La escuela de los momios

Elsa Jacquemot v Marie Bouzkova

Inicio: 2026-03-19 22:40 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Elsa Jacquemot (Local)

Predicción 27.17%3.68momio equitativo
EV +1.62%
Ventaja +0.433%
Kelly +0.591%
Crecimiento +0.010%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.74

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.35%27.15%27.08%30.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.463.503.7432.26%28.89%28.57%26.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Marie Bouzkova (Visitante)

Predicción 72.83%1.37momio equitativo
EV -2.41%
Ventaja -1.80%
Kelly -7.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.34

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.82%72.85%72.92%74.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.271.301.301.3478.74%76.83%76.92%74.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Marathon Bet3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV +1.62%E +0.433%K +0.591%G +0.010%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -7.51%E -5.91%K -27.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 22:24
Winamax (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV +0.532%E +0.144%K +0.197%G +0.001%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -4.59%E -3.51%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-19 22:34
Coolbet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.532%E +0.144%K +0.197%G +0.001%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.78%E -5.30%K -24.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 22:34
FanDuel3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -0.827%E -0.226%K -0.312%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 22:35
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.19%E -0.607%K -0.840%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.59%E -3.51%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 22:33
Hard Rock Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.19%E -0.607%K -0.840%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.59%E -3.51%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 22:35
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.19%E -0.607%K -0.840%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 22:35
ReBet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.19%E -0.607%K -0.840%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 22:29
Unibet (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.19%E -0.607%K -0.840%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.78%E -5.30%K -24.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 22:32
BetRivers3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.54%E -0.998%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 22:34
LeoVegas (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.54%E -0.998%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 22:35
Unibet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.54%E -0.998%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 22:35
TABtouch3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.54%E -0.998%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 22:34
Grosvenor3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.54%E -0.998%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 22:35
LeoVegas3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.54%E -0.998%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 22:35
Unibet (NL)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.54%E -0.998%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 22:35
Casumo3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.54%E -0.998%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 22:35
Unibet (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.54%E -0.998%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 22:34
Svenska Spel3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.54%E -0.998%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 22:34
Bally Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.54%E -0.998%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 22:34
betPARX3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.54%E -0.998%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 22:34
ATG (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.54%E -0.998%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 22:35
theScore Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -3.54%E -0.998%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 22:35
Pinnacle3.53I 28.33%NM 27.52%EV -4.09%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.48%EV -2.41%E -1.80%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-19 22:35
1xBet3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -4.09%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -4.59%E -3.51%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 22:30
GTbets3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.90%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.59%E -3.51%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 22:29
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.90%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 22:34
NordicBet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.90%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 22:35
Betsson3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.90%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 22:35
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.90%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 22:30
Winamax (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -4.90%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.78%E -5.30%K -24.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 22:34
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.90%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.51%E -5.91%K -27.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 22:35
LowVig.ag3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -5.17%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -3.87%E -2.93%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 22:35
BetOnline.ag3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -5.17%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -3.87%E -2.93%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 22:35
Bet Right3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -6.26%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.59%E -3.51%K -14.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 22:31
Fanatics3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -6.26%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.59%E -3.51%K -14.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 22:34
SportsBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -6.26%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.78%E -5.30%K -24.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 22:35
NetBet (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.26%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -7.51%E -5.91%K -27.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 22:28
DraftKings3.43I 29.15%NM 27.64%EV -6.80%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.36%EV -4.59%E -3.51%K -14.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 22:35
BetAnything3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.87%E -2.93%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 22:34
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 22:33
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 22:35
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 22:34
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 22:34
PMU (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 22:34
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 22:33
LiveScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 22:35
Virgin Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 22:34
Caesars3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 22:34
Betr (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -8.98%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.59%E -3.51%K -14.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 22:32
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.14%E -2.36%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 22:31
TAB3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 22:34
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 22:29
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 22:29
Fliff3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -7.51%E -5.91%K -27.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-19 22:35
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.69%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.14%E -2.36%K -9.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 22:35
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.69%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.14%E -2.36%K -9.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 22:34
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -13.05%E -4.08%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 22:26
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -15.77%E -5.09%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -2.41%E -1.80%K -7.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 22:35
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -15.77%E -5.09%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.14%E -2.36%K -9.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 22:34
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -15.77%E -5.09%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.14%E -2.36%K -9.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 22:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-03-19 22:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-03-19 22:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-03-19 22:35
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-03-19 22:35
ProphetX3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41%1.7%2026-03-19 22:35
Novig3.61I 27.70%NM 27.22%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.78%1.8%2026-03-19 22:35
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29%2.6%2026-03-19 22:34