L’École des cotes

Elena Rybakina v Marta Kostyuk

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-22 19:40 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Elena Rybakina (Local)

Prévision 78.31%1.28cote équitable
EV -1.33%
Avantage -1.06%
Kelly -5.13%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.19%78.21%78.36%80.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.171.211.211.2685.47%82.62%82.64%79.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Marta Kostyuk (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.69%4.61cote équitable
EV +6.30%
Avantage +1.29%
Kelly +1.62%
Croissance +0.102%

avec la cote maximale 4.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.54%21.79%21.64%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.374.404.9025.00%22.86%22.73%20.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -6.82%E -5.73%K -35.87%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV +6.30%E +1.29%K +1.62%G +0.102%4.4%2026-03-22 19:19
Pinnacle1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40%EV +4.13%E +0.860%K +1.09%G +0.045%2.1%2026-03-22 19:20
BetUS1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -6.82%E -5.73%K -35.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV +4.13%E +0.860%K +1.09%G +0.045%4.9%2026-03-22 19:34
LeoVegas1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -25.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -0.209%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 19:24
BetRivers1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -25.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -0.209%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 19:25
Unibet (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -25.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -0.209%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 19:24
Casumo1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -25.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -0.209%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 19:24
Grosvenor1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -25.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -0.209%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 19:24
Unibet (NL)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -25.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -0.209%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 19:24
Unibet1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -25.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -0.209%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 19:25
TABtouch1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -25.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -0.209%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 19:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -25.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -0.209%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 19:24
Svenska Spel1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -25.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -0.209%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 19:24
Bally Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -25.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -0.209%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 19:25
ATG (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -25.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -0.209%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 19:24
betPARX1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -25.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -0.209%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 19:24
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -25.00%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -2.16%E -0.479%K -0.616%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 19:20
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -25.00%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -2.16%E -0.479%K -0.616%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 19:20
Winamax (DE)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -2.38%E -0.528%K -0.679%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 19:20
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.38%E -0.528%K -0.679%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-22 19:20
Hard Rock Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -25.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.38%E -0.528%K -0.679%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 19:34
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.38%E -0.528%K -0.679%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 19:20
NetBet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.82%E -5.73%K -35.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -2.38%E -0.528%K -0.679%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 19:19
Unibet (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.55%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 19:20
ReBet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.55%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 19:20
Marathon Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -25.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.55%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 19:20
Fanatics1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -25.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.55%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 19:35
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.55%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 19:19
Virgin Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.82%E -5.73%K -35.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -4.55%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 19:24
LiveScore Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.82%E -5.73%K -35.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -4.55%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 19:24
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.60%E -6.44%K -42.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -4.55%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 19:18
PMU (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.38%E -7.16%K -49.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -4.55%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 19:20
Unibet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -25.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.63%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 19:19
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -5.85%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 19:24
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.07%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 19:35
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.07%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.07%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 19:20
Coolbet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 19:34
Bet Right1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 19:29
Betr (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -25.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 19:20
Winamax (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -25.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 19:20
DraftKings1.23I 81.30%NM 77.72%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.28%EV -6.93%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 19:35
GTbets1.26I 79.37%NM 77.22%EV -1.33%E -1.06%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.78%EV -7.37%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-22 19:20
Parions Sport (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -25.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.80%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 19:20
PointsBet (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.80%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 19:35
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.80%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 19:34
Neds1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.82%E -5.73%K -35.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -7.80%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.82%E -5.73%K -35.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -7.80%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 19:20
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.89%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 19:20
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -9.97%E -2.40%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 19:30
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -9.97%E -2.40%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 19:30
Fliff1.18I 84.75%NM 77.86%EV -7.60%E -6.44%K -42.21%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.14%EV -9.97%E -2.40%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 19:34
theScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -11.06%E -2.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 19:35
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.12%E -1.69%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 19:19
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.12%E -1.69%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 19:19
PlayUp1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.90%E -2.34%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 19:35
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 19:35
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 19:35
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 19:35
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 19:33
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 19:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79%0.2%2026-03-22 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-03-22 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-03-22 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-03-22 19:35
ProphetX1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-03-22 19:30
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%3.2%2026-03-22 19:35
Novig1.22I 81.97%NM 79.36%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.64%3.3%2026-03-22 19:33