L’École des cotes

Iva Jović v Talia Gibson

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-22 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Iva Jović (Local)

Prévision 50.87%1.97cote équitable
EV +1.74%
Avantage +0.870%
Kelly +1.74%
Croissance +0.030%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.64%53.20%50.67%66.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.411.711.782.0070.92%58.48%56.18%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Talia Gibson (Visiteur)

Prévision 49.13%2.04cote équitable
EV +38.55%
Avantage +13.67%
Kelly +21.18%
Croissance +8.16%

avec la cote maximale 2.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.98%46.80%49.33%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.802.172.002.8255.56%46.10%50.00%35.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28%EV -23.69%E -15.80%K -47.39%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72%EV +38.55%E +13.67%K +21.18%G +8.16%2.1%2026-03-22 18:00
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -23.69%E -15.80%K -47.39%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV +34.62%E +12.63%K +19.89%G +6.89%3.2%2026-03-22 18:00
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -23.69%E -15.80%K -47.39%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV +34.62%E +12.63%K +19.89%G +6.89%3.2%2026-03-22 18:00
Marathon Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -26.24%E -18.10%K -58.31%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV +34.62%E +12.63%K +19.89%G +6.89%5.5%2026-03-22 17:59
SportsBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.02%EV -28.27%E -20.05%K -68.96%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.98%EV +34.62%E +12.63%K +19.89%G +6.89%7.4%2026-03-22 18:00
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -23.69%E -15.80%K -47.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +30.19%E +11.39%K +18.30%G +5.53%4.4%2026-03-22 18:05
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -24.71%E -16.70%K -51.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +30.19%E +11.39%K +18.30%G +5.53%5.3%2026-03-22 18:00
Betr (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -25.22%E -17.16%K -53.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +30.19%E +11.39%K +18.30%G +5.53%5.8%2026-03-22 18:00
PMU (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -27.76%E -19.55%K -66.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV +30.19%E +11.39%K +18.30%G +5.53%8.2%2026-03-22 18:00
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.16%EV -21.66%E -14.06%K -40.11%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.84%EV +29.70%E +11.25%K +18.11%G +5.38%2.8%2026-03-22 17:59
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -23.69%E -15.80%K -47.39%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV +28.72%E +10.96%K +17.73%G +5.09%4.8%2026-03-22 17:59
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -23.69%E -15.80%K -47.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +27.74%E +10.67%K +17.34%G +4.81%5.1%2026-03-22 18:00
ReBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -23.69%E -15.80%K -47.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +27.74%E +10.67%K +17.34%G +4.81%5.1%2026-03-22 17:54
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -24.71%E -16.70%K -51.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +27.74%E +10.67%K +17.34%G +4.81%6.0%2026-03-22 18:00
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -24.71%E -16.70%K -51.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +27.74%E +10.67%K +17.34%G +4.81%6.0%2026-03-22 17:58
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -26.75%E -18.57%K -60.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +27.74%E +10.67%K +17.34%G +4.81%7.9%2026-03-22 17:59
Parions Sport (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -24.20%E -16.24%K -49.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV +25.28%E +9.91%K +16.31%G +4.12%6.3%2026-03-22 17:55
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -24.71%E -16.70%K -51.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV +25.28%E +9.91%K +16.31%G +4.12%6.8%2026-03-22 17:59
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -23.69%E -15.80%K -47.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +22.82%E +9.13%K +15.22%G +3.47%6.7%2026-03-22 18:00
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -23.69%E -15.80%K -47.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +20.37%E +8.31%K +14.05%G +2.86%7.5%2026-03-22 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -23.69%E -15.80%K -47.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +20.37%E +8.31%K +14.05%G +2.86%7.5%2026-03-22 18:00
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -8.43%E -4.69%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -0.758%E -0.375%K -0.743%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 18:14
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -8.43%E -4.69%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -0.758%E -0.375%K -0.743%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 18:14
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -8.43%E -4.69%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -0.758%E -0.375%K -0.743%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 18:15
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -8.43%E -4.69%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -0.758%E -0.375%K -0.743%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 18:15
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -8.43%E -4.69%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -0.758%E -0.375%K -0.743%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 18:15
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -8.43%E -4.69%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -0.758%E -0.375%K -0.743%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 18:15
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -8.43%E -4.69%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -0.758%E -0.375%K -0.743%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 18:15
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.91%E -3.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.74%E -0.870%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 18:14
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.43%E -4.69%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.74%E -0.870%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 18:15
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.43%E -4.69%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.74%E -0.870%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 18:15
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -9.45%E -5.31%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -1.74%E -0.870%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 18:15
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -11.99%E -6.93%K -16.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -1.74%E -0.870%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 18:14
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -11.99%E -6.93%K -16.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -1.74%E -0.870%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 18:14
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -11.99%E -6.93%K -16.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -1.74%E -0.870%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 18:15
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -11.99%E -6.93%K -16.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -1.74%E -0.870%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 18:15
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -9.45%E -5.31%K -12.12%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -2.72%E -1.38%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 18:15
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -9.45%E -5.31%K -12.12%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -2.72%E -1.38%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 18:15
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -9.45%E -5.31%K -12.12%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -3.21%E -1.63%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 18:15
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.71%E -1.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 18:14
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -10.47%E -5.95%K -13.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.72%EV -11.49%E -6.60%K -15.52%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.28%EV -4.69%E -2.42%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 18:15
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.87%E -2.61%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 18:14
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 18:14
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.91%E -3.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 18:15
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -6.91%E -3.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -7.14%E -3.78%K -8.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 18:14
DraftKings1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -3.86%E -2.04%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 18:14
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.61%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.13%E -4.35%K -9.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 18:15
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.61%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.13%E -4.35%K -9.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 18:09
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.61%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.13%E -4.35%K -9.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 18:15
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.91%E -3.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.13%E -4.35%K -9.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 18:15
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -5.38%E -2.89%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -8.62%E -4.63%K -10.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 18:15
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -0.803%E -0.412%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -9.11%E -4.92%K -10.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 18:15
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.11%E -4.92%K -10.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 18:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.11%E -4.92%K -10.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 18:09
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +1.74%E +0.870%K +1.74%G +0.030%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -10.09%E -5.52%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 18:13
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.84%E -1.49%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.09%E -5.52%K -12.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 18:14
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV +1.74%E +0.870%K +1.74%G +0.030%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -10.58%E -5.82%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 18:14
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -0.803%E -0.412%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -11.57%E -6.43%K -14.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 18:13
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -4.87%E -2.61%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -11.57%E -6.43%K -14.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 18:14
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -8.43%E -4.69%K -10.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -11.57%E -6.43%K -14.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 18:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%0.3%2026-03-22 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-03-22 18:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-03-22 18:15
ProphetX1.92I 52.08%NM 51.64%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.36%0.9%2026-03-22 18:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%1.6%2026-03-22 18:15
Novig1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%3.4%2026-03-22 18:15
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%8.2%2026-03-22 18:15