La escuela de los momios

Elisabetta Cocciaretto v Coco Gauff

Inicio: 2026-03-20 20:55 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Local)

Predicción 19.30%5.18momio equitativo
EV +4.04%
Ventaja +0.749%
Kelly +0.919%
Crecimiento +0.037%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.39

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.97%19.40%19.41%21.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.304.744.755.3923.26%21.11%21.05%18.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Coco Gauff (Visitante)

Predicción 80.70%1.24momio equitativo
EV -1.55%
Ventaja -1.27%
Kelly -7.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
78.32%80.60%80.59%82.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.141.191.181.2287.72%84.36%84.75%81.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle5.39I 18.55%NM 18.09%EV +4.04%E +0.749%K +0.919%G +0.037%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.91%EV -3.97%E -3.34%K -20.89%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-20 20:50
Coolbet5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV +1.33%E +0.254%K +0.314%G +0.004%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.97%E -3.34%K -20.89%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-20 20:49
Betway5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +1.33%E +0.254%K +0.314%G +0.004%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.20%E -6.26%K -47.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 20:50
Winamax (DE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV -1.56%E -0.306%K -0.381%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -3.97%E -3.34%K -20.89%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-20 20:50
Unibet (FR)5.05I 19.80%NM 18.68%EV -2.53%E -0.500%K -0.624%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.32%EV -6.39%E -5.51%K -39.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 20:50
Bovada5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.49%E -0.698%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.78%E -4.05%K -26.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 20:50
Betsson5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.49%E -0.698%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.58%E -4.77%K -32.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 20:49
NordicBet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.49%E -0.698%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.58%E -4.77%K -32.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 20:49
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.49%E -0.698%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.58%E -4.77%K -32.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 20:49
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.49%E -0.698%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.58%E -4.77%K -32.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 20:49
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.49%E -0.698%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.58%E -4.77%K -32.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 20:50
ReBet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.49%E -0.698%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.58%E -4.77%K -32.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 20:49
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.49%E -0.698%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.58%E -4.77%K -32.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 20:50
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.49%E -0.698%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.58%E -4.77%K -32.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 20:50
Caesars5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.49%E -0.698%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.00%E -7.02%K -57.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 20:48
DraftKings4.95I 20.20%NM 19.38%EV -4.46%E -0.900%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.62%EV -3.97%E -3.34%K -20.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 20:50
Marathon Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.42%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.78%E -4.05%K -26.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 20:49
Bet Right4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.42%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.78%E -4.05%K -26.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 20:50
Fanatics4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.42%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.78%E -4.05%K -26.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 20:50
GTbets4.88I 20.49%NM 19.47%EV -5.81%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.53%EV -4.78%E -4.05%K -26.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 20:49
Betr (AU)4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -6.39%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.58%E -4.77%K -32.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 20:49
theScore Bet4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -6.39%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.58%E -4.77%K -32.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 20:50
Winamax (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.35%E -1.53%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.78%E -4.05%K -26.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 20:50
Fliff4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -7.35%E -1.53%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.58%E -4.77%K -32.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 20:45
PointsBet (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -7.35%E -1.53%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.39%E -5.51%K -39.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 20:50
PlayUp4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.32%E -1.75%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.78%E -4.05%K -26.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 20:49
BetUS4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.32%E -1.75%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.78%E -4.05%K -26.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 20:44
BetMGM4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.32%E -1.75%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.78%E -4.05%K -26.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 20:49
FanDuel4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -10.25%E -2.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -3.16%E -2.64%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 20:50
Coral4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -11.21%E -2.44%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.78%E -4.05%K -26.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-20 20:50
Ladbrokes (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -11.21%E -2.44%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.78%E -4.05%K -26.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-20 20:50
SportsBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -11.21%E -2.44%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.58%E -4.77%K -32.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 20:49
TAB4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -11.21%E -2.44%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.39%E -5.51%K -39.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 20:50
LowVig.ag4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -13.14%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -1.55%E -1.27%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 20:50
BetOnline.ag4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -13.14%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -1.55%E -1.27%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 20:50
Unibet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -13.14%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -2.36%E -1.95%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 20:49
BetRivers4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -13.14%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -2.36%E -1.95%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 20:50
Grosvenor4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -13.14%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -2.36%E -1.95%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 20:49
Unibet (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -13.14%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -2.36%E -1.95%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 20:50
LeoVegas (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -13.14%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -2.36%E -1.95%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 20:50
LeoVegas4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -13.14%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -2.36%E -1.95%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 20:49
Casumo4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -13.14%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -2.36%E -1.95%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 20:50
TABtouch4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -13.14%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -2.36%E -1.95%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 20:50
Unibet (NL)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -13.14%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -2.36%E -1.95%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 20:50
Bally Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -13.14%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -2.36%E -1.95%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 20:50
ATG (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -13.14%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -2.36%E -1.95%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 20:50
Svenska Spel4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -13.14%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -2.36%E -1.95%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 20:50
betPARX4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -13.14%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -2.36%E -1.95%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 20:50
Hard Rock Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -13.14%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -2.36%E -1.95%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 20:49
PMU (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -13.14%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.78%E -4.05%K -26.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 20:50
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.14%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.58%E -4.77%K -32.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 20:50
Neds4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.14%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.58%E -4.77%K -32.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 20:50
Ladbrokes (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.14%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.58%E -4.77%K -32.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 20:49
Virgin Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -17.00%E -3.95%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -3.97%E -3.34%K -20.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 20:50
LiveScore Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -17.00%E -3.95%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -3.97%E -3.34%K -20.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 20:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%0.8%2026-03-20 20:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%0.8%2026-03-20 20:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%0.8%2026-03-20 20:50
Matchbook5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%0.8%2026-03-20 20:50
Novig5.35I 18.69%NM 18.32%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.68%2.0%2026-03-20 20:50
Smarkets5.30I 18.87%NM 18.34%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.66%2.9%2026-03-20 20:50