La escuela de los momios

Elena Rybakina v Yulia Putintseva

Inicio: 2026-03-21 03:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Elena Rybakina (Local)

Predicción 84.37%1.19momio equitativo
EV -0.448%
Ventaja -0.379%
Kelly -2.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.18

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
80.56%84.35%84.05%87.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.081.111.111.1892.59%90.19%90.09%84.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Yulia Putintseva (Visitante)

Predicción 15.63%6.40momio equitativo
EV +23.19%
Ventaja +2.94%
Kelly +3.37%
Crecimiento +0.782%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.15%15.65%15.95%19.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.856.286.307.8820.62%15.92%15.87%12.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
LowVig.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 87.85%EV -8.04%E -7.38%K -89.34%G +0.000%7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV +23.19%E +2.94%K +3.37%G +0.782%4.4%2026-03-21 02:10
BetOnline.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 87.85%EV -8.04%E -7.38%K -89.34%G +0.000%7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV +23.19%E +2.94%K +3.37%G +0.782%4.4%2026-03-21 02:09
Pinnacle1.13I 88.50%NM 86.48%EV -4.67%E -4.13%K -35.89%G +0.000%7.23I 13.83%NM 13.52%EV +13.03%E +1.80%K +2.09%G +0.273%2.3%2026-03-21 02:20
Coolbet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.59%EV -7.20%E -6.54%K -71.97%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.41%EV +11.00%E +1.55%K +1.80%G +0.198%5.0%2026-03-21 02:27
Betway1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.20%E -6.54%K -71.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +9.43%E +1.35%K +1.57%G +0.148%5.2%2026-03-21 02:20
BetUS1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.20%E -6.54%K -71.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +9.43%E +1.35%K +1.57%G +0.148%5.2%2026-03-21 02:09
Unibet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.20%E -6.54%K -71.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +9.43%E +1.35%K +1.57%G +0.148%5.2%2026-03-21 02:30
William Hill1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.20%E -6.54%K -71.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +9.43%E +1.35%K +1.57%G +0.148%5.2%2026-03-21 02:09
Mr Green (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.88%E -8.23%K -111.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +9.43%E +1.35%K +1.57%G +0.148%6.9%2026-03-21 02:25
888sport (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.88%E -8.23%K -111.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +9.43%E +1.35%K +1.57%G +0.148%6.9%2026-03-21 02:20
Bet Right1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -6.35%E -5.72%K -57.76%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +5.53%E +0.819%K +0.961%G +0.053%4.9%2026-03-21 02:15
GTbets1.11I 90.09%NM 85.81%EV -6.35%E -5.72%K -57.76%G +0.000%6.71I 14.90%NM 14.19%EV +4.90%E +0.730%K +0.858%G +0.042%5.0%2026-03-21 02:10
ReBet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -6.35%E -5.72%K -57.76%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV +3.18%E +0.482%K +0.568%G +0.018%5.2%2026-03-21 02:10
Marathon Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.51%EV -6.35%E -5.72%K -57.76%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.49%EV +2.40%E +0.366%K +0.432%G +0.010%5.4%2026-03-21 02:19
1xBet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -5.51%E -4.92%K -45.91%G +0.000%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV +2.24%E +0.343%K +0.405%G +0.009%4.6%2026-03-21 02:20
Casumo1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.35%E -5.72%K -57.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +1.62%E +0.249%K +0.294%G +0.005%5.5%2026-03-21 02:10
Unibet (NL)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.35%E -5.72%K -57.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +1.62%E +0.249%K +0.294%G +0.005%5.5%2026-03-21 02:10
Unibet (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.35%E -5.72%K -57.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +1.62%E +0.249%K +0.294%G +0.005%5.5%2026-03-21 02:10
betPARX1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.35%E -5.72%K -57.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +1.62%E +0.249%K +0.294%G +0.005%5.5%2026-03-21 02:10
Svenska Spel1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.35%E -5.72%K -57.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +1.62%E +0.249%K +0.294%G +0.005%5.5%2026-03-21 02:09
ATG (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.35%E -5.72%K -57.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +1.62%E +0.249%K +0.294%G +0.005%5.5%2026-03-21 02:10
Betr (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.20%E -6.54%K -71.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +1.62%E +0.249%K +0.294%G +0.005%6.3%2026-03-21 02:09
BoyleSports1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.20%E -6.54%K -71.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +1.62%E +0.249%K +0.294%G +0.005%6.3%2026-03-21 02:29
TABtouch1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.20%E -6.54%K -71.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +1.62%E +0.249%K +0.294%G +0.005%6.3%2026-03-21 02:30
TAB1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -8.04%E -7.38%K -89.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV +1.62%E +0.249%K +0.294%G +0.005%7.1%2026-03-21 02:25
PMU (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -8.88%E -8.23%K -111.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV +1.62%E +0.249%K +0.294%G +0.005%8.0%2026-03-21 02:10
Neds1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -8.04%E -7.38%K -89.34%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV +0.055%E +0.009%K +0.010%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 02:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -8.04%E -7.38%K -89.34%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV +0.055%E +0.009%K +0.010%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 02:09
Unibet (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.12%EV -6.35%E -5.72%K -57.76%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.88%EV -0.727%E -0.114%K -0.136%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 02:10
NetBet (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.14%EV -7.20%E -6.54%K -71.97%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.86%EV -1.51%E -0.239%K -0.285%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 02:07
BetRivers1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -6.35%E -5.72%K -57.76%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -2.29%E -0.366%K -0.436%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 02:30
Winamax (DE)1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -8.04%E -7.38%K -89.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -2.29%E -0.366%K -0.436%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 02:30
PointsBet (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 85.27%EV -8.88%E -8.23%K -111.05%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -2.29%E -0.366%K -0.436%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 02:30
Parions Sport (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -7.20%E -6.54%K -71.97%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -4.64%E -0.760%K -0.909%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 02:10
Grosvenor1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -7.20%E -6.54%K -71.97%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -4.64%E -0.760%K -0.909%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 02:30
Virgin Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -7.20%E -6.54%K -71.97%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -4.64%E -0.760%K -0.909%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 02:30
LiveScore Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -7.20%E -6.54%K -71.97%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -4.64%E -0.760%K -0.909%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 02:30
Fliff1.09I 91.74%NM 84.84%EV -8.04%E -7.38%K -89.34%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -4.64%E -0.760%K -0.909%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 02:25
NordicBet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.51%E -4.92%K -45.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.20%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 02:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.35%E -5.72%K -57.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.20%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 02:30
Bally Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.35%E -5.72%K -57.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.20%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 02:20
SportsBet1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.20%E -6.54%K -71.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -6.20%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 02:10
Everygame1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.20%E -6.54%K -71.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -6.20%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 02:09
LeoVegas1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -8.04%E -7.38%K -89.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -6.20%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 02:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -8.04%E -7.38%K -89.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -6.20%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 02:30
Winamax (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -5.51%E -4.92%K -45.91%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -7.76%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 02:30
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.82%E -3.35%K -27.30%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -9.33%E -1.61%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 02:30
Coral1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.67%E -4.13%K -35.89%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -10.11%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 02:30
PlayUp1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.67%E -4.13%K -35.89%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -10.11%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 02:25
BetMGM1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.51%E -4.92%K -45.91%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.11%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 02:30
Betsson1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -5.51%E -4.92%K -45.91%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -10.89%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 02:25
Fanatics1.11I 90.09%NM 83.70%EV -6.35%E -5.72%K -57.76%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.30%EV -10.89%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 02:28
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.51%E -4.92%K -45.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.02%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 02:30
Caesars1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.51%E -4.92%K -45.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.02%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 02:08
Bet Victor1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.51%E -4.92%K -45.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.02%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 02:29
DraftKings1.16I 86.21%NM 82.18%EV -2.13%E -1.84%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.82%EV -16.36%E -3.06%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 02:30
Bovada1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -0.448%E -0.379%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -21.83%E -4.37%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 02:29
888sport1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -3.82%E -3.35%K -27.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -21.83%E -4.37%K -5.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 02:30
theScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -1.29%E -1.10%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -24.18%E -4.99%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 02:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.6%2026-03-21 02:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-03-21 02:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-03-21 02:30
Matchbook1.10I 90.91%NM 89.52%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.48%1.5%2026-03-21 02:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.12I 89.29%NM 87.72%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28%1.8%2026-03-21 02:30
Novig1.12I 89.29%NM 87.20%7.63I 13.11%NM 12.80%2.4%2026-03-21 02:25
ProphetX1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%5.4%2026-03-21 02:25