E -9.42%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-17 20:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-03-17 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-03-17 20:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27% | 1.6% | 2026-03-17 20:55 |
| Novig | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.81% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.19% | 3.0% | 2026-03-17 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05% | 4.1% | 2026-03-17 20:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14% | 6.5% | 2026-03-17 20:55 |
| ProphetX | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06% | 7.3% | 2026-03-17 20:55 |