La escuela de los momios

Jelena Ostapenko v Dayana Yastremska

Inicio: 2026-03-20 22:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Jelena Ostapenko (Local)

Predicción 58.68%1.70momio equitativo
EV -2.00%
Ventaja -1.20%
Kelly -2.99%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.14%58.80%58.67%60.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.601.601.6765.36%62.38%62.50%59.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Dayana Yastremska (Visitante)

Predicción 41.32%2.42momio equitativo
EV -1.66%
Ventaja -0.697%
Kelly -1.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.13%41.20%41.33%42.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.302.302.3845.45%43.42%43.48%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%EV -2.00%E -1.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%EV -3.73%E -1.60%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-20 21:40
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.18%E -1.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.90%E -1.23%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-20 21:44
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.18%E -1.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.90%E -1.23%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-20 21:44
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.18%E -1.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 21:39
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.18%E -1.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.03%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 21:40
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.18%E -1.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.03%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 21:40
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.18%E -1.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 21:54
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -3.76%E -2.30%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -6.20%E -2.73%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:55
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.90%E -1.23%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 21:40
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.55%E -1.97%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:44
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 21:40
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 21:40
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 21:39
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 21:45
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -6.62%E -2.93%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 21:54
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 21:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 21:40
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 21:40
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -5.52%E -3.43%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -2.49%E -1.05%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 21:40
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.52%E -3.43%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.90%E -1.23%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 21:44
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.52%E -3.43%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.73%E -1.60%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:40
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.52%E -3.43%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.14%E -1.78%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 21:45
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.52%E -3.43%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 21:40
Betr (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.52%E -3.43%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.03%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 21:53
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.52%E -3.43%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.03%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 21:55
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.11%E -3.82%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.90%E -1.23%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 21:40
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.11%E -3.82%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.90%E -1.23%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 21:40
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.11%E -3.82%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.90%E -1.23%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 21:40
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.11%E -3.82%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.90%E -1.23%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 21:40
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.11%E -3.82%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.90%E -1.23%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.11%E -3.82%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.90%E -1.23%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 21:40
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.11%E -3.82%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.90%E -1.23%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 21:40
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.11%E -3.82%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.90%E -1.23%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 21:40
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.11%E -3.82%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.90%E -1.23%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 21:40
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.11%E -3.82%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.90%E -1.23%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 21:45
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.11%E -3.82%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.90%E -1.23%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 21:45
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.11%E -3.82%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.90%E -1.23%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 21:45
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.11%E -3.82%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.90%E -1.23%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 21:45
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.11%E -3.82%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 21:54
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.11%E -3.82%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 21:54
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.11%E -3.82%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 21:40
PointsBet (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.11%E -3.82%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.03%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.11%E -3.82%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.03%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 21:54
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.11%E -3.82%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.03%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 21:54
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.11%E -3.82%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 21:40
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.11%E -3.82%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 21:53
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -6.70%E -4.21%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -4.14%E -1.78%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 21:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.70%E -4.21%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.03%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 21:40
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -7.28%E -4.61%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 21:40
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -7.28%E -4.61%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 21:40
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -7.28%E -4.61%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.04%EV -6.20%E -2.73%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 21:50
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.87%E -5.01%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.66%E -0.697%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 21:39
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.87%E -5.01%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 21:40
PMU (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.87%E -5.01%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 21:40
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.87%E -5.01%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 21:40
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.46%E -5.42%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -2.90%E -1.23%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 21:39
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -8.46%E -5.42%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-20 21:54
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -10.22%E -6.68%K -19.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -1.66%E -0.697%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 21:54
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -10.22%E -6.68%K -19.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -1.66%E -0.697%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 21:54
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -10.22%E -6.68%K -19.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -1.66%E -0.697%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 21:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-03-20 21:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-03-20 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-03-20 21:50
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-03-20 21:50
ProphetX1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73%1.5%2026-03-20 21:45
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.9%2026-03-20 21:50
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%3.9%2026-03-20 21:55